根据美国种族和党派人口数据预测2024总统大选结果

The data about Florida in the above table should be corrected, shown below.

County	Population	Democrats	Republicans
Alachua County	285,994	72,623	44,794
Baker County	28,532	3,647	12,219
Bay County	174,410	25,536	71,283
Bradford County	28,725	4,343	10,523
Brevard County	606,671	113,494	192,690
Broward County	1,932,212	503,632	253,512
Calhoun County	14,489	2,627	4,437
Charlotte County	187,904	31,754	76,842
Citrus County	149,383	22,259	66,211
Clay County	219,575	30,296	84,243
Collier County	387,450	52,400	137,833
Columbia County	70,617	10,116	22,850
DeSoto County	37,082	5,725	8,653
Dixie County	16,663	2,231	6,718
Duval County	982,080	238,953	227,962
Escambia County	323,714	62,332	95,984
Flagler County	114,173	23,504	45,520
Franklin County	11,864	2,103	3,547
Gadsden County	46,226	17,920	5,492
Gilchrist County	18,269	2,043	8,695
Glades County	13,609	1,598	3,862
Gulf County	14,724	2,603	6,649
Hamilton County	14,570	2,489	3,420
Hardee County	27,443	3,134	6,795
Hendry County	40,953	4,056	7,618
Hernando County	192,186	33,781	67,383
Highlands County	104,834	14,350	32,629
Hillsborough County	1,478,759	288,335	278,894
Holmes County	20,001	1,717	7,818
Indian River County	158,834	27,791	59,301
Jackson County	46,587	8,676	14,485
Jefferson County	14,394	4,086	4,349
Lafayette County	8,690	672	3,160
Lake County	366,742	59,842	115,902
Lee County	750,493	107,286	223,963
Leon County	299,484	94,407	53,055
Levy County	41,699	6,471	17,101
Liberty County	8,575	1,644	2,391
Madison County	18,954	5,041	5,134
Manatee County	398,503	69,707	129,534
Marion County	368,135	68,111	127,846
Martin County	161,301	24,789	60,074
Miami-Dade County	2,832,794	512,377	450,157
Monroe County	77,823	14,413	23,309
Nassau County	89,258	13,064	45,077
Okaloosa County	203,951	24,564	82,934
Okeechobee County	42,112	4,481	11,317
Orange County	1,415,260	322,541	214,177
Osceola County	387,055	81,286	59,347
Palm Beach County	1,466,494	320,260	271,069
Pasco County	542,638	100,804	168,164
Pinellas County	984,054	202,940	236,780
Polk County	715,090	133,278	180,076
Putnam County	73,723	11,356	23,982
Santa Rosa County	184,653	27,405	84,816
Sarasota County	438,816	85,531	153,370
Seminole County	476,727	111,072	118,613
St. Johns County	261,900	47,148	121,310
St. Lucie County	322,265	81,248	86,274
Sumter County	141,422	24,204	71,742
Suwannee County	45,463	5,768	15,888
Taylor County	22,436	2,618	6,692
Union County	15,410	1,887	4,785
Volusia County	551,588	103,617	155,912
Wakulla County	33,981	6,191	12,184
Walton County	74,724	7,787	37,847
Washington County	25,334	3,476	10,214
Total	22,467,811	4,505,698	5,126,924

The following table summarizes the population, number of registered Democrats, and number of registered Republicans for each county in Pennsylvania, including a final row that sums up the totals for each category.

