6月6日关盘CAT 84.65,收了个大十字星,听说大十字星在不断的下降时出现,可能是转势的信号,从Fibonacci的理论来开,W1走完,W2也走完?要开始W3?要是大形势配合的话,和SP同步到1700?
如果大形势不配合,那么继续下,下到80,81,82?加仓!如果上升,要注意近期中的各个resistance,MA50 85.44 / BB中线 86.65 / BB 上沿 89.10,还有 L和 R这个大W处的resistance,需长期hold。
CAT受经济形势的影响,中国的形势尤其重要。
Caterpillar lost half a percent, even as gold and silver prices posted modest gains. Caterpillar finds itself in a difficult position, as low metals prices will likely force many of its mining-company clients to delay or downsize purchases of capital equipment. Ordinarily, cyclical economic improvement would bode well for the company, but to the extent that improving conditions lead to less monetary accommodation from central banks, prices of metals could fall further, and jeopardize that part of Caterpillar's business, even if construction and infrastructure activity pick up. That will be a difficult line for the company to walk in the year ahead.
7/24/2013 ER
small dividend
ah39写于6/8/2013(24)
6/11/2013 note: 这个十字星没有像预期那样是中继,股票往下掉,今天closing 83.52,这两天还一度掉到82ish。
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/06/last-weeks-worst-performing-dow-components.aspx
Last Week's Worst Performing Dow Components
CAT 7/5/13 82.14
7/14/2013 Many analysts have contributed Caterpillar's rising share price with rising gold prices this week. As concerns about inflation creep into investors' minds, gold is seen as a safe haven and a shield against losing buying power, and increasing precious-metal prices help mining companies and mining equipment manufacturers such as Caterpillar. But despite a strong one-week performance, shares of Caterpillar are still down 2.72% year to date.
看来Cat与大盘同步,金子的反弹也帮了忙。
http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2013/07/22/will-this-stock-bounce-off-the-bottom-wednesday.aspx
Will This Stock Bounce off the Bottom Wednesday?M(ER) CAT 的性质
http://beta.fool.com/hoangquocanh/2013/07/22/should-we-avoid-caterpillar-now/40773/?source=eogyholnk0000001