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King of Day-Trading
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坦白地说，这次抄底没有踩好点，10:00 Consumer Confidence 数据差得出乎预料。呵呵，低老大言之有理。
我原先的估计是inline or a bit better than expected，so the bad data at 10am caught me in surprise。From trading point of view，nevertheless，the timing of this buydip was no good as a few minutes would be well worth waiting。However，what\'s done is done，I\'ll leave it as it is。Although the indices right now look like certainly to be going lower given the relentless selling pressure being observed since June 21st，I still remain bullish on the mid-term performance of the US equity markets and hold up the goal that SP500 will reach out 1250 by Oct. 2010。
Of evidences to support my market view, it\'s mainly political rather than economic or technical: an under-table deal between Obama and Wall Street，the mid-term election, plus an engineered inflation which is looming large on the horizon。。。Of course，the 2Q ER must offer some hope to fence off rising suspicions。。。
If you picture the chart in a longer time frame，the fluctuation we had today would appear like a flat baseline when you look back at the heights in a few months。I\'ll try my best not to trade on news or data for this last train to heaven。Honestly speaking，I\'m not worried。
So，when the majority is screaming a head & shoulder and many are on a run to take covers for the incoming water falls，I\'m buying and thinking of a getaway trip to somewhere remote。。。
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来源: 多吉 于 10-06-29 06:54:23
SP1051.5，买单触发。这早盘是个熊套。。。
来源: 低手中的低手 于 10-06-29 07:03:55
为何非要在这里？俺觉得埋单是最糟糕的交易手法，尤其是下跌通道时。如果是上升通道，buy dips 还是make sense 的。。。
我原先的估计是inline or a bit better than expected，so the bad data at 10am caught me in surprise。From trading point of view，nevertheless，the timing of this buydip was no good as a few minutes would be well worth waiting。However，what\'s done is done，I\'ll leave it as it is。Although the indices right now look like certainly to be going lower given the relentless selling pressure being observed since June 21st，I still remain bullish on the mid-term performance of the US equity markets and hold up the goal that SP500 will reach out 1250 by Oct. 2010。
Of evidences to support my market view, it\'s mainly political rather than economic or technical: an under-table deal between Obama and Wall Street，the mid-term election, plus an engineered inflation which is looming large on the horizon。。。Of course，the 2Q ER must offer some hope to fence off rising suspicions。。。
If you picture the chart in a longer time frame，the fluctuation we had today would appear like a flat baseline when you look back at the heights in a few months。I\'ll try my best not to trade on news or data for this last train to heaven。Honestly speaking，I\'m not worried。
So，when the majority is screaming a head & shoulder and many are on a run to take covers for the incoming water falls，I\'m buying and thinking of a getaway trip to somewhere remote。。。
*************************************************************
来源: 多吉 于 10-06-29 06:54:23
SP1051.5，买单触发。这早盘是个熊套。。。
来源: 低手中的低手 于 10-06-29 07:03:55
为何非要在这里？俺觉得埋单是最糟糕的交易手法，尤其是下跌通道时。如果是上升通道，buy dips 还是make sense 的。。。
如果我们看S&P这20年的图，我们看到了什么？一个双顶，这一年多的回升很像是在去做第三个顶，更bullish的可能是这次突破双顶的范围。也就是说，在这种bullish的可能性下，目标价位是1400+。
如果我们认为这种可能有道理，那再用对称原理看一下图，攀升第一个顶的时候的大回调在哪里？就是98年的回调。有趣的是，98年也是世界杯年，同时98年的危机也是国际债务危机，但最后是美国得益。