关键州列表一，宾夕法尼亚 （Pennsylvania）

County	Population	Democrats	Republicans
Adams County	101,407	23,545	23,924
Allegheny County	1,245,954	445,360	251,929
Armstrong County	68,740	16,349	24,859
Beaver County	168,120	43,822	39,214
Bedford County	49,277	9,307	23,780
Berks County	425,747	109,339	179,832
Blair County	121,224	25,873	29,578
Bradford County	60,813	12,898	20,026
Bucks County	628,439	235,126	151,777
Butler County	190,773	36,048	72,791
Cambria County	135,849	27,491	30,250
Cameron County	5,085	1,029	2,469
Carbon County	64,825	17,452	15,462
Centre County	164,197	37,274	34,170
Chester County	546,793	161,407	173,163
Clarion County	39,376	7,991	15,883
Clearfield County	80,592	14,608	30,692
Clinton County	38,745	5,227	13,653
Columbia County	67,795	8,814	16,575
Crawford County	89,370	14,474	29,802
Cumberland County	249,120	63,013	74,211
Dauphin County	277,498	89,796	41,055
Delaware County	566,447	179,357	115,399
Elk County	30,940	3,906	14,581
Erie County	270,876	61,313	47,052
Fayette County	136,605	38,489	24,654
Forest County	7,226	861	4,144
Franklin County	155,406	34,601	47,133
Fulton County	14,592	1,429	7,000
Greene County	39,493	11,047	9,233
Huntingdon County	45,052	8,728	18,725
Indiana County	88,580	23,558	29,699
Jefferson County	45,331	7,869	16,788
Juniata County	24,635	5,132	8,738
Lackawanna County	214,437	53,928	32,305
Lancaster County	552,959	138,799	114,683
Lawrence County	88,258	16,282	23,049
Lebanon County	138,368	31,166	50,066
Lehigh County	367,360	107,490	57,839
Luzerne County	318,301	86,827	63,873
Lycoming County	114,188	24,883	40,047
Monroe County	168,327	33,906	47,670
Montgomery County	877,507	265,180	173,802
Montour County	19,916	3,924	6,179
Northampton County	316,823	79,763	55,246
Northumberland County	93,841	16,737	33,359
Perry County	45,072	7,544	18,278
Philadelphia County	1,585,010	831,013	224,882
Pike County	57,290	13,673	18,305
Potter County	16,885	1,679	6,537
Schuylkill County	143,701	47,040	35,923
Snyder County	39,140	5,916	13,636
Somerset County	77,074	20,033	19,567
Sullivan County	6,575	409	2,814
Susquehanna County	42,811	6,602	17,353
Tioga County	41,651	7,635	16,912
Union County	45,152	5,948	11,273
Venango County	54,240	8,809	19,201
Warren County	39,021	5,615	15,090
Washington County	207,804	62,938	46,899
Wayne County	51,235	11,589	18,374
Westmoreland County	365,168	108,339	64,661
Wyoming County	28,275	5,732	9,854
York County	453,799	118,667	88,257
Total	13,002,700	4,131,650	3,796,390

