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如果你已经赢了,能果断撤下战场吗?

(2012-11-15 12:50:32) 下一个

When you have “won” the retirement investing game, why do you keep playing it?

怎么算赢?before you retire, you should have saved 20-25 times the amount of your “residual expenses.”  Residual expenses are measured by the difference between what you will spend each year in retirement and what your guaranteed retirement income (Social Security, pension, and annuity benefits) will provide.

比如说你退休后需要每年8万。俩口子的社保金每年4万,那你的residual expenses is $40,000。40000 X 25 = 1百万。如果你已经有了100万的储蓄,那么就该退出股市战场了。

退出股市的钱干什么呢?也不能压在床垫下睡觉啊,那样的话,通货膨胀会很快的吃掉你的储蓄。William Bernstein, the investing guru says: put money in short term bonds and CD’s. If there is an inflationary shock, interest rates on short duration financial instruments will rise so you can quickly move in to them. Owning TIPS will also help.

你已经赢了吗?如果赢了,下得了决心撤吗?:)

撤不是那么容易,需要有战胜贪婪的智慧和勇气,也要能战胜自己心中的恐惧。网友提议,提前5年每年从股市撤5%~10%到债卷,这样可以避免一次性转换的震惊,也可以减少风险。


 

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amymint 回复 悄悄话 没有你说的这么高深,完全看人个贪不贪心。
有人说到做到,到了自己的目标就撤了,有的人一山看着一山高,把原来的目标丢到后脑勺。

我自己的经历,05年进A股市场炒呀,胆子大,房子车子全卖了当股本,07年初算一算,相当于赚到了20年的工资(在效益很好的大国企),没说的,收手,辞工,到美国当家庭妇女来了,当得相当的安逸。
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