雅美之途
教育，人文，社会
Brett Kavanaugh出身于中产阶层，妈妈靠读夜大学成为的律师。对Kavanaugh的指控是高中的事，当时他无权无势，并且这事件开始时福特博士只敢在网站上匿名留言，她显然是被利用了。Kavanaugh家有记日历的传统，时刻表与日记的混合体文字记录。这是从70年代开始的几十年，他父亲养成的习惯，真是一个好爸爸。这是再强烈不过的物证，证明被指控的日子里自己根本不在案发地点，昨天听证时他还被问及笔迹是哪年的？他说是1982年的，正是福特博士指控的那年，物证学家可以测出那印迹的年代，他们在著名科学家David Baltimore涉嫌论文作假的取证时在实验笔记本上使用过。这几乎像辛普森那双不合手的手套那么有力，而福特博士的说词几乎没有任何人证和物证，几位她声称在场的人均矢口否认，她自己最好的朋友甚至说不认识Kavanaugh, Brett真是冤啊。自由派硬是要求Mark Judge去参院作证，他们的目的除了折磨一个身患白血病的病人，就是为了拖延时间。
我在9月24日曾经这样预测可能性，昨天的听证正好符合第三条预测，Brett在耶鲁学到的辩论才华和取证精神使他更值得信任，他开场白的那几条辩词相当给力，耶鲁墨水没有白喝。而福特女士宣称自己害怕飞行，结果记录发现他满世界飞，这已经涉及诚信的问题，她读了三个学位后才在USC得博士。这是我那9月24日写的朋友圈：“耶鲁法学院学生静坐抗议Brett Kavanaugh的可能性侵行为，Brett Kavanaugh夫妇今晚将在Fox捍卫自己的名誉。三种情况：1。如果参院让他成为高院法官，他可能因为自由派的行为而变得向保守派靠近。Clarence Thomas的遭遇使他变成了一个从不发言只投保守议题的大法官，民主党完全失去了记忆，2。如果Kavanaugh退出，川普再提名的大法官，几乎可以肯定会比Kavanaugh保守得多，Kavanaugh是中间偏右的法官，3。Kavanaugh的口才与学识在听证会上得到进一步证实，因为现在两位控诉人基本上没有任何证据，New Yorker的最近报道耶鲁女生的说词，连自由的NYT都说不清楚或难以信服。[疑问][疑问]”
我说的第一条确实存在，这样激怒他，他成为大法官后会报复自由派议题的，这真是美国之不幸，把高院弄成政治会场。但是Kavanaugh的情绪激动完全可以理解，这正是一个被诬陷的人所应该表达的，自然流露的愤怒。他是在为自己一辈子挣来的荣誉力争，他在私下的愤怒是远比这强烈的。我们想想看，他既是篮球队员和教练，也是橄榄球员，他被彻底激怒后骂娘是再正常不过的事情。恰恰相反，希拉里的冷静才是虚伪的表现。
我在听收音机的听证时说：“Brett Kavanaugh的开场白十分有力，与Fox访谈完全不同，他直接抨击民主党的荒唐”，我昨天回家几乎看完了他40多分钟的开篇，十分精彩。而我在看完Kavanaugh夫妇的Fox访谈后是这样写朋友圈的（仅改个别字）：“全程看了Brett Kavanaugh夫妇的访谈，我更觉得他是一个十分优秀的法官而不是政客，他是一个相当替人着想的人，没有政客的反击语言，也拒绝说出到嘴边的反对派的企图，虽然他认为自己被诬陷时含泪觉得不可思议与理解。我不能说我相信Brett称他在80年代初的高中还是处男，看来读书进耶鲁不容易啊[呲牙]，对天主教的boy进耶鲁尤其难，任何种裔照顾都没有。我现在越来越觉得New Yorker的那篇毫无根据的文章创下新闻道德的新低，Brett是相当能控制自己情绪的人，他现在更在意的是他的名誉，高院似乎是次要的。如果证明他真有此污点，他巡回法官的位置也不保，所以指望他撤回提名几乎不可能。共和党加上副总统会是52:49，允许丢一票也能过关。”
这次民主党是所有手段都用上了，恐怕仍然不会成功。加州参议员Dianne Feinstein手里拿着福特博士的信超过了一个月，一直藏着，整个前期的听证只字不提，想在最后一刻做character assassination用。他们现在还谈FBI调查有意义吗？要调查早就应该实施，况且Kavanaugh在他职业生涯中是被FBI数次严格调查过的人。这次Brett Kavanaugh对Arizona的检查官Rachel Mitchell和共和党参议员的问题是坦承回答，Kavanaugh对Feinstein是直接打断并且非常愤怒，这些不仅不应该视为无理，反尔让人更理解他的情绪，他乃性情中人。如果Kavanaugh过关，他会向右靠拢，这点我肯定，也希望他参加投票将平权法案判为违宪。
关健时刻耶鲁校友显真情，小布什为Kavanaugh向摇摆两党议员打电话。小布什作为共和党出马竞选总统时，就有纽约自由派耶鲁同学为他捐款，靠的就是校友的友谊：“George W. Bush has called several moderate Republican senators and Manchin to whip votes for Kavanaugh, per people briefed. Trump, who doesn’t like Bush, has far less sway with the key voters.”
Kavanaugh夫妇教育出来的10岁女儿还为福特博士祈祷，为听证最感人一幕。说到此事时，Kavanaugh自己，以及后面坐的妻子和年迈的父母，齐哭[流泪][流泪]
Lindsey Graham是昨天听证的英雄，掷地有声，直指加州85岁的参议员Dianne Feinstein的虚伪，我对这位南卡的参议员是刮目相看。
下面是发言记录和视频：
Senator Graham.
