While reinforcements to Ukraine slow down, Russia changes tactics but not targets
By: Giorgio Provinciali
（The original article：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/while-reinforcements-to-ukraine-slow-down-russia-changes-tactics-but-not-targets-b68a6decf7ff）
Live from Ukraine ????????
Dytiatkivska Throughout the night, yesterday, the Russian Federation continued to strike civilian targets in Ukraine, launching over 380 drones and 35 other missiles of various types against a series of energy infrastructures in several regions, particularly those related to gas transportation.
The main directions of attack were the oblasts of Cherkasy, Dnipropetrovsk, Kharkiv, Odesa, Poltava, and Sumy. The impacts of the 94 Russian air targets that escaped anti-aircraft fire reveal thatMoscow adapted trajectories, launch dynamics, and likely even the actual hardware of those launchers to evade Ukrainian defenses with evasive maneuvers.
None of the seven Iskander-M/KN-23 ballistic missiles launched by the Russians were shot down. Nearly half of the Iskander-K cruise missiles and one out of four Shahed/Geran/Gerbera drones launched by the Russians hit about fifteen Ukrainian locations. Debris falling on six others indicatesa coordinated attack involving decoy drones and missiles that can abruptly change course after following a standard trajectory. This is terrible news, especially now thatUkraine is facing increasingly slow deliveries of the only interceptors Patriot and Samp/T capable of stopping Russian ballistic threats.
Due to these attacks, now increasingly carried out in broad daylight and against civilian targets such as schools and hospitals, in addition to those mentioned yesterday on these pages, otherschools in various regions of Ukraine have switched to distance learning. The Russian Air Force has adjusted its attack methods but has not changed its targeting.
In Poltava, for example, yesterdayeven the Church of St. Nicholas of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church was targeted, destroying five of its bays.
To counter increasingly severe attacks, including those using FPV drones and artillery,the curfew in Donetsk oblast has been extended from 3:00 PM to 11:00 AMacross all settlements in the Siverska, Soledarska, Toretska, Lymanska, Druzhkivska, Illinivska, Kostyantynivska, Pokrovska, Hrodivska, Myrnogradska, Udachnenska, and Shakhivska hromadas. This ordinance, now in effect, expands the so-called komendanstska hodyna byrequiring residents to stay barricaded in their homes for 18 hours each day a necessary measure asthe Russians are attacking with unprecedented ferocity and across the board, targeting both civilians and military locations.
Yesterday alone,615 artillery shells were fired at 17 settlements in the Zaporizhzhia region, trying to open a new front to compensate for the failures in each of those Donbas districts.
Not far away,the Ukrainian General Staff has evidence that they are attempting to dangerously connect the six reactors of the Enerhodar nuclear power plant to the Russian power grid. They have been held hostage for three years and have been cooling them for the past eleven days with diesel generators that have a limited autonomy of just one more week. Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andryi Sybiha reported that the Russians intentionally shut down the Zaporizhzhia nuclear power plant for this very purpose and are now trying to restart its reactors to display Putins control of the area, despite promising the IAEA they would not do so.
This is essentially another military maneuver, which, after the blackout at the Chornobyl nuclear power plant, shows how every step taken by the Russian Federation represents a mortal risk and the beginning of a path to disaster Sybiha observed.
This eleventh episode since the start of the war is no coincidence, but rather evidence thatPutin has no qualmsabout using nuclear security as a weapon.
This is a further, dangerous escalation of the shift already undertaken by the Russians to weaken Ukrainian defenses, leavingthe weak point of energy security exposed to strategic consequences that impact all of Europe.