关键州列表二，佐治亚 （Georgia）

County	Population	Democrats	Republicans
Appling County	18,489	3,075	10,247
Atkinson County	8,238	814	2,075
Bacon County	11,114	1,755	3,824
Baker County	3,160	658	2,904
Baldwin County	48,327	15,098	14,057
Banks County	19,505	2,488	10,117
Barrow County	87,511	21,453	39,629
Bartow County	111,877	25,407	52,235
Ben Hill County	17,059	3,495	5,798
Berrien County	19,469	3,973	9,163
Bibb County	153,950	56,901	32,440
Bleckley County	12,188	1,869	4,012
Brantley County	19,136	3,178	9,529
Brooks County	16,239	2,343	4,988
Bulloch County	81,667	25,129	25,046
Burke County	22,89	8,569	4,650
Butts County	26,287	4,524	9,236
Calhoun County	6,429	805	2,373
Camden County	57,514	12,895	22,342
Candler County	11,271	2,674	4,491
Carroll County	123,262	28,619	41,314
Catoosa County	66,093	16,686	26,298
Charlton County	13,334	1,352	5,745
Chatham County	289,430	85,528	55,023
Chattahoochee County	13,846	2,257	3,056
Chattooga County	25,215	3,481	7,496
Cherokee County	264,408	36,214	90,307
Clay County	3,130	918	1,189
Clayton County	292,063	106,524	49,418
Clinch County	6,702	1,008	2,921
Cobb County	764,842	280,046	169,457
Coffee County	44,873	10,301	17,348
Colquitt County	46,983	10,202	17,637
Columbia County	192,016	41,408	41,728
Cook County	18,007	3,806	6,803
Coweta County	155,715	40,317	51,184
Crawford County	12,830	1,918	5,098
Crisp County	22,330	4,779	8,167
Dawson County	23,073	3,428	5,793
Decatur County	26,195	4,738	8,528
DeKalb County	774,848	308,977	68,580
Dodge County	20,408	2,757	8,713
Dooly County	13,204	2,540	4,101
Dougherty County	94,646	28,762	14,916
Douglas County	364,716	88,706	49,936
Early County	11,377	2,309	5,179
Echols County	4,054	689	1,362
Effingham County	63,659	17,002	22,879
Elbert County	19,104	2,599	7,130
Emanuel County	22,394	4,229	8,297
Evans County	10,879	2,043	4,214
Fannin County	25,229	3,551	7,245
Fayette County	121,560	37,128	78,937
Floyd County	99,566	33,221	25,126
Forsyth County	276,000	33,192	130,427
Franklin County	26,138	2,824	11,520
Fulton County	1,135,064	530,562	123,493
Gilmer County	31,283	4,098	8,121
Glascock County	3,071	367	1,287
Glynn County	89,270	22,913	35,798
Gordon County	56,182	12,257	14,824
Grady County	25,378	4,816	10,147
Greene County	17,423	2,065	7,561
Gwinnett County	922,562	352,488	155,713
Habersham County	43,908	7,614	13,691
Hall County	205,900	59,626	61,893
Hancock County	10,423	1,511	4,784
Haralson County	29,791	5,026	9,836
Harris County	37,903	7,564	16,794
Hart County	25,653	3,165	8,364
Heard County	12,726	1,971	5,095
Henry County	238,647	54,132	73,933
Houston County	162,651	41,586	67,422
Irwin County	9,250	1,392	3,792
Jackson County	76763	19,567	22,052
Jasper County	13,815	1,924	5,724
Jeff Davis County	15,464	2,300	5,776
Jefferson County	12,675	2,247	6,042
Jenkins County	8,955	1,749	3,589
Johnson County	9,424	1,639	4,756
Jones County	28,184	4,140	10,608
Lamar County	24,174	4,747	9,903
Lanier County	9,971	1,824	3,154
Laurens County	47,758	9,155	17,996
Lee County	33,112	6,019	16,337
Liberty County	66,069	18,652	19,677
Lincoln County	7,960	865	3,579
Long County	17,313	2,326	6,805
Lowndes County	121,887	34,465	45,701
Lumpkin County	35,998	4,116	14,135
Macon County	15,227	2,876	6,177
Madison County	29,567	3,819	11,067
Marion County	7,777	1,511	2,811
McDuffie County	22,500	3,590	11,573
McIntosh County	14,566	2,097	6,703
Meriwether County	21,285	4,087	8,394
Miller County	6,401	1,193	2,706
Mitchell County	20,824	4,417	8,272
Monroe County	25,021	4,256	10,974
Montgomery County	9,136	193	211
Morgan County	21,950	2,214	10,314
Murray County	40,668	7,001	14,217
Muscogee County	199,891	79,163	15,757
Newton County	153,701	41,365	48,235
Oconee County	43,801	6,429	17,045
Oglethorpe County	14,813	1,301	8,807
Paulding County	173,505	53,799	44,714
Peach County	28,134	5,811	10,026
Pickens County	33,646	5,415	13,942
Pierce County	19,743	2,564	8,341
Pike County	57,290	13,673	18,305
Polk County	45,724	8,210	21,157
Pulaski County	11,983	2,308	4,202
Putnam County	22,161	4,252	9,457
Quitman County	10,401	1,778	4,318
Rabun County	16,068	2,059	5,227
Randolph County	7,718	1,515	3,988
Richmond County	198,535	75,623	37,594
Rockdale County	93,953	28,176	37,636
Schley County	5,080	745	2,057
Screven County	14,883	3,135	7,960
Seminole County	9,300	1,816	4,125
Spalding County	66,302	22,200	21,993
Stephens County	40,460	6,098	18,744
Stewart County	6,988	964	3,235
Sumter County	31,353	6,728	12,732
Talbot County	6,238	866	2,880
Taliaferro County	1,646	262	687
Tattnall County	25,403	4,606	9,189
Taylor County	11,416	2,019	4,348
Telfair County	12,787	2,686	5,416
Terrell County	9,155	1,356	3,919
Thomas County	45,099	10,683	17,535
Tift County	40,049	9,175	16,137
Toombs County	27,193	5,154	9,975
Towns County	11,653	1,494	5,860
Treutlen County	6,063	1,064	2,845
Troup County	70,568	16,223	29,892
Turner County	8,634	1,563	3,685
Twiggs County	8,688	1,198	4,353
Union County	22,530	2,835	6,645
Upson County	27,273	5,184	10,185
Walker County	68,410	16,803	23,983
Waltoon County	42,688	10,305	14,226
Ware County	37,489	6,599	14,832
Warren County	5,010	786	2,181
Washington County	12,045	1,773	4,743
White County	32,101	5,034	13,892
Wilcox County	8,702	1,448	3,957
Wilkes County	10,160	1,411	4,353
Williamson County	5,024	646	2,830
Worth County	20,855	4,635	8,060
Total	10,837,158	2,889,615	3,690,885

