前者FAS/FAZ具遭痛批,颇似贝多芬/爱因斯坦曾有的境遇(文革时期).FAS/FAZ等等,利器也.合者用之,事半功倍.沧海近来择机交易FAS,收获颇丰.以下入账,不含持仓.
[
阅读全文]
交易与否?
牛经沧海
4/30/2009
介入股市十余载,从来不相信Trading,因工作的限制,也不方便Trading,每笔都要申请批准,一旦
买入,必须持仓30天,不能Short,等等.
不巧去年被裁,二月期满.三月可自由交易.适逢市场反弹,很快就要赚够一年
工资了.心情大好,特与大家分享.
以下偶的三个帐户.显而易见,交易帐户远远高于其它两个帐户[
阅读全文]
thatFASwillclosehighertodayinanticipategoodnewsfromFEDmeetingtomorrow.BKXpositionedforabounce.
TelecomeqlooksstrongtodayboostedbyprojectsinChina3G.
YMYD
[
阅读全文]
牛经沧海4/26/2009依靠TA预测市场,正如依靠FA或占星术一样,皆有对错.根据预测赚了银子的,乃功其英明取舍,亦或好运;舍了银子的,即责于预测的人.苛人宽己,人之性也.沧海混迹市场十余载,除未试过占星术,对TA,FA涉猎经年,何优何劣,盖不能断.就事论事,FA可赚大钱,然皆因反复的FA,难免爱上了持股.一旦持股成了恋人,往往难以割舍.当断不断,终受其祸.性向朝秦暮楚者颇宜.TA简单易行,为[
阅读全文]
来也匆匆,去也忽忽
牛经沧海
4/25/2009
正如年初一连九周毁灭性的下跌,市场正在经历一场出人意料的"拨乱反正".凡是昨日弃之如敝屣,今日拾之若珍宝.熊啊熊,来也匆匆,去也忽忽.
记得七六年的时候,我的班主任出嫁.她的丈夫是个小学文化程度的赤脚医生.这位医生是个孤儿,而班主任是下乡知青.两位非主流大龄青年结合,合乎情理.不可思议的是赤脚医生从上[
阅读全文]
ThefollowingETFsreached100Daynewhighslastweek.Ifthemarketgrowsintoasecularbull,theearlywinnerswilllikelybethefinalwnnersinsuchajourney.
XRTSPDRRETAILETF
RSXMKTVCTRRUSSIA
EWHISHAREMSCIHONG
QLDPROSHARESULTRA
SMHMLSEMICONDHLDR
IWPISHARERSMCGR
OIHOILSERVICEHOLD
QQQQPOWERSHARESEXCH
YMYD
[
阅读全文]
DIA:8484to8454
SPY:89.14to90.69
Assumethereisnocorrectionuntilthetargetsarereached
[
阅读全文]
DJIAtradedabove8000timesoutofthelast10daysto-date.Eachtime,itfailedtoholdlongenough,butitmoveditslowshigher.Thisweekisagoodtimetobreakupandrunawayafteritstwoweekconsolidation.Shoulditfailedagainwithinthreedays,a10%correctionislikely.
[
阅读全文]
Weneedtofocusonthesectorthatwentthroughaburst.ItmightnotbeagoodideatoexpectarepeatofhistoryofNASDAQtodaytowaitforadeepercrush,asitdidafterits2001bounce.
TheKBWBankIndexBKXhasfallen85%fromitshightoitslowreachedinearlyMarch.
Forcomparison,theNasdaqfell77%toptobottomaftertheTechBubblecollapsedwhiletheDowfell89%duringtheDepression.
[
阅读全文]
信牛的人多了,就牛市了;信熊的人多了,就熊市了.
[
阅读全文]