当对乌克兰的增援减缓时，俄罗斯改变战术，但目标不变
作者：Giorgio Provinciali
（原文全文链接：https://medium.com/@giorgioprovinciali/while-reinforcements-to-ukraine-slow-down-russia-changes-tactics-but-not-targets-b68a6decf7ff）
Dytiatkivska昨天整晚，俄罗斯联邦继续袭击乌克兰的民用目标，发射了380多架无人机和35枚其他各种型号的导弹，攻击几个地区的一系列能源基础设施，特别是与天然气运输相关的基础设施。
主要的攻击方向是切尔卡瑟、第聂伯罗彼得罗夫斯克、哈尔科夫、敖德萨、波尔塔瓦和苏梅等州。逃脱防空火力拦截的94个俄罗斯空中目标的冲击显示，莫斯科调整了弹道轨迹、发射动态，甚至可能调整了这些发射器的实际硬件，以透过规避动作来躲避乌克兰的防御。
俄罗斯发射的七枚Iskander-M/KN-23弹道导弹没有一枚被击落。俄军发射的近一半的Iskander-K巡航导弹和四分之一的Shahed/Geran/Gerbera无人机击中了约15个乌克兰场所。落在其他六个地点的碎片表明，这次袭击是诱饵无人机和导弹的协调攻击，这些导弹在标准弹道轨迹飞行途中就可以突然改变航向。这是个可怕的消息，特别是现在，乌克兰面临着唯一能够阻止俄罗斯弹道威胁的拦截器爱国者和Samp/T-的交付速度越来越慢的形势。
（图：我，拍摄地苏梅和哈尔科夫之间的这个小村庄正是俄罗斯袭击的乌克兰平民（房屋）基础设施-版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
由于这些袭击越来越多地在光天化日之下针对学校和医院等民用目标，除了昨天我们报道的那些之外，乌克兰各个地区的其他学校已转为远程教学。俄罗斯空军调整了其攻击方法，但没有改变目标。
例如，昨天在波尔塔瓦，就连乌克兰东正教圣尼古拉斯教堂也成为了目标，摧毁了它的五个壁龛。
为了应对越来越严重的袭击，包括那些使用FPV无人机和大炮的袭击，顿涅茨克州的宵禁已从下午3:00延长至上午11:00，涉及西韦尔斯卡、索莱达斯卡、托雷茨卡、莱曼斯卡、德鲁日科夫斯卡、伊利尼夫斯卡、科斯蒂安蒂诺夫斯卡、波克罗夫斯卡、赫罗迪夫斯卡、米尔诺格拉德斯卡、乌达奇南斯卡和沙希夫斯卡赫罗马达斯卡的所有定居点。该法令现已生效，通过要求居民每天在各自的家中封锁18小时，扩大了所谓的komendanstska hodyna这是一项必要的措施，因为俄罗斯人正在以前所未有的残暴针对平民和军事地点发动全面攻击，。
（图：在俄罗斯袭击期间，Alla在一栋乌克兰平民建筑内-版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
仅昨天一天，就有615枚炮弹射向札波罗热地区的17个定居点，试图开辟一个新的战线，以弥补在顿巴斯各个地区的失败。
乌克兰总参谋部有证据表明，在不远的埃涅尔霍达核电厂，俄军正试图以危险的方式将六座反应炉连接到俄罗斯电网。核电厂已被俄军劫持三年，并且在过去的11天里一直使用柴油发电机为其冷却，而柴油发电机自主性有限，仅有一周。乌克兰外交部长Andryi Sybiha报告说，俄罗斯人正是为此目的而故意关闭了札波罗热核电厂，现在正试图重新启动其反应炉，以展示普丁对该地区的控制，尽管他们曾向国际原子能总署承诺不会这样做。
Sybiha观察到，这本质上是另一项军事行动，继切尔诺贝利核电站停电后，显示了俄罗斯联邦采取的每一步是怎样代表着致命的风险和通往灾难的道路的开始。
自战争开始以来逐渐升级的事件并非巧合，而是证明普京毫不顾忌地将核安全用作武器。
这是俄罗斯人已经采取的削弱乌克兰防御的转变的进一步、危险的升级，使能源安全的薄弱点暴露给影响整个欧洲的战略后果。
（图：我和Alla在俄罗斯袭击后的乌克兰多布罗皮利亚????????-版权所有，Giorgio Provinciali）