关键州列表三，北卡 （North Carolina）

County	Population	Registered Democrats	Registered Republicans
Alamance County	178,232	54,947	27,550
Alexander County	36,230	8,070	14,812
Alleghany County	11,324	2,417	2,358
Anson County	22,160	9,658	5,328
Ashe County	26,814	5,351	4,736
Avery County	17,395	3,153	4,345
Beaufort County	43,993	12,491	10,043
Bertie County	16,954	7,326	2,240
Bladen County	29,008	13,077	4,855
Brunswick County	152,515	35,088	27,472
Buncombe County	273,403	90,012	36,596
Burke County	89,078	28,621	19,181
Cabarrus County	238,599	71,711	58,209
Caldwell County	81,587	23,478	20,138
Camden County	10,813	3,750	2,358
Carteret County	69,721	18,901	11,144
Caswell County	22,178	5,999	2,596
Catawba County	164,642	44,532	33,425
Chatham County	79,083	18,277	9,375
Cherokee County	28,947	5,081	12,208
Chowan County	13,760	3,376	1,950
Clay County	11,547	2,464	1,234
Cleveland County	100,022	26,181	20,986
Columbus County	50,051	15,207	6,879
Craven County	103,193	34,248	18,186
Cumberland County	340,748	117,685	57,872
Currituck County	30,814	7,436	8,569
Davidson County	174,101	43,798	41,195
Davie County	43,694	9,197	7,458
Duplin County	48,728	15,141	6,898
Durham County	334,379	109,457	30,865
Edgecombe County	48,246	12,915	5,457
Forsyth County	390,541	129,435	58,309
Franklin County	74,709	12,251	4,179
Gaston County	237,536	80,176	55,898
Gates County	10,422	2,795	2,027
Graham County	7,850	1,292	2,077
Granville County	61,686	15,049	10,739
Greene County	20,022	3,800	2,570
Guilford County	548,632	176,678	70,155
Halifax County	47,251	17,329	8,231
Harnett County	138,324	36,006	24,832
Haywood County	63,297	15,384	10,291
Henderson County	118,835	27,642	18,597
Hertford County	19,933	12,759	2,174
Hoke County	54,585	13,722	7,482
Hyde County	4,593	1,743	1,143
Iredell County	197,886	48,197	49,689
Jackson County	43,188	7,954	6,804
Johnston County	233,616	59,731	38,642
Jones County	9,091	1,798	3,160
Lee County	65,648	17,560	13,914
Lenoir County	54,105	10,003	8,681
Lincoln County	92,170	23,971	22,579
Macon County	37,636	7,759	5,871
Madison County	21,348	4,753	3,905
Martin County	21,327	5,360	2,347
McDowell County	44,369	10,736	7,284
Mecklenburg County	1,143,390	307,236	159,195
Mitchell County	14,834	1,687	8,604
Montgomery County	25,496	4,516	4,467
Moore County	105,650	27,243	20,670
Nash County	96,726	21,953	20,854
New Hanover County	235,502	60,017	32,507
Northampton County	16,612	5,750	2,358
Onslow County	209,492	61,983	38,367
Orange County	148,707	40,100	12,556
Pamlico County	12,217	2,884	1,036
Pasquotank County	40,938	10,234	5,280
Pender County	64,971	15,794	4,524
Perquimans County	13,112	2,485	1,123
Person County	39,184	10,627	3,215
Pitt County	173,481	55,790	22,832
Polk County	19,559	4,525	2,947
Randolph County	144,836	43,542	32,670
Richmond County	42,681	9,656	6,253
Robeson County	116,450	45,092	11,690
Rockingham County	91,649	24,830	18,980
Rowan County	150,714	37,601	36,168
Rutherford County	64,176	14,262	16,591
Sampson County	58,978	14,388	15,576
Scotland County	33,603	14,775	3,964
Stanly County	63,228	22,749	17,016
Stokes County	45,237	11,147	11,232
Surry County	71,250	14,240	14,451
Swain County	13,892	2,759	4,099
Transylvania County	32,917	9,001	5,902
Tyrrell County	3,358	330	802
Union County	250,814	57,387	58,861
Vance County	41,298	8,999	3,695
Wake County	1,171,331	320,400	139,002
Warren County	18,680	4,425	2,339
Washington County	10,595	1,344	3,671
Watauga County	54,736	13,687	5,300
Wayne County	116,614	32,900	29,541
Wilkes County	65,691	14,344	18,144
Wilson County	78,636	22,474	14,111
Yadkin County	37,329	8,234	7,356
Yancey County	18,415	2,853	1,190
Total	10,705,403	2,668,736	2,802,855

