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No.3 stock competition (Oct 17 - Nov 18)

(2005-10-16 11:06:00) 下一个
15-Oct Symbol Open WXC ID  Vol (Oct 15) 
long AA 22.97 股仙  6,763,900 
long AMGN 75.75 blueskyLA  7,100,637 
long BIDU 67.27 股王出山  1,307,298 
long BIIB 38.02 mg  3,085,235 
long BMY 22.31 Stock008  4,887,200 
long BVF 22.82 精彩  657,800 
long BXG 16.36 很不一般  89,100 
long CKCM 15.5 bigtree71  626,215 
long CMED 19.84 爷爷  128,416 
long CTRP 59.66 turtleT  72,349 
long CVS 24.98 人言  6,022,600 
long CYBX 27.94 funnyornot  447,013 
long DCAI 10.44 nothing88  193,918 
long EBAY 39.7 isherlock  12,317,839 
long EMC 12.98 FA*TA=FAT  12,931,700 
long EPEX 21.75 Turnaround  555,479 
long GERN 9.45 FaCai168  634,702 
long GOOG 296.14 __nobody   8,460,437 
long GOOG 296.14 熊弟连   8,460,437 
long NOVL 7.21 DOW  3,902,939 
long NSM 23.79 九头鸟  6,148,100 
long NVDA 32.03 ILoveBA  2,578,935 
long PALM 26.73 buydip?  927,897 
long PMCS 7.8 LAChinese  3,647,167 
long PTR 76.53 rain01  1,037,200 
long RMBS 11.66 芝加哥  1,975,410 
long SCH 13.13 刨丁  7,041,300 
long sgtl 14.54 抽奖活动  797,705 
long SIFY 5.03 deepGreen  267,170 
long SINA 23.99 Bitch_lton  720,667 
long SNDA 23.68 applause.   637,957 
long SNDA 23.68 mg   637,957 
long SOHU 15.68 88.88   496,103 
long SOHU 15.68 42买snda的痛   496,103 
long STX 15.24 HIchinese  6,142,600 
long XING 5.41 tearose  163,505 
long XLE 48.34 burrito  30,814,100 
long YHOO 33.52 风雨无阻  17,200,585 
short AAPL 54 firework99  36,764,442 
short AMD 21.19 uptrend  15,113,700 
short BMHC 75.73 scooby-doo  827,825 
short BRCM 43.73 耐心的鹰  7,047,736 
short ELN 8.1 不骗你  3,728,100 
short FDX 87.6 hhha  1,299,800 
short GOOG 296.14 追风大老虎   8,460,437 
short SNDK 50.44 重剑  15,337,319 
short SOHU 15.68 紫霞西游   496,103 
short SVA 6.4 BAD-IB  1,136,000
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=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 No.3 比赛结果

