还认为民调没用的的朋友看过来。民调不是没用,是很有用。但是我们要学会怎么用。左图,是我在9月6日时判断的民调的变化趋势。右图,是截至9月20日的两周的真实变动。想学会怎么提前3-5个月预知大选结果的,请去看我9月6日的博客内容吧。817凸子尘报:B.L.M.,Covid-19和川普败选[
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凸子尘报:Ginsburg,Ginsburg和Ginsburg
Yes,butNo.She'sbeenawayfromus.JusticeRuthBaderGinsburg.Apersonpassedaway.Apersonalitycontinuestoilluminateusfortheyearstocome.
。。。
2020isayearofparadoxes
一切真理都曾是谣言
而很多谣言又像极了真理
地球发生了太多大事
而全世界人还都困在家里
。。。
Ginsburg的一生:
今天CNN网站在长屏全黑版面上,以52帧照片,展现Ginsburg的一生...[
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凸子尘报:B.L.M.,Covid-19和2020WhenthesevenbulletsfromOfficerSheskey’sgunwerefiredatMr.Blake,IwasdrivingbyKenosha,WisconsinthroughI-94.Allhighwayexitsleadingtothecitywereblockedbypolicecars.“Itlooksabigdeal,”Isaidtomyself,thinkingofalltheunconventionalitieswe’vehadintheyearofrat.ItallstartedwithanabruptWeChatmessagefromChinabeforeChristmas.Therewasacoronavirus?SomethingIhap...[
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楹首为李公讳文亮德名拆字。“木孜”为“李文”二字拆,“孜”中有反文,暗喻官方尚未与公正名。“矢口”暗喻李公之行。“矢口高人”为“亮”字拆。[
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Itisnottooearlyforautomationtoseemdangerousforyourjobsecurities.NeitheritistoolateformetoseeAndrewYangwinning2020.
Theentertainmentfactorthatwontheswingvoters(thoughabarely2%margin)forDTwillnotworkthesameforsecondtime.ToseeDTinWhiteHousehasn'tbeenasentertainingastoseehimontherealityshowswas.
AY'sgottheentertainmentfactorforamuchbiggeraudiencethanDTin2016,andwithamuchpositivefun.Thati...[
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StandardAnswers:BeyondTheAbsoluteRight&Wrong
Whenitcomestothestandardanswersinanytestprep,theassumptionisthatitisreferencedonceyoufinishapractice.Itallowsyoutoconfirmthetrueandcorrectthefalsethesoonest!Itmakespossiblethatyouknowandworkonyourweaknessesrightaway.That'sanobrainer,youthink.
Waitaminute.Thereisaquestionseldomaskedhere.Isyourweaknesstheinabilitytoreasonafalsewithawarenesso...[
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凸子尘报:甲君,乙君和他们的儿子
Sincethepublicationof凸子尘报:高考,招生和平权法案,Iseetheleftandrightoftheargumentthatpreferentialtreatmentintermsofeducationassessmentisbeneficiarytothepeople.Bothsidesargueonsuchtreatmentforthesakeoffairness,whiletheyarereallyondifferentkindsoffairness.Let’stakesomesamplinghere.
有一个关于教育的问题,牵动着很多父母的心。今天凸某要举例来说明这个问题。...[
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凸子尘报:高考,减招和平权法案
Asnewssaidthesedays,Chinesecollegesisreallocatingtheadmissionquotaamongtheprovinces.Some10%ofthosemaybeinheritedbytheeducationallydevelopedprovincessuchasJiangsuandHubeiwillbeusedonstudentsfromthedevelopingprovincesinnorthandwestofChina.Afterthetensofthousandsofparentsopenlyconcerned,theMOEsexplaineditsmathbehindit.Itisnotareductionbutaninductionofeducationopportu...[
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凸子尘报:Obama,Trump和EthicalPolitics
Obama,in2008,calledforChange.TrumptodaycalledforMakingAmericaGreatAgain.Whathavewewantedtochangesince2008?Isitatwo-termrepublicangovernmentorfifty-yearWashingtonpolitics?WhatittakestomakeAmericagreat?IsitarealityofbusinessacumenorthevisionaryfundamentalsofAmericanValues?Whatisit,orthose,thatallofusAmericancanrelyon,nomatterwhichgenerationofimmigrantsweare...[
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凸子尘报:Liang,Googe和新民权运动
Justtorecouptheexcitingmemoryofeveryofus–morethan100,000peoplegatheredin30citiesonFeb20,2016,fromBrooklyntoSanFrancisco,insupportofPeterLiang.LiangwasconvictedseconddegreemanslaughterbyajuryonFeb11,2016.Recommendedbyprosecutingdistrictattorney,JudgeChunconvictedLiangoncriminallynegligenthomicide.
Unrelatedbutcorrelated,Americansseeanunprecedentedriseo...[
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