关键州列表四，威斯康辛 （Wisconsin）

County	Population	Registered Democrats	Registered Republicans
Adams County	20,118	4,133	3,212
Ashland County	15,292	3,394	1,231
Barron County	45,200	9,110	4,625
Bayfield County	15,604	3,267	1,104
Brown County	270,895	66,652	38,883
Buffalo County	13,296	2,800	1,244
Burnett County	15,676	2,823	1,184
Calumet County	50,883	15,204	10,297
Chippewa County	66,265	15,153	8,547
Clark County	34,153	7,720	4,132
Columbia County	59,391	12,561	7,540
Crawford County	16,710	4,107	1,964
Dane County	552,188	169,234	54,689
Dodge County	88,121	20,541	17,510
Door County	27,321	6,050	3,530
Douglas County	44,891	10,560	6,573
Dunn County	47,413	10,558	5,533
Eau Claire County	102,099	27,419	16,814
Florence County	4,408	1,036	514
Fond du Lac County	105,655	25,263	20,180
Forest County	9,284	1,900	605
Grant County	52,086	12,208	6,024
Green County	39,153	9,422	5,807
Green Lake County	19,135	3,638	2,725
Iowa County	23,809	5,215	3,521
Iron County	5,852	1,349	673
Jackson County	20,492	4,599	3,014
Jefferson County	84,245	23,490	13,565
Juneau County	26,199	5,678	3,220
Kenosha County	169,109	48,856	29,586
Kewaunee County	20,995	4,791	4,162
La Crosse County	120,480	34,767	22,374
Lafayette County	16,944	3,407	1,715
Langlade County	19,306	3,966	2,612
Lincoln County	28,422	5,778	3,643
Manitowoc County	79,361	23,000	14,475
Marathon County	135,268	35,173	20,868
Marinette County	40,871	7,910	5,002
Marquette County	15,121	3,680	1,286
Menominee County	4,213	1,186	206
Milwaukee County	947,735	308,752	48,222
Monroe County	45,778	10,257	5,671
Oconto County	37,934	8,073	5,202
Oneida County	35,994	7,533	3,833
Outagamie County	187,442	56,078	35,602
Ozaukee County	89,143	24,894	16,680
Pepin County	7,425	1,898	996
Pierce County	43,900	10,835	5,438
Polk County	44,487	10,270	5,574
Portage County	70,021	17,456	9,778
Price County	14,652	2,917	1,514
Racine County	195,509	60,724	29,090
Richland County	17,687	4,364	2,314
Rock County	162,936	45,924	25,403
Rusk County	14,268	3,136	1,656
Sawyer County	16,604	3,773	2,189
Shawano County	41,942	9,389	6,174
Sheboygan County	115,507	36,897	24,690
St. Croix County	90,894	25,482	14,790
Sauk County	64,013	16,598	10,217
Taylor County	20,221	3,586	2,150
Trempealeau County	29,603	6,801	4,049
Vernon County	29,766	6,876	4,492
Vilas County	22,370	4,251	2,645
Walworth County	103,555	29,532	19,713
Washburn County	15,668	2,932	1,633
Washington County	136,576	38,709	21,328
Waukesha County	399,888	102,174	87,361
Waupaca County	50,634	10,536	7,460
Waushara County	24,698	4,608	2,861
Winnebago County	167,626	41,421	26,480
Wood County	73,765	17,862	10,962
Total	5,822,634	1,600,974	915,868