http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=341282

不计范围前三名: Symbol Last %Change OPEN ID 1.爷爷 long CMED 19.84 close 34.53 74.04% 2.bigtree71 long CKCM 15.50 close 26.47 70.77% 3.deepGreen long SIFY 5.03 close 7.20 43.14% 20%规则前三名: long XING 5.41 close 6.89 27.36% tearose long YHOO 33.52 close 41.54 23.93% 风雨无阻 long RMBS 11.66 close 14.33 22.90% 芝加哥
Symbol Last %Change OPEN ID
CMED 34.53 74.04% 19.84 爷爷
CKCM 26.47 70.77% 15.5 bigtree71
SIFY 7.2 43.14% 5.03 deepGreen
GOOG 400.21 35.14%
ELN 10.71 32.22%
XING 6.89 27.36%
AMD 26.74 26.19%
YHOO 41.54 23.93%
RMBS 14.33 22.90%
AAPL 64.56 19.56%
DCAI 12.48 19.54% 10.44 nothing88  
BIIB 45.33 19.23% 38.02 mg  
SOHU 18.13 15.62% 15.68 88.88 42买snda的痛
GLW 20.95 15.30%
AA 26.4 14.93%
SCH 14.96 13.94%
NVDA 36.19 12.99%
NOVL 8.13 12.76%
EBAY 44.67 12.52%
FDX 97.8 11.64%
SNDK 56.2 11.42%
STX 16.98 11.42%
BRCM 48.28 10.40%
EPEX 23.99 10.30%
AMGN 83.22 9.86%
NSM 25.82 8.53%
CVS 26.92 7.77%
EMC 13.98 7.70%
BIDU 70.92 5.43%
SINA 24.92 3.88%
BMHC 78.49 3.64%
SVA 6.6 3.12%
PTR 77.74 1.58%
XLE 49.04 1.45%
CYBX 28.26 1.15%
BXG 16.4 0.24%
BMY 22.3 -0.04%
PMCS 7.74 -0.77%
PALM 26.18 -2.06%
GERN 9.19 -2.75%
BVF 22.12 -3.07%
CTRP 56.5 -5.30%
SGTL 13.53 -6.95%
OSIP 23.72 -7.49%
SNDA 20.1 -15.12%
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 week 29 +2.28%
week 30 -14.23%
week 31 -5.84%
week 32 -0.05%
week 33 -12.28%
week 34 -12.11%
week 35 -6.95%
week 36 -6.67%
week 37 -12.83%
week 38 -3.17%
week 39 -4.91%
week 40 -4.19%
week 41 +28.55%
week 42 -20.39%
week 43 +2.8%
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 My TASR prediction is correct. BREAK DOWN 12 month surport line. then strong sell.

http://bigcharts.marketwatch.com/charts/big.chart?symb=tasr&compidx=aaaaa%3A0&ma=4&maval=12&uf=8&lf=268435456&lf2=4&lf3=32&type=4&size=2&state=8&sid=661485&style=350&time=12&freq=3&comp=NO%5FSYMBOL%5FCHOSEN&nosettings=1&rand=5727&mocktick=1

It looks like 12 is a good parameter for monthly chart. 52 or 53 is a good weekly parameter.
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 让后市判断我的预测。

MSFT will check 23.5-23.75 in future 1-2 months.( I don't have it and it is too slow )
NTES will check 40-60 range in 1-2 months. ( No shares to borrow )
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 科技股和网络股将大幅调整。
石油黄金航空,将在这里盘整,等待方向。
中概大幅高估,有很大下跌空间。Q4没投资价值. 在BIDU 职工股 2006 1Q 上市前不再投机中概。
零售股可能11 中旬-12月有戏。但力度估计要小于去年. 零售股波动比较慢,可以做swing trade.

Nov 1st 可能再次大幅下跌.



=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 Market still in big downtrend. I would see no bounce even after FED announcement.

个人感觉 downtrend will last for at least 2 weeks.

Bounce depends on if consumers would like to spend money on Week (nov 14-18) and week (nov 21-25)
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 Department sales report (till now)

week 29 2.28%
week 30 -14.23%
week 31 -5.84%
week 32 -0.05%
week 33 -12.28%
week 34 -12.11%
week 35 -6.95%
week 36 -6.67%
week 37 -12.83%
week 38 -3.17%
week 39 -4.91%
week 40 -4.19%
week 41 28.55%
week 42 -20.39%
=不骗你 回复 悄悄话 RULE #1:
必须是$5/S 以上的股. 不准垃圾股.可long 可short.

RULE #2:
不准选HIGH FLYER 股.
一个月内, 如果PROFIT 超过20%. 这股就算是HIGH FLYER 股.(比如BIDU short at 78.35 .if it is below 62.68. short BIDU 就burst掉了 at the OE day close.

Rule #3:
报价以今天收盘价为准,成绩 以 OE day(Nov. 18th) 收盘为准。以后时间就定OE 周期吧。(比较好算)

Rule #4
你必须有Wenxuecity ID.


I will make a Excel file to record and check the price. 我出去了,回来再搞。截止日期Saturday 12PM


Ref to Post:
http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=326178
1.http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=314260
2.http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=325453
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