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回复:比灵通. 可叹你的AMZN 到现在还不知道是怎么亏的.

(2007-08-07 21:32:53) 下一个
没有挤兑你的意思. 可你也该吃一欠长一智吧! 不然, 你被消灭掉的时候不远了.

实在看不过你这样糊涂,说说为什么AMZN 今天疯涨.

1. AMZN 疯涨的主因是季报前普遍看跌, short position 竟然有45million 之多, short ratio 达:6.8 (按average trading volume, need 6.8 days to absorb those short position) Short position 占 floating share 15%. AH, AMZN has positive ER suprise. It was perfort shortom for short queeze. You are not alone in this massacre. It could be avoid if you cover your short AH.

2. There are four upgrades today alone after AMZN report knockout earning report.

3. Before ER, AMZN had average rating 3.1 ( 4 is the worst) 20 analyst rate AMZN as hold, sell or strong sell. Despite terrible rating, AMZN out perform market in past 2 months. Long term moving average trend up, Short term moving average trend up. Because the expectation is extremely low, there is a little room to the down side and plenty of room for upside.

You should avoid to short this kind of stock at first place. Trading stock is not gambling. But you are not the only person to bet on wrong side. You mistake is: Risk management. After you know the ER yesterday, you should close your short position in AH. If you know above facts, it is not difficult to make this decision.

Take care.


(原贴)

兄弟,我今天早晨7点就守着,想在50止掉,根本没机会.犹豫一下
来源: 比灵通 于 07-04-25 16:44:30 [档案] [博客] [旧帖] [转至博客] [给我悄悄话]

想等开盘一轮获利盘出来再止损,它直接去55了.我根本没机会




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