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2009房屋市场展望
(2009-01-03 16:40:08)

前言：我住在洛杉矶，但目前还没有买房子。听说洛杉矶的房屋市场将会在2009年继续领跌全美(CNNMoney:10worstreal-estatemarketsfor2009,http://money.cnn.com/galleries/2008/fortune/0812/gallery.worst_markets.fortune/index.html)，许多有房子的华人朋友坚信房市不会继续下滑(驼鸟心态?)，而还没有买房的朋友多在谈论抄底房市(抄底抄在半山腰?)，于是我决定利用这假日做一番自己的独立研究,特与各位分享。[阅读全文]
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How are FMN & FRE doing?
(2008-09-29 00:09:42)

AnyoneboughtFMNandFREearlylastweekenjoyedasignificantgainandsomeofthemprobablyalreadylockedtheprofit.Justlikethebroadmarket,thesetwoguysarealsowaitingatthekeypointandwonderingwhichwaytogo.Iftheyareabletobreakthroughtheresistancelinewiththehelpofbailoutplan,theymaypresentanotherphenomenalgain.Letusseehowitturnsoutnextweek...
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My homework regarding current market
(2008-09-28 23:36:46)

Itisoneofthosekeypointofthemarkets.SoIwouldliketogetpreparedforthepotentialbigmovementnextweek.Itappearsthatthemarketisreadyforashorttermbigupmove.However,theriskisstillsubstantial.itwillbesomehowdisastrousifthebailoutplancan\'tchangethecurrentdowntrend,orevenfailtostimulateameaningfuljump.
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I believe that house price will have a big dive soon!
(2008-03-16 23:24:37)
Housemarketisamarket,soitwillalsohavetopandbottom.SincethehousemarkethastopedprobablylastJulyandhasjuststartedgoingdown,itwilltakesomemoretimetoreachbottom,maybein3-5yearsorlonger.Sincehousepriceincreased2-5foldsinlast5-8yearsdependingonthelocations,Ibelievethathousepricewillatleastdrop50%innextfiveyears.Themeltdownofthehousemarketwillneedsomecatalystlikethesubprimeloan,whichwillcreatepropersellin...[阅读全文]
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Crash of california house market on the way (图)
(2008-03-15 20:48:41)


ThemedianhomepriceinCaliforniahasdroppedabout22%comparedthesametimeayearago(http://www.car.org/index.php?id=MzE3ODY=).Thesalevolumehasdropped30%andthemediantimeofthefor-salehomeonmarketincreased120%comparedtoayearago.Asyoucanseefromthefigure,therealcrashoftheCaliforniahousemarketstartedlastSeptemberandisgettingworse.Themedianhomepriceslashedalmost10%inonlyjustonemonthinJanuary.Itispossibletha...[阅读全文]
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