博文
(2008-06-22 15:34:04)
macrotooweek,it\'shonestlyalittleshockingtoseethemarketstillholdupthiswell,ie,mostofmarketparticipantsprobablystillinthedenialphase,(whichmeansstillearlyandthatisreallybad,)
wasguessingthatOEweekupandafterOEdown,sadtoseethatMMcouldn\'tevenholdupfortheOE,
USeconomyisatafundementalchallengingpoint,ifGM,ifnolongerthecrownjewelthenatleastthebonefiderepresentativeoftheUSmanufacturingpower,issom...[阅读全文]
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flippedthroughafewpages...somerandomthoughts,
1,海归的黄金时代已经过去了。如果不是已经有financialsecurity,你会对国内已有资产者心理很不平衡的。
2,平衡其实是一个很弹性的事情。你如果只看到1千万两千万的豪宅,你心中的碑可能就太重了。隔着一条马路,那个没什么绿地的勉勉强强算上各小区的一个普通楼里的一个小3房,里面的人的幸福指数,可能比你光鲜的外壳下背[阅读全文]
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trysearchmypostsonsolars,thelittlevaluationmatrixthatIhavebeenusingthemeasurethemarketsentimenttowardssolarisasimpleEV/08earningestimate.(EVmeansenterprisevalue...Trytodoyouownhomework...that\'ssocriticallyimportant.)
TheextremesIhaveseenisthatwhenmarket/sectorinbearishmood,thismeasurecangoaslowas5-7,as3monthsago.Andwhenit\'shigh,itcangoto20.
currentlyalotofintheneighborhoodof10,whichtomei...[阅读全文]
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allmajorbankshavehadsignificantcorrection,bothinverticaldistanceandintime,
all,wehavesignificantvolume...whichmeanstransferofownership,
thismorningweprobablyhavewitnessedthedarkestmoment,
thelast10minutesofLEH\'schartsayitall,
asoftoday,mostof100mWMbuyersarewinners,agoodpercentageof170mLEHbuyersarewinners,100mCbuyersarewinners,11mGSbuyersarewinners,
whileACIbuyerslosing,XOMbuye...[阅读全文]
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还是认为Financial的恐慌时刻,短/中期应该已经过去了。如果LEH跟着BSC过去,花街大概要清场,想来Fed不能/不会让发生。[阅读全文]
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(2008-06-12 08:19:56)
the2ndshockwave,
theremaystillbemore,onelikely,buttherewillbesomespacingbetween,
enjoytheOEweek,
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it\'snotthatUShousesaremoreexpensive,infacttheyareofmuchbettervaluethanalmostmostofthemoredesirablepartoftheworld,(EuropeandAsia),
ifyouhavebeentoHomeDepotlately,youshouldhavebeenshockedtoseehowmuchpricehikeonallthelittlethingsthatmakeupahouse,
goingintoacoupleofyears,thecostofmakinganewhouseshouldcatchupwiththecurrentpricelevelimho,
however,it\'snottosaythathousingwillbottomfromhere,w...[阅读全文]
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(2008-06-05 10:09:57)
http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=mychina&MsgID=313618
对于64一口铁板钉钉的人,都是没经过64的,未知而妄断
64是个复杂的事件,有前因后果,有起承转合,有偶然的人物事件,有社会内部结构性的应力的累积和爆发,
绝不是那些只知道吃文化思维快餐的人们用卡通图画来形容的,
真正经过64的,除了几个,我想基本上每个都在某些时候悚然惊魂,回想自己做对做错的[阅读全文]
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许多无谓口水的起源,
认为一个理念、政体,因为A,B,C,...X,Y,Z的原因,所以神圣。
认为一个政策,一个法案,一个政治体系不能解决所有问题,就一无是处。
万事有两面,吃饭也可能会噎死人的呀!
思维(有时加上品行)的残缺。[阅读全文]
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(2008-06-03 10:49:40)

好像老雄在美股上第一次大的胜利是SIRI,
后来ELN,
GOOG是重头,据说“10块砖”,
后来没太跟踪,好像有CHTR,
不知道他真的盈亏,但这些都是的确是可以大资金进出(载弹量大)的股票,
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2005底出了GOOG,(100-400),回国炒A股,倒是不折不扣的千点大底,
在这好像提到工行和联通。
别的还提到几个芯片股,OVTI,GNSS,BRCM,后[阅读全文]
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