Weneedtofocusonthesectorthatwentthroughaburst.ItmightnotbeagoodideatoexpectarepeatofhistoryofNASDAQtodaytowaitforadeepercrush,asitdidafterits2001bounce.
TheKBWBankIndexBKXhasfallen85%fromitshightoitslowreachedinearlyMarch.
Forcomparison,theNasdaqfell77%toptobottomaftertheTechBubblecollapsedwhiletheDowfell89%duringtheDepression.
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牛经沧海投资感悟生活点滴
吾言吾所思，君闻君所愿。【声明】仅供交流之用，不作投资建议。
博文
(2009-04-16 09:15:24)
(2009-04-11 08:54:57)
信牛的人多了,就牛市了;信熊的人多了,就熊市了.
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(2009-04-04 11:02:44)
Wherearewenow?
Morechartsareavailablehere:http://dshort.com/charts/bear-markets.html?four-bears [阅读全文]
(2009-03-03 11:58:46)
OrderDetailsforOrder#4838
TransactionStatus
OrderDescription
Date&Time
Quantity
Price
Executed OrderPlaced-RIO BuyRIOMktDay ...[阅读全文]
Executed OrderPlaced-RIO BuyRIOMktDay ...[阅读全文]
(2008-10-16 11:00:36)
ThegovernmentsaidThursdaythatthemaximumamountofearningssubjecttotheSocialSecuritytaxwillincreaseto$106,800in2009from$102,000thisyear.About11millionwillpayhighertaxesasaresultoftheincrease.
Itimpliesthatonly11millionofAmericansmakemorethan$102,000annually.Certainly,itonlyaccountstheearningsfromtheirlabor,notfrominvestment.Thehighearningpopulationissurprisinglysmall.
Few,ifanyonthisboar...[阅读全文]
(2008-10-13 16:31:16)
牛经沧海
10/13/2008
因上周LEH的CDSEVNET，CDS卖方被迫变现400B以应付清算，直接导致剧量MARGINSELL，引发道指创下有史以来最大的单周跌幅。请关注近期CDSEVENTS。估计不会再有LEH的冲击力，但不可不防喔。 WashingtonMutual:10/23/08 Lansbanki:11/04/08 Glitair:11/05/08 Kaupbing:11/06/08 LehmanBrothers:10/10/08(Done) [阅读全文]
10/13/2008
因上周LEH的CDSEVNET，CDS卖方被迫变现400B以应付清算，直接导致剧量MARGINSELL，引发道指创下有史以来最大的单周跌幅。请关注近期CDSEVENTS。估计不会再有LEH的冲击力，但不可不防喔。 WashingtonMutual:10/23/08 Lansbanki:11/04/08 Glitair:11/05/08 Kaupbing:11/06/08 LehmanBrothers:10/10/08(Done) [阅读全文]
(2008-10-13 15:35:16)
牛经沧海10/13/2008盼反弹，迎反弹，迎来反弹怎么办?上周大市崩盘，确实出乎沧海之预料。原以为一场金融危机而已，不料已重创美国经济，乃至世界经济。如此看来，我们或处于二十年周期的下行区间，或处于七十年代滞涨阶段?嘿，谁会关心久远的事！还是谈近的吧。崩盘之前，DJIA在11500附近徘徊将近三月，直至上周突然崩溃，一泻两千点有余。这种崩溃，完全脱离FA，多半[阅读全文]
(2008-10-10 14:22:22)
belowtheir50Dayand200Daysimplemovingaveragenow.
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(2008-10-09 20:02:33)
(2008-10-07 14:50:55)
牛经沧海
10/7/2008
Thismessageisintendedtonewinvestors.Themarketbecomesastrangernow,atleastforme.Doleaveenoughbreathroomtoavoidmarginsqueezesinordertosurviveabearmarket.Don'ttotrybeingaheroortakingchances.In1998,Iexperiencedseveralmomentsofacompletelywipe-outofmypositions,onlytotheseetheportfoliorecoveredindaysoncethesqueezeisdone.Suchthrillingsurvivalssetmeupanillusion.Theluckranoutandthe...[阅读全文]
