Atthispoint,itistoomuchuncertaintyaroundthecompany.Positionsclosedthisquarter:DLPH,SNAP.Positionslightenedthisquarter:SQ.[
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50天线是一个很重要的指数.一旦价格远离它过远,绝大多数情况下,价格需要重新接近它.这是一个非常不错的超底和获利的指标.http://blog.wenxuecity.com/myblog/55169/201805/11039.html[
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DefensesectorstartstoshowmorestrengthwithLMTbreakoutfromtheroundbasetoday.Addanotherdefensestockintoprofolio(RTN).[
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消减一些SQ,买入GOOGL.
GOOGL回到突破点,GAP也填上了.另外刚好测试50MA(连续两天HOLD).但是为保持科技股的权重,需要卖出一些SQ.
[
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虽然苹果,亚马迅股票继续强劲,但是整个科技股版块已经呈现松动.而healthcare,utility,telecom,REIT,staples则表现出色.说明不少基金已经从成长投资转入防御性投资.所以对你在科技股的权重要十分小心.因为不论从散户到基金,这个板块都是严重超重状态.[
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LMTreceivedtwobigfundingsfromUSgovernmentrecently.Itisthisadministration'smaingoaltomaintainUSmilitarypower.Duringthetimethattwobigpowersintheworldwerefightingeachother,thisworldbecomesmoredangerous.IexpectLMT,GD,RTNetc.weaponmakerstoprosperinnext4-6years.[
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由于苹果季报不错,使科技股这几天大幅上涨.从图形和近两年的股价表现看,GOOG看起来是最有潜力的一支.其多年积累可能终于到了有所回报的时候.现在股价仍在可买范围内.离不久前的突破点不远.FB,NFLX下跌20%后达到反弹点.NVDA,PYPL达到支撑点.从公司规模和现金流看,未来可能也达到$1T规模的是AMZN,GOOGL,MSFT($800B+).但是由于科技股仍然处于超常拥有状态,所以对它们在盘子中的权重需[
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AfterFB’sbadquarter,majorfundswouldneedtotrimtheirtechholdsbecausethosearetheirbiggestholdingsandhavequitebigriskatthemoment.Soldecidedtotakesomeprofitsanddecreaseexposuretotechsector.PositionreducedincludeAmzn,aapl,sq,Pypl,nvda,Msft.etc.Thissectorrotationislikelytobebiggerthanbeforeandmaylastlonger.[
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Iexitedsomepositionsthatturnedouttobestupid(Forexample,FBandTWTR).Oncepositionislost,itishardtoaccumulateagain.
Somosttimes,beabletoenduresomepainisthekeytosuccess.[
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PEPiscurrentlytradingat18timesearning.3.8%yield.Itisgettingveryattractive.Itisalsotoofardownfrom50MA.Usuallywhenpricegetstoofarawayfrom50MA,itwillgetclosetoit.Ithinkitisaniceentrypoint.[
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