穿越大洋
红日初升，我们昂首海天，万千心事飘落海的中央......相望于大洋，时代予我仅仅几十年，我行走的轨迹在永恒中只是一瞬。
希拉里说与奥巴马同台令她“荣幸”。两人的辩论不够精彩激烈,都没有明显得分.这样沉闷的辩论是政客的舞台,不是人民的盛宴.Obama的黑人口音在我听起来不如Hillary的发音清晰.德州与俄州将成为真正的绞肉场.拭目以待!
26日俄州辩论
巴拉克.奥巴马和希拉里.克林顿在一对一的高层辩论中激烈交锋，互相指责.最后一博的希拉里有些落寞. 更多的超级代表支持奥巴马.更多的人们开始客观冷静地评论和分析奥巴马现象.如果各取一州,双方将进入真正的疲劳期,最终的结果会很难预料.
Never count out Hillary
精彩的一连串竞选过后,是漫长的等待.绝望的Hillary赢得了调整的机会,10万志愿者开进徳俄两州,88小时88县扫票,竞选机器完全运转. 3月4日美国总统选举的四个州预选结束，希拉里终于连胜3场，赢得了俄亥俄州、得克萨斯州和罗得岛州的初选胜利，这也挽救了她岌岌可危的竞选之路。Obama只拿下Vermont.这一幕很容易让人联想到希拉里在今年1月输掉第一场预选后，顶住压力赢得了第2场预选的胜利。共和党方面，总统竞选人麦凯恩则以全胜战绩，完全锁定了党内提名战的胜局. 美联社说，希拉里之所以能使奥巴马的获胜势头放缓，一方面因为奥巴马轻敌，另一方面要归功于希拉里阵营行之有效的战术。2月26日俄州辩论后，奥巴马对反击共和党总统竞选人麦凯恩过于专注，却忽略党内劲敌希拉里。不经意间，希拉里投放的一则电视广告直击奥巴马要害。广告把希拉里塑造成拥有丰富国家安全决策经验的总统，“凌晨3时，你的孩子正在安睡”，希拉里应是那时那刻接听危机电话的白宫主人。5日公布的投票站出口民意调查结果显示，希拉里的战术对摇摆不定的选民相当奏效，一些调头支持奥巴马的选民群体也重回希拉里怀抱。
德州奇异的党团竞选居然要到三月底才分晓.有约100万人出席党团,结果拖得太长了.最终的结果将在6月党代会揭晓,看来Obama在德州的总成绩会不错.
Obama必须正视Hillary为最大的劲敌.Obama在大州的糟糕表现让人们不得不担忧,他必须用胜利证明他面对挫折的危机处理能力.整个团对要树立持久作战的方案.我以为,赢得30-35岁白人男性的支持是取胜的关键.祝福他,希望和变革的象征! 这个世界的话语权是很重要的.Hillary最后的疯狂反击不断上演,但同时,她的阵营却指责Obama的支持者太过狂热,极大地侮辱了正直的人们.运动中的激情不能丧失,否则就中了奸计.
Obama在3月8日Wyoming攻下一城,看来他在党团会议中占有绝对优势.Obama3月11日在密西西比初选再胜!90%的黑人票和三分之一的白人票突显了南方种族分野十分明显.Obama在选战早期的非种族意识形态仍然是选胜的关键.
4月22日,尽管Obama在资金上的投入两倍于Hillary,Hillary仍在关键的宾州以55%对45%击败Obama. Hillary赢来了可能是最后一次的高潮.她的身影闪烁,渐渐隐去.
