周末看盘：问苍茫大地谁主沉浮？

2017年1月20日（上周五），挥舞着“让美国再次伟大”的旗帜，川普神气活现地步入白宫。在他16分钟的就职演讲中（从视频 1:30:38 时开始），他大声疾呼：

“。。。。。。We, the citizens of America, are now joined in a great national effort to rebuild our country and restore its promise for all of our people. Together we will determine the course of America and the world for many, many years to come. 。。。。。。”

标普过去6个月日线5天均线走势图：

看图说话：新年伊始，标普从2235点位反弹上升后，主要是在2260-2280点位之间窄幅震荡。K线图显示：MACD慢速移动平均线（蓝线）继续和快速移动平均线（红线）一起缓慢下降。MACD能量柱在0轴下方窄幅波动。所以，标普必须上冲突破2280点位的压制后多头才能旱地拔葱。在标普没有跌破2250点位的技术支撑前空头亦不得放肆。

标普过去5年周线5周均线走势图：

看图说话：在经历五波上升浪后，标普涨势目前停滞不前。K线图显示：标普周线图在5周均线上连续出现十字星，暗示技术回调趋势在增加。布林格线开口张大。MACD能量柱在下降。MACD慢速移动平均线（蓝线）和快速移动平均线（红线）在0轴上方30-45区间的乖离过大。标普周线出现量价背离，STO高位是否能够上冲90区间尚无定论。

标普过去10年月线5个月均线走势图：

看图说话：从2016年2月起，标普月线就一直沿5个月均线上升。目前，标普月线仍然维持3连阳的态势。K线图显示：标普月线牛势未尽。MACD能量柱仍在0轴上方。MACD慢速移动平均线（蓝线）和快速移动平均线（红线）在0轴上方70-75区间处出现金叉。拭目以待，看空头能否在本月最后的7个交易日里阻挡住标普月线继续上升的步伐。

芝加哥交易所波动指数VIX过去6个月日线5天均线走势图：

看图说话：在日线图上，VIX强势不再。K线图显示：VIX上周五实体中阴线下杀，一剑刺穿3条均线支撑。对大盘空头来说，实乃凶兆。MACD能量柱出现下穿0轴的趋势。STO在60区间附近即将出现死叉。VIX出现下探11的企图。

美元过去12个月日线10天均线走势图：

看图说话：2017年始，美元上升颓势尽显。在10日均线的压迫下，美元节节败退。能否守住$100美元的底线，大有疑问。STO在45区间附近出现死叉。但是，下跌空间有限。估计美元在$99左右会站稳脚跟，开始技术反弹。是否是形成头肩顶的右肩后下跌还是展现一轮新的技术反转还有待观察。

黄金过去12个月日线10天均线走势图：

看图说话：从2016年圣诞节起，黄金开始了新的一轮技术反弹。现在，黄金沿10日均线多头排列，豪情万丈。大有上冲$1250-$1275的趋势。只要黄金日线稳定在$1230上方，多方自然不会轻易放弃。一旦黄金跌破$1225的技术支撑，大千小散喜爱日冲和波段冲浪者还是应该锁利退出观望。K线图显示：黄金10日均线和20日均线之间乖离过大，大千小散要当心黄金当日冲高后MM抽楼板回调。MACD能量柱在向0轴回归。MACD慢速移动平均线（蓝线）和快速移动平均线（红线）在0轴上方5-10区间处可能出现缠绕。STO在区间中段现在是处于可上可下的位置。

石油过去12个月日线10天均线走势图：

看图说话：从日线图上看，石油将开始一轮新的技术反弹。只要石油维持在$55以上，石油日线上冲的希望不变。只是反弹的强度和持续时间有待于受美元的疲软程度和石油库存及其他经济技术指标的影响。K线图显示：MACD能量柱在向0轴回升。MACD慢速移动平均线（蓝线）和快速移动平均线（红线）在0轴上方0.25-0.5区间将相互接近。能否形成金叉，必须等待新出现的K线组合才能正确判断。

结论：
川普政府组阁以及其经济政策的不确定性将继续影响未来一周美股大盘的短期走势。所以，美元仍然暂时疲软，黄金趁机技术反弹。但是，本周三石油库存报告将影响石油油价的走势。无疑，美股大盘走势将由本周五即将出笼的GDP报告一锤定音。 因此， 美元和黄金的决战即将展开。。。。。。

"Chief Justice Roberts, President Carter, President Clinton, President Bush, President Obama, fellow Americans and people of the world, thank you.

We, the citizens of America, are now joined in a great national effort to rebuild our country and restore its promise for all of our people. Together we will determine the course of America and the world for many, many years to come. We will face challenges. We will confront hardships, but we will get the job done. Every four years we gather on these steps to carry out the orderly and peaceful transfer of power and we are grateful to President Obama and First Lady Michelle Obama for their gracious aid throughout this transition. They have been magnificent. Thank you.

Today's ceremony, however, has very special meaning because, today, we are not merely transferring power from one administration to another or from one party to another, but we are transferring power from Washington, D.C., and giving it back to you, the people.

