相反理论(反向思考)--ContraryThinking--ZT来源:-j4于07-03-1623:41:57[档案][博客][旧帖][转至博客][给我悄悄话]相反理论(反向思考)--ContraryThinking
http://www.55www.com/caijing/stock/1130.htm
作者:五五来源:股票知识日期:2006-10-23,18:54
相反理论的基本要点是投资买卖决定全部基于群众的行为。它指出不论股市及期货市场，当所有人都看好时，就是牛市开始到顶。当人人看淡时，熊市已经见底[
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有效资本市场假设理论--zt来源:-j4于07-03-1623:43:34[档案][博客][旧帖][转至博客][给我悄悄话]有效资本市场假设理论
http://zhidao.baidu.com/question/15617564.html?fr=qrl3
虽然各种法学经济学理论嘈杂纷纭，对强制性信息披露制度的优劣莫衷一是，但任何一个研究现代证券法的人都无法忽视近二十年来得到各国证券法学界广泛承认的一个极为重要的金融经济学理论，即所谓“有效资本市[
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Doyouwanttostayyoung?BilltoBenAfterbeingamonkforlessthanahourovertheweekend,i.e.,reading,prayingandlunchinginoneofthebiggestBuddhisttemplehereonWestCoast,Ireturnedtomypursuitinthemundaneworldoutsideofthetemple,likeothervisitors.Lifeisallaboutpursuit,evenformonks,withmanyofthemhadsimilarpursuitslikeours,beforebecomingmonksandstartedatotallydifferentpursuit.BillGrossofPIMCO,nowinhis60’s,isoneofthos...[
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BullschickenedouttodaySodidmyinternetconnection.LastnightwascloudyinOrient,withmarketthereworriedaboutUSsubprimemortgageroutanditsimpactonUSeconomicgrowth.ThebearishtailwindcarriedovertoUSmarketthismorning,stoppedbullsfromgoinghigherthan12190,andbullsneverregaineditslittlemomentumfromanOKCPInumber.Bullschickenedoutonconcernoversubprime,Fed’sindecision,andimpactonUSeconomicgrowth.Sentimentisstilln...[
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Contrarytothepopularthinking,itismoreofinstitutionseatinginstitutionsintoday'sfinancialmarket.TherearewinninghedgefundslikeCitadel,whoisalsoamarketmakerorspecialistformanysecurities.TherearealsolosinghedgefundsandMMsaswell.ForeveryCitadel,thereisalsoa“long-termcapitalinvestment”.Overall,IstillthinkUSmarketisoneofthemostcompetitiveand"efficient"financialmarketsintheworld.Acompetitive,effectiveand...[
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“GreenieSpunMyRally”Theshortertheterm,themorerandommarketis.TodayGreeniehelpedbeartraderstotestsessionbottom(Iguess)near12100atabout12:40ET,3HafterDow’stouching12106at8:45ET.Sodoubletopat12180anddoublebottomat12100.Haveweseenbothtopandbottomfortoday?PerBloomberg.com,“Greenspanopinedonthesub-primemortgageworld,sayingthatspilloverwasapossibilitybuttherehasnotbeenanyindicationsitwashappeningyet.(...[
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NomoreLewinsky?ThetailwindfromOrientthismorningdidnotcarryDowupverymuch,with12187maybeneartoday’supperlimit.12187surpassedyesterday’shighandisaboutthemid-pointof031307.NeverthelessIstillthinkthereisquitebitofpent-updemand,whichmaybeofshort-coverersandbargainhurters.Idefinitelyfeltthat,myselfbeingonshortAM.Incidentally,Citadel,thehedgefundItalkedaboutinmypreviouspost,isalsooneofMMsonthestockIshor...[
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put/call(21and13ema)(图)来源:nullll于07-03-1416:23:08[档案][博客][旧帖][转至博客][给我悄悄话]
since2001,onceput/call(21ema)reached0.8(bearishextreme),mkthadanicerebounce1-6months.Onethingbotheringmeis2weekscorrectionistooshorttomakeamidtermbottom.[
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Tiemei’sUncleTiemeiinRedLantern:“Ihavesomanyuncles,andbuttheynevercometomyhouseunlesstheyhaveabusiness”.Ifatradertoday,Tiemeigottofigureouteverydaywhoandhowmanyoffamily’sunclesarecoming,andforwhatbusinesses.Anuncleisatrend.Asatrader,heneedstoworkfortrenddaytradingorswingtrading,thatwayhemakeshismoneyandovershootsthetrendformarket.It’sdefinitelynotaneasyjob,andIhaveasked,withmyrespect,someofth...[
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TradersaretornapartbybothbearsandbullsTherearequiteafewthingsgoingaroundthesedays.1.CorrectionYes,itwaslongover-due,buttechnicallythecorrectionwas“overdone”itself,andshortcoveringandre-bouncingarebecomingoverdueaswell,atleastshort-term;2.NeartermissuesIs“creditcrunch”goingtohappencausingarecession?Itraxxcrossover10Yistodayat340,backto0305;DJCDXNIis36.25today,up6.59%.Areearningsgrowthgoingtoslo...[
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