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Charting the market (5/23/2011)
(2011-05-23 13:31:40)

Marketissoldoffheavilyinthemorningandcouldnotrecoverintheafternoon.
ThenextsupportforS&P500is1300whichisnottoofaraway.Marketisonceagainintooversoldzone.AAIIbullishsentimentwillhitanotherlowthisweek.Inlasttwoyears,wheneverWm%RorSTOetc.TAindicatorsgetintooversoldzone(itmaydipintoheremultipletimes),andAAIIbullishsentimenthitslows,somesortofrallythatfollows.GivingthattherearemanyuncertaintyinE...[阅读全文]
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Relief rally (5/18/2011)
(2011-05-18 10:13:00)

Marketisinreliefrallymodetodayleadingbycommodityrelatedshares.S&P'sinverseH/Sbreakoutwasfailed.Nowmarketgoesbacktoretesttheneck.Failtobreakoutagainindicatesfurtherweaknessisdowntheroad.ThetradingreferenceisS&P1318(yesterday'slow).
SilverandCrudeoilarelikelytotradeinarange.Breakeithersideoftherangeisnotlikelytoholdtoolong.Iwouldsellthisboundin2-3dayssinceUS$'sA-B-Ccounterrallydoesn'tsee...[阅读全文]
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Prepare for another wash out (5/16/2011)
(2011-05-16 16:44:45)
MarkettumblesagaintodayleadingbyhighmultipletechssuchasAMZN,NFLX,etc.Thisisanotherindicatorthattherewillbeanotherwashoutcominginthefuture.
Aftermarket,therearereportsthatsomeverysmartbignamesliquidatedtheircommoditiesnamesandfinancialnames.Thisindicatesthatcommodityselloffisstillongoingandfarfromover.
SincethebreakoutofS&Phasfailed.Itishighprobabilitythatwemightseequiteabitofdownside...[阅读全文]
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Charting the market (5/11/2011)
(2011-05-11 14:16:53)

Marketissoldofftodayleadbycommodities.
Afterhour,theyraisedmarginrequirementforgasoline.Looksliketherearequiteabitroomforthesecommoditytofall(theywillbringcommodityrelatedshareswiththem).
Multinationalstocksarealsohurtbecauseofuptick$.
Thisis2ndtimemarketteststhebreakout.Failedbreakoutusuallycausesbigdownturn.Weneedtobecarefulaboutfurtherselloffs.
Defensivenamesareholdingwelltoda...[阅读全文]
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Friday Job Data is Better than Predicted (5/6/2011)
(2011-05-06 06:39:56)
JobDataisbetterthanpredicted(inshortterm,itdoesn'tmatterifthisdataisfakedornot).Marketwasnervousaboutthisespeciallywhencommoditieswassoldoffheavily.
S&PtestedthebreakoutpointofinverseH/Syesterday(seemypreviouschart).Iwouldsayitissuccessful(althoughstillneedtogiveitafewdaystoconfirm).
SinceO8obviouslyispreparingforhisre-election,Ithinkweneedtochangeourinvestingstrategyinnearterm.
...[阅读全文]
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Charting the market (5/4/2011)
(2011-05-04 14:07:21)

S&Pisretestingformerbreakoutpoint.Probablystillhassomedownsideinnextfewdays(JobdataFriday).MGMreportedgoodearning.Sogainsomeoverthere.Fdidn'tworkout(ideaisright,butshouldchooseGMoverF.)CLHisalsoworkingok.HighyielderssuchasMO/RAI/VZ,etc.areholdingwell.Butlikelytoseesomesellingtherealsoifmarketcontinuestofall.However,therearesomebrightspotsonthisdownday.AAPLdidn'tfallunder$346evenwithQQQrebalanc...[阅读全文]
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Times for banks (5/3/2011)
(2011-05-03 10:02:10)
Hereisthetimetobuythosebanks.
JPMisthebest.BACmightgivethebestreturns.
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MCP, crazy stock (5/3/2011)
(2011-05-03 07:03:18)

Lookslikeweareoffrunningagainafterashortbreath.
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Market may set up for a correction (5/2/2011)
(2011-05-02 12:53:47)
Fromtoday'smarketreaction,itseemstomethatthismightbeastartofapullback,especiallyincommodityrelatednames.
Energystocksaresoldoffsince10:30am.Thereisnoreboundduringtheday.
Copper/AGstocksarealsoperformingpoorly.
Silverminersarelosinguptrend.Goldminersaresoldoffalsowhichmakesmypreviousthoughtinvalid(wrongidea).
AfewleadersalsoretreatssuchasCAT/AAPL/DD/DE,etc.
Smallcap/Midcapareret...[阅读全文]
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F (5/2/2011)
(2011-05-02 07:15:51)

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