GRAHAM: Are you aware that at 9:23 on the night of July the 9th, the day you were nominated to the Supreme Court by President Trump, Senator Schumer said 23-minutes after your nomination, “I will oppose Judge Kavanaugh’s nomination with everything I have, I have (sic) a bipartisan — and I hope a bipartisan majority will do the same. The stakes are simply too high for anything less.” Well, if you weren’t aware of it, you are now.
Did you meet with Senator Dianne Feinstein on August 20th?
KAVANAUGH: I did meet with Senator Feinstein…
GRAHAM: Did you know that her staff had already recommended a lawyer to Dr. Ford?
KAVANAUGH: … I did not know that.
GRAHAM: Did you know that her and her staff had this — allegations for over 20 days?
KAVANAUGH: I did not know that at the time.
GRAHAM: If you wanted a FBI investigation, you could have come to us. What you want to do is destroy this guy’s life, hold this seat open and hope you win in 2020. You’ve said that, not me. You’ve got nothing to apologize for.
When you see Sotomayor and Kagan, tell them that Lindsey said hello because I voted for them. I would never do to them what you’ve done to this guy. This is the most unethical sham since I’ve been in politics. And if you really wanted to know the truth, you sure as hell wouldn’t have done what you’ve done to this guy.
Are you a gang rapist?
KAVANAUGH: No.
GRAHAM: I cannot imagine what you and your family have gone through.
Boy, you all want power. God, I hope you never get it. I hope the American people can see through this sham. That you knew about it and you held it. You had no intention of protecting Dr. Ford; none.
She’s as much of a victim as you are. God, I hate to say it because these have been my friends. But let me tell you, when it comes to this, you’re looking for a fair process? You came to the wrong town at the wrong time, my friend. Do you consider this a job interview?
KAVANAUGH: If (ph) the advice and consent role is like a job interview.
GRAHAM: Do you consider that you’ve been through a job interview?
KAVANAUGH: I’ve been through a process of advice and consent under the Constitution, which…
GRAHAM: Would you say you’ve been through hell?
KAVANAUGH: I — I’ve been through hell and then some.
GRAHAM: This is not a job interview.
KAVANAUGH: Yes.
GRAHAM: This is hell.
KAVANAUGH: This — this…
GRAHAM: This is going to destroy the ability of good people to come forward because of this crap. Your high school yearbook — you have interacted with professional women all your life, not one accusation.
You’re supposed to be Bill Cosby when you’re a junior and senior in high school. And all of a sudden, you got over it. It’s been my understanding that if you drug women and rape them for two years in high school, you probably don’t stop.
Here’s my understanding, if you lived a good life people would recognize it, like the American Bar Association has, the gold standard. His integrity is absolutely unquestioned. He is the very circumspect in his personal conduct, harbors no biases or prejudices. He’s entirely ethical, is a really decent person. He is warm, friendly, unassuming. He’s the nicest person — the ABA.
The one thing I can tell you should be proud of — Ashley, you should be proud of this — that you raised a daughter who had the good character to pray for Dr. Ford.
To my Republican colleagues, if you vote no, you’re legitimizing the most despicable thing I have seen in my time in politics. You want this seat? I hope you never get it.
I hope you’re on the Supreme Court, that’s exactly where you should be. And I hope that the American people will see through this charade. And I wish you well. And I intend to vote for you and I hope everybody who’s fair-minded will.
HCC 2018-09-28 17:37:06 回复 悄悄话 他自己的日历没有写他参加了派对没有写他意图不轨，那就一定没有发生了？日历上也没有写他未成年饮酒？他未成年饮酒了吗？有的。
大多性侵案都缺乏人证（会乖乖站在那看人性侵？）或物证（更何况都说了，这是未遂事件）。你不能证明它发生了，但你也不能证明它没有发生。
更不能因为其中一方是耶鲁出身，就认定他一定更加可信更加诚实更加的＂性情中人＂。
__________
One name matched with his calendar - why? 35 years ago.
不管怎么说，还是非常谢谢你的写作。
可笑的是你吧？
＂无罪＂和＂没有发生＂是同一回事吗？
＂缺乏证据＂并不等同＂没有发生。＂麻烦学学逻辑先。
speak of his character . 他是个精神意志坚强的男人。
卡瓦诺在听证会上说，他在2018年8月的周末都不在家，但weekdays白天打球，晚上在家。可是架不住福特博士说不出具体是哪天遭性侵的，这个日历起到的提供alibi的作用到底有多大就成了问题。这证明，指控他人犯罪比起洗清自己被控的罪名要容易多了，福特张口就来，红嘴白牙，说记不清就记不清，而卡瓦诺拿出1982年的日历记录恐怕也无济于事，难以成为“没干”的证据。
对要上大法官这样重要的位置的人的credibility慎重点儿没错吧？
"当然能记得是谁，日期可以记不得，但地点一定能记得。 - 箫邦邦 - "
好事，好事。
Brett 的辩论才华和取证精神是他父亲教导以及遗传的，和YALE没半毛关系。
YALE蘸了Brett的光
我相信民主党会为这一仗付出惨重的代价。
夏天里的哪个月，是周末还是平时都不记得？！！！
FBI就是调查36年后又会有奇迹吗？四个当事人都否认，包括她的女朋友
大多性侵案都缺乏人证（会乖乖站在那看人性侵？）或物证（更何况都说了，这是未遂事件）。你不能证明它发生了，但你也不能证明它没有发生。
更不能因为其中一方是耶鲁出身，就认定他一定更加可信更加诚实更加的＂性情中人＂。
人心所向！