博文
Shock and Awe
(2007-09-18 19:22:13)
ShockandAwe,thatwasthestreet'sresponsetotheFED'saction.Itisindeedasurprisetomanypeople--peopleincnbcforsure.
IwaslisteningintentlytomyXMradiominutesbeforetheannocement,CNBChadRickSantollion,whilehewasspeaking,Iheardfrombackgroup"Fedfund50bptanddiscountrate50bps,Iwastakenbackandimmediatelyenteredintomyorderforonefinancialstockandanotherordertoamomentumplayer...Theremustbealotoforderstocomeinand...[阅读全文]
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Lights, camera
(2007-09-17 18:07:19)
IamnotsurethatIshouldbehappythatImadethedecisiontobeoffthemarkettoday.Ontheonehand,Iwasoneofthemajority,obviously,alotsofpeoplemakethesamedesicion,thevolumewasextremelylow.Ontheotherhand,Ireallydonotwanttobeconventionalintermsoftrading:)andIwastooconventionaltoday.
Youcanbeguarantedtomorrow'svolumewillbewayhighandalmostallofthosevolumewillcomeafter1:30,Idefinitelywillbewatchingandparticipating...[阅读全文]
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Too many excuses to ignore
(2007-09-12 21:07:44)
Therearetoomanyreasonsthemarketshouldbedowntoday:
TI'srevenueestimatedampenthehopealittlebitthattechisgoingtoleadthemarketoutofthewoods.
OilpricespikedhigherafterOPEC'sactionorlackoftheaction.
DallorfailagainstEuro.
andmostimportantly,wehadaupdayyesterday....
Butitdidnotfailasmuchasitnormallydoes,so,isitagoodday?
Hardly,asnotedbefore,Thisisarangeboundmarketforthetimebeing,i...[阅读全文]
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it is flight to safety
(2007-09-10 19:43:16)
Bondarebiddedup(tltisintheoverboughtsituation),soarethegoldandbigcapstocks.whatdoesittellyou?
Itbasicallysaysthatthepeopleareseekingsafetyandthemarketarenotsureaboutthefuture(atleastnearterm).Volumearelow,wewillprobablybeinthisrangeforquitesometimeuntilsomenews(goodorbad)tobringsomeclaritytothedirectionofthemarket.
Maybewecansaythemarketisinanequilibrium,atightbalancethatanylittlenewscould...[阅读全文]
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expect unexpected
(2007-09-07 21:16:22)
Itdoesnotmatterhowsmallthechanceis,therareeventwillalwayshappenintheWallStreet.TheLongTermInvestment,withitscrewfilledwithPh.DsandNobleprizewinners,estimatedthatcalmitythateventuallybroughtitdowncanonlyoccuronceinamillionyears,butithappenedandLTMbecometheignomityinthecasestudiesthroughoutbusinessschools.
Well,oneofthoseunexpectedhappenedtoday.Itislongknownthatthejobreportwillbeweak,beforethe7:...[阅读全文]
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Job report, does it matter?
(2007-09-06 19:06:08)
Considertodayavacationday,because,tomorrowwillbeadaywithfirework.
Itishardtohaveafulltimejobandtrade,especially,wheninadayliketoday,youareforcedtositinthemeetingallday.Youcantradehidingbehindthewallsofthecubicle,buthowcanyoutradewhenyouhavetointeractwithothers.andunfortunately,Iwillhavemeetingtomorrowwhenmarketopens,hopefully,Icanfindagoodseat.
Thequietdayprovidesapreviewoftomorrow,itislik...[阅读全文]
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market faces resistance
(2007-09-05 20:53:40)
Althoughtheactionofmarkettodayisratherdisconcerting,itisnottotallyunexpected.Withnicerecoverylastcoupleofweeks,marketisfacingitsresistance,forDOW/SPX,theresistanceisits50MA,forNSADAQ,itsupperbound.IfwebelievethatFEDisgoingtobaseitsdecisiononeconomydata,weareinforthedayliketodayforthenextfewdays,because,wewillbeinundatedwiththeeconomicreports.Therearedataboundtobedisappoointing,othersmayofferglimbs...[阅读全文]
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Range Bound
(2007-09-04 18:41:56)
Ifyouareafewluckyonesandhaveastockridinghigh,youmightwanttotakeyourprofit,becauseitseemslikethatiseveryoneelseisdoingit.Also,thosestocksinthedumplatelyshowedsomelifetoday.So,thisiswhattheycalledre-pricetherisk,itiswouldbemoreaccuratelyifitiscalledreposition.
So,onceagain,peoplerealizedthatthethingsgetoutofthewhack,somestocksgettoohighandsomestocksgettoobeatenup.so,therearetheseprofittakingandb...[阅读全文]
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Tortosie wins the day
(2007-08-27 20:06:24)
Afterlastweek'sdramaticreverse,itisnotsurprisingtoseethemarkettogivesome(small)profitback.Itisactuallyveryencouragingtoseesuchmovementgievnthecircustance.Volumewaslow,itis,rightlypointedoutbymanypostshere,duetothelabordayweekend,however,itisperhapsimplyingthegun-shyofbears,atleastfortheweek.
Duringtheweekend,therearealotofcautioustalks,inthisboardaswellasinmanyfinancialpublications,Ihavetoadmi...[阅读全文]
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Hoist the colors.... (图)
(2007-08-24 18:00:43)


Thedayplayedoutlikeaclock.
7:30a.m.ThefirstbatchofgoodnewscomingasdurablegoodsordersarebetterthanWallStreetexpected.Thepre-marketbouncedfromlowtobepositive,howeverreluctantly.
9:00a.m.anothergoodnewsofnewhomestartingisbetterthanexpectedaswell.ifyouhaveastreamingquote,youwillseethethescreenturnsintogreenquickly,buttherearestilllingeringdoubtsorthelastattempbytheShortsellertoresisttheob...[阅读全文]
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