关键州列表五，亚利桑那 （Arizona）

County	Population	Registered Democrats	Registered Republicans
Apache County	64,539	27,343	11,856
Cochise County	123,793	36,953	26,654
Coconino County	144,721	36,782	12,369
Gila County	54,084	10,189	5,450
Graham County	40,228	7,363	3,204
Greenlee County	9,411	2,063	1,155
La Paz County	16,885	3,837	3,368
Maricopa County	4,615,909	739,701	917,074
Mohave County	226,459	18,747	82,271
Pima County	1,068,848	257,347	119,041
Pinal County	503,441	152,817	100,656
Santa Cruz County	49,158	22,553	7,417
Yavapai County	251,932	42,057	64,186
Yuma County	217,568	51,312	44,870
Total	5,822,634	1,192,205	1,562,091

关键州列表六，Nevada

County	Population	Registered Democrats	Registered Republicans
Clark County	2,336,573	593,223	574,270
Washoe County	498,022	133,323	108,322
Lyon County	62,583	11,286	10,428
Carson City	58,036	18,790	19,100
Nye County	55,720	6,718	11,894
Elko County	54,293	7,919	12,849
Douglas County	49,545	11,368	16,214
Churchill County	25,803	3,188	4,153
Humboldt County	17,136	1,505	2,043
White Pine County	8,522	1,129	1,134
Pershing County	6,364	762	1,012
Lander County	5,769	634	564
Mineral County	4,528	423	669
Lincoln County	4,452	266	359
Storey County	4,177	446	585
Eureka County	1,917	215	267
Esmeralda County	736	115	53
Total	5,822,634	1,639,301	1,767,123

关键州列表七，Michigan

County	Population	Registered Democrats	Registered Republicans
Wayne County	1,751,169	602,121	387,058
Oakland County	1,270,426	438,151	357,269
Macomb County	875,101	291,576	307,134
Kent County	661,354	161,123	147,104
Genesee County	401,522	134,098	36,110
Washtenaw County	367,257	152,000	63,000
Ingham County	292,528	114,620	21,455
Livingston County	193,949	29,538	52,171
Calhoun County	247,299	55,300	36,331
Eaton County	114,243	25,130	20,194
Saginaw County	189,041	56,972	28,166
Branch County	45,932	10,205	7,155
Clinton County	75,204	15,234	18,339
Bay County	194,005	41,213	16,012
Kalamazoo County	261,329	77,992	25,165
Muskegon County	175,098	48,998	26,980
Monroe County	156,817	29,012	21,084
Jackson County	158,816	32,167	27,459
Alpena County	16,372	3,124	2,345
Other Counties	Estimated Total	215,000	200,000
Total	5,824,104	2,525,884	1,661,164

关键州少数族裔人口列表

State	Black Population	Hispanic Population
Pennsylvania	1,727,735 (12.3% of total)	1,049,615 (7.4% of total)
North Carolina	2,392,742 (21.8% of total)	1,118,596 (10.5% of total)
Georgia	3,549,349 (31.4% of total)	1,123,457 (11.4% of total)
Nevada	290,223 (9.35% of total)	890,257 (29.9% of total)
Arizona	425,315 (5.67% of total)	2,192,253 (30.7% of total)

 

Based on the data, it seems that Vice President Harris has a higher chance of winning the 2024 presidential campaign. Regardless of who is elected, America remains the most favored and blessed country by God on this planet.

用下面这张图作为本文的结束，向川老爷子致敬！无论谁当选，美利坚依然是这个地球上最受上帝青睐和祝福的国家。Praise the Lord!