ThedotplotfromDecember2022showsthemedianrateattheendof2023at5.1%vs4.6%attheSeptember2022projection
For2024,themedianfedfundstargetrateis4.1%versus3.9%inSeptember
For2025,themedianfedfundstargetrateis3.1%versus2.9%
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Recentindicatorspointtomodestgrowthinspendingandproduction.Jobgainshavebeenrobustinrecentmonths,andtheunemploymentratehasremainedlow.Inflationremainselevated,reflectingsupplyanddemandimbalancesrelatedtothepandemic,higherfoodandenergyprices,andbroaderpricepressures.
Russia'swaragainstUkraineiscausingtremendoushumanandeconomichardship.Thewarandrelatedeventsarecontributingtoupwardpress...[
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TheFeddotsandcommentaryfromPowellweremore-hawkishthananticipated.Initially,themarketreactioniswhatyouwouldexpectwiththedollarrallyingandstocksfallingbutthemarketlaterreversedandisroughlybacktopre-Fedlevels.
Abigreasonwhyisthatthebondmarketsimplydoesn'tbelievetheFed'sforecasts.It'sareminderthatatthistimelastyeartheFedwasonlyforecasting75bpsintotalhikesin2022.
Thistime,theF...[
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消息太好了市场高开,MM被迫打压洗盘并吸货,不能让韭菜占了便宜。
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Profittakingbytradersbetween200DMAand250DMA
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13December2022,15:30
Priorwas+7.7%
m/mCPI%vs+0.3%expected
Priorm/mreadingwas+0.4%
Realweeklyearnings%vs-0.1%prior
Coreinflation:
Exfoodandenergy+%vs+6.1%y/yexpected
Priorexfoodandenergy+6.3%
Corem/m+%vs+0.3%exp
Priorcorem/m+0.4%
Thepreviousreportsurprisedtothedownsideandledtoa+7%rallyintheNasdaqandabigdropintheUS...[
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Totalaccountequityhasbeenrisingsteadilywhateverthemarketdoes.
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CHINAINDEXCN50SHORTTERMMINIMUMTECHNICALTARGETPRICE:13600(Previous13600,nochange)
HONGKONGHKG50SHORTTERMMINIMUMTECHNICALTARGETPRICE:20700(previous20200)
Oldblog
陆股港股图表及近期目标CHINAANDHONGKONGINDEXESANDTARGETPRICES-博客|文学城(wenxuecity.com)
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SPX500MonthlyChart:Haramibreakout,longupondailychartbeingoversold.
SPX500WeeklyChart:Bullishengulfing,longupon4hourchartbeingoversold.
SPX500DailyChart:Inversehead&shoulderschartpatternbreakout,currentlytripleretracementstonecklinealmostcompleted,accumulateataroundsupportlevels.Minimumtechnicaltarget4200points.
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