Iamreallyhappy.
Imentionedscssinmyblogstodayandyesterday,onJR98\'sgroup:中长期投资weeksago.Iwastryingtobuynear70cents,butfinallycaughtupwithittodayat0.9.Lateisbetterthannever.
IfyoucalculatedSCSS\'sP/S,(Price/Sale),itissolow.[
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ucbhisalittleweakerthanIimagined.interesting.Setanordertobuyscssat0.95,filledat0.9,cool,happy.[
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normalinsuranceproductsareagainstnaturalevents,likeflood,fire,death..CDSisaproductagainstartificial(manmade)event,financialdefault.Onlyartificialeventwillexhibitconcentratedrisk,meaningdefaulthappenacrossitsdomain,sincehumanisananimalofsociety,ithasitsheardmentality,tendtodothingsallatthesametime.So,thatiswhyIsayCDSisnotaspecialtyforAIG,butforGS.[
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IhavebeenwaitingforXLtocorrect,butitrefused.Whenastockwentasurprisingwayagainstyourplan,youreallyneedtopayattention,somethingunusualishappening,itmaybeagoodopportunity.SoIdecidetobuymorexlontoday\'sbreakoutwithbigvolume.Anothermoreimportantreasonisthatxl\'sbookvalueisaround20,thereisplentyofroomforupside.ButIwilljusttradeitforshorttermsinceIhavealreadyhavexl.Myoriginalxlwasboughtaround3,upmorethan...[
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reasons:
1.InsiderswerebuyingonFeb,March,Aprilthisyear,IbelievethatitshowsUCBHwerestillOKattheheightoffinancialcrisis.
2.UCBHwerepayingoutdividendsasrecentlyas6/26/09.Thisshowssomekindoffinancialstrength.
3.UCBHgotnewcapitalinfusionof$30millionfromChinaMinshengBankon12/23/08,and$298.7millionfromTreasuryon11/14/08.
4.Recentrallyofcapitalmarketmay/shouldimproveUCBH'sbook,reducingth...[
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那样强大,美国也没有你说的那样虚弱。我们在这是讨论投资,是真枪实弹的干,不是写文章,要看实质,做股票,看经济是要看核心竞争力的。我看好中国的未来,但是现在的情形,和美国比,还差得很远,你一定要自我膨胀,我也没办法,我觉得你这样才是“器小易盈”。另外,中国的经济系统风险挺大。我不知你听没听过这样一句话,“一放就乱,一抓就死”,这是中[
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finally,Icaughtupwithmbi,nexttimeremembertoactquickly,donothesitatetoomuch.Ihavebeenraisingmybuypricefrom3.56,to3.91,totoday\'s4.01,atiringstruggle.
Iamnotsureifthisnewlotofsharesareforlongtermorshortterm.Iamstillalittleworriedaboutmunibonds.Therearealotofgrowthsmallcapoutthereworthlongtermholding.[
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substantialmoreseveraldaysagoat2.11afterinitial200sharesat2.01.IthinkIamfinallyalittlebetteratbuyingontherightsideofcure.Averagingdownatleftsideofcurveissopainful.Iwilltrytoavoidit.
Ontheotherhand,mbi\'srecentlowisat3.57,justonecentawayfrommybuyorderat3.56.Iamthinkingifandhowtochaseit.Ithinkpeopleincludingmeareallworriedaboutstates,citiesdefaultontheirmunibond,isrecentCAIOUissuanceindicatesthe...[
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Iwillbefollowingitcarefully,Ithinkitwon\'tdropunder15,soIwillbuybackstartingabove15.Itdependsonthemarketconditionsthattime.[
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Isetanordertobuymbiat3.56.Ifthereisapanictomorrow,Imaybeabletogetit.ItisgoodforbothshortandlongtimeatthispricelevelifIgetit.[
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