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Bear\'s Revenge
(2008-02-05 13:22:28)

Thereisnotmuchtosay...bearsincontrolalldayandsellingisacrossallsectors.Almostallsectorsdroppedbelow5maandonlyafewstillholdsabove10ma.Thevolumewasaverageexceptgoldandenergysectors.ThisbigdowndayputSPXnear.50fiboofrecentlyrally.Onethingtonoteisthatallsupportarejust"potential"supportandcanonlybefoundafterthefact.Tradeatleastwiththeshort-termtrend,andonlyusesmalloptionmoneytobottomfishifyo...[阅读全文]
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SPX bull channel redefined, no short yet
(2008-02-05 07:03:33)

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An unsually quiet Monday
(2008-02-04 14:28:27)

SPXpulledbackafterretracingtofibo0.5fromDechigh.Financialandrealestatesectorspulledbackwithlightervolumeandshort-termuptrendareintact.XLF,however,reversedyesterday'slight-volumebreakoutanddroppedbelowthetrendline.Retailerswerehitharderbutstillfoundsupportat10-dayMA.Transportationpulledbackwithoutviolating5-dayMAbutthevolumeincreased100%,notagoodsign. QQQQdroppeddeeperwithshorttermdowntrendest...[阅读全文]
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Patriots fell at the end (图)
(2008-02-03 19:14:35)


Afterall,lifeisimperfect.Patriotsbroughttoomuchpressureonthemselvesandthemomentumwasgonetonight.Still,myhatofftothegreatteamandagreatseason.Mywishesarewithyou.
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SPX where is the trend
(2008-02-01 21:25:11)

(NUMBERSAREUPDATED)
Duringthiscorrectionorbearmarket,SPXhasfoundstrongsupportat.38fibo(startfrom2003bullmarket).NowSPXhasretraced.50fromDechigh,itisimportanttowatchwhereitgoesnextweek.Willitretraceto0.5(1423)or0.68(1460)fromOcthighbeforepullingback?Hereisasimpleprediction:SPXtouches1423nextweekandpullbackto1345andthengoesupto1460,beforeitstartsabigCwavedowntoalongbearmarket.Nextsupportsshouldb...[阅读全文]
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Bull\'s touchdown
(2008-02-01 13:17:31)
Bullshadanothergreatday,nowthebadnewsdoesnotseemtomatteranymore.MaybeFed'sactionsandtheelection-yeareffectalreadyhavepositiveimpactonmarketfundamentals,andthereisprobablytoomuchsidelinemoneyeagertogetin.Nomatterhowmuchwewanttoseeanotherlegdown,wehavetorespectthemarket.Wewereafraidofabankruptcyfromafinancialinstitute,suchasCorMBI,butnowitseemslikeadistantmemory.
Marketisgivingmixedsignals-pre...[阅读全文]
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Shorted POT/RRC
(2008-02-01 07:10:03)
ShortedPOT/RRCasplanned,couldbeabittooearlyasmarketrushesupdespitebadjoblessdata.OtherrisksmayincludeagriculturalpricecanbeboostedbyChina'ssnowstormthateventuallyhasimpactonfertilizersection.Justbecareful.[阅读全文]
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some short candidates on commodity names
(2008-01-31 18:13:22)

$CRBprintedahangingmantodayandlookslikeithastoppedwithRSI/MACDdivergence.DBCshowssimilartoppingsigns.
DBAonagricultureisalsotopping,largeRSIdivergenceandADXisdivingfast.NowitshouldbeanotherchancetoshortCF/AGU/MOS/MON,whichallhadagapupdayonJan24thatwillbefilledbythecomingdiving.
Thesameistruefor$GOLDasIpointedoutearlier,anditschartshowsathree-crowspatternindicatingalargedivecoming.Shor...[阅读全文]
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400 points swing!
(2008-01-31 14:31:20)

400pointswing!Aquestiononmanypeople'smindis-isthisafollowthroughdayandanofficialbeginningofanotherbullmarket?OrisitjustinthemiddleofBwave?Volumesaresimilartoyesterday'sandarenotquiteimpressive,maybemorepeopleareholdingofffortomorrow'seconomicdata.
Whathavefueledtoday'srally?TheassurancefromMBI,aleakagefromtomorrow'sdata,oranattempttopriceinanotherratecut?
http://www.minyanville.com/ar...[阅读全文]
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Openned put positions on GG
(2008-01-31 07:39:03)
GOLDlookstoppyandthestockmarketmaybecomemoreattractiveatthispoint.
GGhasnotbeenabletopassresistancelineandhasanunfilledgapunderneath,makingitagoodput.
ItisasmallpositionandanAprilput.Wewillsee.[阅读全文]
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