For too long, a small group in our nation's capital has reaped the rewards of government while the people have born the cost. Washington flourished, but the people did not share in its wealth. Politicians prospered, but the jobs left and the factories closed. The establishment protected itself, but not the citizens of our country. Their victories have not been your victories. Their triumphs have not been your triumphs and, while they celebrated in our nation's capital, there was little to celebrate for struggling families all across our land.

That all changes starting right here and right now because this moment is your moment. It belongs to you. It belongs to everyone gathered here today and everyone watching all across America. This is your day. This is your celebration, and this, the United States of America, is your country.

What truly matters is not which party controls our government, but whether our government is controlled by the people. January 20th, 2017, will be remembered as the day the people became the rulers of this nation again. The forgotten men and women of our country will be forgotten no longer.

Everyone is listening to you now. You came by the tens of millions to become part of an historic movement, the likes of which the world has never seen before. At the center of this movement is a crucial conviction that a nation exists to serve its citizens. Americans want great schools for their children, safe neighborhoods for their families, and good jobs for themselves. These are just and reasonable demands of righteous people and a righteous public, but for too many of our citizens, a different reality exists.

Mothers and children trapped in poverty in our inner cities, rusted out factories scattered like tombstones across the landscape of our nation, an education system flush with cash, but which leaves our young and beautiful students deprived of all knowledge and the crime and the gangs and the drugs that have stolen too many lives and robbed our country of so much unrealized potential. This American carnage stops right here and stops right now.

We are one nation and their pain is our pain. Their dreams are our dreams and their success will be our success. We share one heart, one home and one glorious destiny. The oath of office I take today is an oath of allegiance to all Americans. For many decades, we've enriched foreign industry at the expense of American industry, subsidized the armies of other countries, while allowing for the very sad depletion of our military.

We've defended other nations' borders, while refusing to defend our own, and spent trillions and trillions of dollars overseas, while America's infrastructure has fallen into disrepair and decay. We've made other countries rich while the wealth, strength and confidence of our country has dissipated over the horizon. One by one, the factories shuttered and left our shores with not even a thought about the millions and millions of American workers that were left behind. The wealth of our middle class has been ripped from their homes and then redistributed all across the world.

But, that is the past and now we are looking only to the future. We assembled here today, are issuing a new decree to be heard in every city, in every foreign capital, and in every hall of power. From this day forward, a new vision will govern our land. From this day forward, it's going to be only America first. America first. Every decision on trade, on taxes, on immigration, on foreign affairs will be made to benefit American workers and American families.

We must protect our borders from the ravages of other countries making our products, stealing our companies and destroying our jobs. Protection will lead to great prosperity and strength. I will fight for you with every breath in my body and I will never, ever let you down.

America will start winning again. Winning like never before. We will bring back our jobs. We will bring back our borders. We will bring back our wealth. And we will bring back our dreams. We will build new roads and highways and bridges and airports and tunnels and railways all across our wonderful nation. We will get our people off of welfare and back to work rebuilding our country with American hands and American labor. We will follow two simple rules: buy American and hire American. We will seek friendship and goodwill with the nations of the world, but we do so with the understanding that it is the right of all nations to put their own interests first.

We do not seek to impose our way of life on anyone, but rather to let it shine as an example. We will shine for everyone to follow. We will reinforce old alliances and form new ones and unite the civilized world against radical Islamic terrorism, which we will eradicate completely from the face of the earth. At the bedrock of our politics will be a total allegiance to the United States of America and, through our loyalty to our country, we will rediscover our loyalty to each other. When you open your heart to patriotism, there is no room for prejudice.

The bible tells us how good and pleasant it is when god's people live together in unity. We must speak our minds openly, debate our disagreements honestly, but always pursue solidarity. When America is united, America is totally unstoppable. There should be no fear. We are protected and we will always be protected. We will be protected by the great men and women of our military and law enforcement and most importantly, we will be protected by God.

Finally, we must think big and dream even bigger. In America, we understand that a nation is only living as long as it is striving. We will no longer accept politicians who are all talk and no action constantly complaining, but never doing anything about it. The time for empty talk is over. Now arrives the hour of action. Do not allow anyone to tell you that it cannot be done. No challenge can match the heart and fight and spirit of America. We will not fail. Our country will thrive and prosper again.

We stand at the birth of a new millennium ready to unlock the histories of space, to free the earth from the miseries of disease and to harness the energies, industries, and technologies of tomorrow. A new national pride will lift our sights and heal our divisions. It's time to remember that old wisdom our soldiers will never forget, that whether we are black or brown or white, we all bleed the same red blood of patriots. We all enjoy the same glorious freedoms, and we all salute the same great American flag.

And whether a child is born in the urban sprawl of Detroit or the windswept plains of Nebraska, they look up at the same night sky. They fill their heart with the same dreams and they are infused with the breath of life by the same almighty creator. So, to all Americans in every city near and far, small and large, from mountain to mountain, from ocean to ocean, hear these words: You will never be ignored again. Your voice, your hopes and your dreams will define our American destiny. And your courage and goodness and love will forever guide us along the way.

Together we will make America strong again. We will make America wealthy again. We will make America proud again. We will make America safe again. And, yes, together, we will make America great again. Thank you. God bless you and god bless America. Thank you. God bless America."

美股大盘综合信息报导

周末看盘： 问苍茫大地谁主沉浮？