| Ohio | PA | Indiana | ||
| Caucasian | 83% | 82% | 66% | |
| Hispanic | 2% | 4% | 15% | |
| African-American | 12% | 10% | 12% | |
| Asian | 2% | 2% | 4% | |
| Others | 1% | 2% | 3% | |
| Under 30 | NA | 12% | NA | |
| 65 and above | NA | 22% | NA | |
| Decide within 1 month | NA | 40% | NA | |
| Suburb | NA | 50% | NA | |
| Samll city and rural | NA | 25% | NA | |
| Big city over 50000 | NA | 25% | NA | |
| New democratic | NA | 10% | NA | |
| Ohio | Ohio | PA | PA | |
| Hillary | Obama | Hillary | Obama | |
| Vote | 54% | 44% | 55% | 45% |
| Women | 55% | 39% | NA | NA |
| Men | 39% | 55% | NA | NA |
| Lower income | 50% | 44% | NA | NA |
| Higher income | 55% | 39% | NA | NA |
| Under 45 | 37% | 58% | NA | NA |
| Under 30 | NA | NA | 40% | 60% |
| Black | 10% | 90% | 8% | 92% |
| White | 60% | 34% | NA | NA |
| White men | 46% | 47% | 55% | 45% |
| Whit women | 68% | 26% | 65% | 350% |
| W/o degree | 41% | 43% | 60% | 400% |
| W/ degree | 45% | 49% | NA | NA |
| Loyalty voters | 88% | 86% | NA | NA |
| Suburb | NA | NA | 60% | 40% |
| New Democratic | NA | NA | 40% | 60% |
5月6日关键一战,终于倔强的Hillary无法再坚强下去了.她接下来只能算顽抗了.
INDIANA RESULTS - 99% Reporting: Clinton 638,192 (51%) Obama 615,753 (49%).
NORTH CAROLINA RESULTS - 99% Reporting: Obama 889,513 (56%) Clinton 657,616 (42%).Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsEstimated delegates needed to win[2][3]
(472½ remaining of 4,048, 12%; 2,024½ needed)- 327½
69%165
35%- Grand total estimated delegates
(3,575½ of 4,048, 88%)255½ 1,697
47%1,859½
52%19
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[4]
(539½ of 795, 68% of 20%)255½[5] 270½
50%269
50%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[6]
(3,036 of 3,253, 93% of 80%)0 1,426½
47%1,590½
52%19
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[7]
(2,728 of 3,253, 84% of 80%)0 1,311½
48%1,400½
51%16
<1%
此后Obama在Indianna几乎战平Hillary;在北卡大胜.超级代表选边,Obama几乎锁定胜局.
Hillary在West Virgina Hillary大胜,妄图继续纠缠,疯狂之态,毫无政治家的风度.
5月20日她在Kentucky2:1再胜,已经毫无意义.同日Obama在Oregon扳回一城.
民主党大伤,Obama开始治愈创痛,剑指McCain.
5月31日，WASHINGTON - Democratic Party leaders agreed Saturday to seat Michigan and Florida delegates with half-votes at this summer's convention with a compromise that left Barack Obama on the verge of the nomination but riled Hillary Rodham Clinton backers who threatened to fight to the August convention.
The resolution increased the number of delegates needed to clinch the nomination to 2,118, leaving Obama just 66 delegates away from the majority needed to secure the nomination.Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsEstimated delegates needed to win[2][3]
(291 remaining of 4,233, 7%; 2,117 needed; 86 are pledged)- 240½
83%64
22%- Grand total estimated delegates
(3,942 of 4,233, 93%)205 1,876½
48%2,053
52%12½
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[4]
(618½ of 823½, 75% of 19%)205[5] 290
47%328½
53%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[6]
(3,323½ of 3,409½, 97% of 81%)0 1,586½
48%1,724½
52%12½
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[7]
(3,164½ of 3,409½, 93% of 81%)0 1,526½
48%1,628½
51%9½
<1%
The deal passed 19-8. Ironically, thirteen members of the committee had endorsed Clinton for president, so she wasn't even able to keep her supporters together. Candidates Uncommitted[1] Hillary
ClintonBarack
ObamaJohn
EdwardsGrand total estimated delegates
(4,089½ of 4,233, 97%)143½ 1,923
47%2,162
53%4½
<1%Total estimated superdelegate endorsement[2]
(680 of 823½, 83% of 19%)143½[3] 283½
42%396½
58%0 Total estimated pledged delegates[4]
(3,409½ of 3,409½, 100% of 81%)0 1,639½
48%1,765½
52%4½
<1%Total bound pledged delegates[5]
(3,274½ of 3,409½, 96% of 81%)0 1,588½
49%1,684½
51%1½
<1%
