Today’sTransactions:
DidaT+0tradeinDRYS:boughtaveragedat$87.66andsoldat$91.00
Today’sReturn:-3.34%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):131.83%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-5.72%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
BHO
DRYS
GOOGMar08500Call
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
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Wehadanothertriple-digit-swingdayonWallStreetforthisThursday.SofarinthisNovember,Dowhasmorethan150-pointmovementineachofitstradingdaysandthisvolatilitytrendmaycontinueforawhile.Asmentionedbefore,todayisthelastdayhedgefundinvestorscanredeemtheirmoneysovolatilityisnotunexpected.Whatreallypuzzledmeatthispointisthecontinuousworseningsituationinthecreditmarket:nearlyallthespreadsarehigherthanAugust.Pre...[
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Today’sTransactions:
AddedmoreGOOGMar08500Callat$187.00
Today’sReturn:-5.06%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):139.84%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-4.53%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
BHO
DRYS
GOOGMar08500Call
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
[
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Themarketwasrelativelystablealldayuntilthefinal30minutes.Thishasbecomeapatternrecently,thatis,thereisasharpselloffandquickpickupinvolatilityduringthelast30minutesoftrading.RumouristhatthereisabiginstitutionholdingavastamountofforwardcontractsinVIXandthatinstitutionistryingtomanipulatethevolatilityinthemarket.AlthoughIdon’tknowhowmuchcredibilityshouldbegiventotherumour,itdoesreflectoverallnervousn...[
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Today’sTransactions:
AddedmoreDRYSaveragedat$89.90
AddedmoreSOHUaveragedat$49.46
Today’sReturn:8.73%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):152.62%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-3.79%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
BHO
DRYS
GOOGMar08500Call
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
[
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Allthreemajorindexesaresettocloseupbymorethan2%onthisTuesday.Itistrulyaremarkabledayforthebullsasjust24hoursago,themarketlookedsofragilethatevenastrawmaybreakit.Themaintriggercitedfortoday’srallywasWal-Mart’sbetterthanexpectedearningandguidance.Ofcourse,ifthiswere10daysago,eventenWal-martsreportingresultsatthesametimecouldn’tgeneratethesameeffects.Themarketdeservesashort-termreboundanyway.Howev...[
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Today’sTransactions:
OpenedGOOGMar08500Callat$165.00Stopifthestockisbelow$600atclose
Reason:Thevaluationofthestockisveryreasonableatthispoint.Ofcourseintheshortrunthestockmayfacecontinuouspressurecausedbythebroadmarket.
OpenedDRYSaveragedat$85.60Stopifthestockisclosedbelow$70
Reason:ThestockhasreallylowforwardPEafterbeingsoldoffsharplyrecently.Therisk/rewardisworthtakingabet.
...[
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TheDowisgoingtoclosebelow13000forthefirsttimesinceAugust16th.Whythisisanimportantdate?Foronething,thisisthelasttimewegota10%correctionforthatindexafterseveralyears’goodrun.Second,itisalsoAugust16ththatmarkedthetroughofthatcorrectionandbothDowandS&Pcreatednewhistoricalhighssoonafter.Butwillhistoryrepeatthistime?Notsoquick.AndI’mgoingtoexplainbelow.
Otherthanwell-knownfundamentalreasons(housin...[
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Today’sTransactions:
ClosedDRYSaveragedat$97.54
Reason:ithasdroppedbelowmystop-losslevel.
Today’sReturn:-1.34%
Returnsinceinception(June05,2007):135.86%
S&P500ReturnsinceJune05,2007:-5.55%
Mypositions:
PG
UTSIJan0910Call
GOOGDec07400Call
SOHU
BHO
FROFeb0850put
CXJan0840put
ITRIJan08100put
BIDUDec07550put
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Whatawell-plannedtrapbearspreparedforbulls!Forthosepeoplethatthoughtyesterdaywasthecapitulationday,theyshouldhaverealizedtheywerewrongbeforethemarketopenthismorning.Prettymuchallnewsthismorningwasnegative.Again,thenewswasmainlyfocusedonthebankingsector.Notsurprisingly,themarketopenedsharplylowerandcontinuedtotradeloweruntil11amwhenDowwasdownbyalmost250points.Thenshort-coveringactivitiespushedthebe...[
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