牛经沧海投资感悟生活点滴

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(2008-08-19 19:51:21)
Expectadecentbouncefromhere.[阅读全文]
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August8,20088:36AMEDT
HologicInc.(Nasdaq:HOLX)ChairmanandCEO,JohnW.Cumming,disclosedapurchaseof50,000shareson08/07atpricesfrom$20.00-$20.05,bringinghisstaketo301,654.
Inaddition,HologicPresidentandCOO,RobertA.Cascella,disclosedapurchaseof12,300shareson8/7at$20.20,brininghisstaketo136,914shares. [阅读全文]
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MSwrotedownandcutbackaggressivelylastyear.Thosepreventivemeasurespayoffnow.ThiscontraststoLEH,whichjuststartedbigwrite-downinitslastQtrlyreport. MSwillsolidifyitsleaderposition(stillbehindGSthough)inthisroundoffinancialdebacles.
BestpositionedfinancialfirmsarestillWFC(bank),GS(Brokerage),JPM(financailsupermarket),BLK(assetmgmt),SCHW(discountretail).Watchtheleaderscloselytoidentifytrend.Once...[阅读全文]
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PayattentiontothestrengthofGSastheleaderofbrokerages,WFCastheleaderofbanksandJPMastheleaderoffinancialsuperpower.Theystillhaveroomtogoup.XLFmeetswithsomeresistanceatits50daySMA.Oncebreakingup,itwillendthisroundofbounceat24(100daySMA)to26(lowerboundofitsupperrangeceiling).
BTW,Iposted熊火烧不尽春风吹又生onedaythemarketbottom(http://blog.wenxuecity.com/blogview.php?date=200807&postID=15...[阅读全文]
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MichaelShedlocksummarizedthatthereare10phasesinabearmarket.Letusreviewwhereitstartedandwherearewenow.
1.Ahugebuy-the-dipmentalitysetsinduringtheinitialdecline.Mostpartygoerscannotfathomthatpartyhasended.
2.Moderateconcernsetsinwhenbuythedipstopsworking.
3.Initialpanic.(FebruarytoMarch2007)
4.Numerousbottomcallsaremade,allwrong.
5.Searchfortheguilty.
6.Punishmentoftheinnocen...[阅读全文]
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Sofar,itwasagooddecision. TransactionStatus OrderDescription Date&Time Price
Executed OrderPlaced-GOOG SellGOOGLimitGT60 05/25/0707:18:16PMEDT -- Executed-GOOG SellGOOGLimitGT60 06/04/0710:09:58AMEDT ...[阅读全文]
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ThePainsandGainsinSpeculations 牛经沧海 IboughtSQNMat3.25on10/22/2003(before1for3reversesplit).Itwentuptoover$4onthenexttwomonths.BeforeIwasabletocelebratethemagicofjunkstockpicking,itdroppedtotheabyss$1duringthesummerdoldrumsof2004.Afteranotheryearofsuffering,itappearedtohavenohopeofrecovery.Ifinallydumpeditattheendof2005forataxsaleandtorealizedatotallossalmost. ...[阅读全文]
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1。牛极生熊,熊极牛起。 2。VIX与QQV达低点两倍以上易生牛。 3。熊如暴君,葬熊必得有影响之公司陪葬。 4。市场中较后转熊的板块或最先转牛,颇似STACK。 5。逐利资本必弃老牛而趋新牛。 6。股市中人不可太执著,更不可轻言放弃。持之以恒才有机会。 [阅读全文]
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(2008-07-12 14:47:49)
牛经沧海
7/12/2008
纵观当今之势,房市,金融,股市皆熊,仅商品一牛耳。三熊一牛,熊军彼此呼应,其势咄咄逼人;牛军形影相吊,其时屈指可数。然世事皆有定数,盛极而衰,既无恒牛,亦无常熊。牛熊更迭,故而为市场。三熊之中,房熊为源,金融衍生产品最堪为忧,股熊只是前二熊的并发症。2000年科网泡沫破裂,加上911之创,美政府急不择计,养一个泡沫取代另[阅读全文]
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theheavycallsat$30expiresnow. [阅读全文]
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