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什么是 TED SPREAD ? (图)

(2008-10-14 16:14:46) 下一个

Many people ask me what is TED SPREAD?  Where to get Ted spread quote.  From here you can get most of the answers. Hope this will be helpful.

What is TED SPREAD?

The TED spread is the difference between three-month LIBOR (the London Inter Bank Offered Rate) and three-month US Treasury bills

The 3-month Treasury is virtually risk-free (backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government), while lending money to banks can be hazardous to your bottom line. Those who lend to banks deserve something in return for taking on that risk – a premium above what they would have earned by buying Treasuries. That premium is called the TED spread.

Where to find TED SPREAD Chart?

Here is the link for TED SPREAD quote and daily chart:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/quote?ticker=.TEDSP:IND

Why TED SPREAD is so important?

There are more than 45 Trilling capital lending around Global based on LIBOR rate. That includes Mortgage Rate, Home loan, Business loan, Student loan, Car loan, etc. If TED SPREAD remains at high level, business can not get loan from the banks or significantly increase the cost of borrowing, this could seized business or significantly damage the business earning power. Most Companies can not do business with each other. This will cause deep economic recession.

Why TED SPREAD is important to stock market?

The current crisis is a function of tight credit. The focus should be on the TED spread, which directly measures credit conditions and is a widely watched barometer of interbank lending.

Last Friday, the TED spread widened to about 455 basis points, the biggest gap in over a decade. This is a spread that many market observers never envisioned seeing. The TED spread is usually around 50 basis points, but rose above 100 basis during the start of the credit crisis. On Sept. 5, the TED spread was just 104 basis points. The most troubling aspect of this 450 plus spread is the fact that the current TED spread mirrors the spread level before the market crash of 1987.

Why is the TED spread rising?

Banks are not keen to lend money right now, and they are demanding a higher premium to do so. After all, so many financial institutions have fallen by the wayside recently, with new names added to the list daily, and this has severely dampened enthusiasm for lending.

The three-month LIBOR is essentially what banks charge each other to borrow money. The spread also reflects declining yields for three-month treasury bills as investors flee to the safety of treasuries, paying higher prices for the three-month bills and accepting lower yields. As investors flock to ultra-safe government treasury bills, yields have fallen. Also, banks' distrust of lending to each other pushes interbank lending rates up, creating a large spread. The TED spread is a key indicator of risk. A wide spread indicates a bigger aversion to risk and points to evidence of distress in the financial market.

Happy Trading!!

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阅读 ()评论 (17)
评论
ttuu 回复 悄悄话 waveplyer兄,你好!

去看了一下bloomberg网站,个股代码相对熟悉,但像Ted Spread、vix、libor之类非股票的代码不知道怎么才能在bloomberg网站上查到呢?

多谢!
tigeroil 回复 悄悄话 谢谢大佬
wavePlayer 回复 悄悄话 回复tigeroil的评论:是吕思清演奏的《锺爱一生》

tigeroil 回复 悄悄话 请问大佬,你的页面小提琴的音乐很好听,能不能告诉我曲子的名字。
谢谢了
jli88 回复 悄悄话 Thanks for the comment.

Do you think if the market will make new low this week? If yes, how low will it be? Thanks

Thanks.
nyy27 回复 悄悄话 I love your comments, keep up good work!
回复 悄悄话 非常感激wave 这么耐心地给予讲解。相信好人有好报!
请问您认为这OE后面2天大致方向怎么样啊?我昨天PUT出早了,没有赚钱。今天也不敢买了,有点怕。唉,老是把握不好合理的买点和卖点,真是郁闷。
lonely101 回复 悄悄话 WP, appreciate your comments. It will help me to identify such "confirmed bounce mode" in the future.
wavePlayer 回复 悄悄话 回复lonely101的评论:Thanks for coming. Friday Dow had 1000 swing from deep loss -700 to near +300, this is strong signal that market due for a strong bounce. I bought some stronge but oversold stocks such as AAPL, etc, just a few minutes before market close.
lonely101 回复 悄悄话 Your post is very helpful. I really enjoy reading your post or comments. I also like your real trading examples, like today's SKF trade. You mentioned that you bought stocks/options on Friday. I'm wondering what you bought on Friday, and when you bought them on Friday. I was watching the market on Friday whole day, but didn't buy anything.
new88 回复 悄悄话 顶老大, 你总是这么耐心地指导我们散户, 给我们提供了大量的帮助, 谢谢你---WP老大
junezhang1122 回复 悄悄话 谢谢老师.学到了不少.
mojoe 回复 悄悄话 Thank you for the great explanation! Very helpful.
HappyQueen 回复 悄悄话 Thanks!
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