美股盘前，

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当前盘前走势概览：

• 标普500期货（S&P 500 Futures）：下跌约0.85%，报5,662点。

• 道琼斯期货（Dow Futures）：下跌约0.64%，报41,169点。

• 纳斯达克100期货（Nasdaq 100 Futures）：下跌约1.05%，报19,992.75点。 markets.businessinsider.com

市场下跌的主要原因：

1. 新一轮关税政策引发担忧：美国总统特朗普宣布对海外制作的电影征收100%的关税，尽管具体实施细节尚不明确，但此举加剧了市场对全球贸易紧张局势的担忧。 Reuters+1Investopedia+1

2. 美联储政策会议临近：投资者关注即将于5月6日至7日召开的联邦公开市场委员会（FOMC）会议，尽管市场普遍预期利率将维持不变，但投资者希望从中获取未来货币政策走向的线索。 Investopedia

3. 经济增长放缓迹象：数据显示，美国第一季度经济出现自2022年以来的首次收缩，主要原因是企业在关税生效前加紧进口，导致库存积压和需求放缓。 Reuters

技术面观察：

• 支撑位：短期支撑位在5,600点附近。

• 压力位：上方压力位在5,700点至5,720点区间。

• 技术指标：若期货价格跌破5,600点，可能引发进一步的技术性回调。

投资者关注重点：

• 美联储会议结果：市场将密切关注美联储的政策声明和主席鲍威尔的讲话，以判断未来利率走势。

• 中美贸易谈判进展：尽管近期有迹象显示双方可能重启谈判，但具体进展仍不明朗，投资者需关注相关消息。

• 企业财报发布：本周将有多家大型企业发布财报，投资者应关注其业绩对市场的影响。

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S&P 500 Premarket Update – May 6, 2025

As of 8:51 AM ET on Monday, May 5, S&P 500 futures are down approximately 0.85%, trading near 5,662, signaling potential pullback after a strong 9-day rally that marked the longest winning streak since 2004.

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Premarket Snapshot

• S&P 500 Futures: ▼ -0.85%, at 5,662

• Dow Jones Futures: ▼ -0.64%, at 41,169

• Nasdaq 100 Futures: ▼ -1.05%, at 19,992.75
  Source: Business Insider Markets

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? Key Drivers Behind the Decline

1. New Tariff Concerns
   Former President Donald Trump announced a new 100% tariff on foreign-produced films, triggering fears of a renewed wave of global trade friction. While details remain vague, markets are reacting to the uncertainty.

2. FOMC Meeting This Week
   The Federal Reserve will hold its policy meeting on May 6–7. Although no rate changes are expected, investors are on edge for clues from Chair Powell's remarks about future monetary policy direction.

3. Signs of Slowing Growth
   Recent GDP data shows the first quarterly contraction since 2022, partly due to companies overstocking ahead of tariff deadlines, leading to inventory overhang and softening demand.

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Technical Outlook

• Short-term Support: 5,600

• Resistance Levels: 5,700 – 5,720

• Watchpoint: A break below 5,600 could trigger a deeper technical correction.

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What to Watch This Week

• FOMC Policy Decision & Powell’s Press Conference

• U.S.–China Trade Negotiation Signals
  (Some easing gestures seen from both sides, but no concrete schedule yet)

• Corporate Earnings from Large Caps

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