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My Market View
(2010-09-15 18:44:34)
MyMarketView
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sp500
(2010-09-02 16:14:04)
thenextlevelofresistanceis1,100,followedbythe200-daysimplemovingavaeragecurrentlyat1,116,the50%retracementlevelofthe2007high/2009lowandfinallynecklineresistancenear1,135.[阅读全文]
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Nassim Taleb Says The Financial System Is Now Riskier Than It Wa
(2010-08-19 10:42:41)
“I’mverypessimistic,”hesaidatthe.“Bystayingincashorhedgingagainstinflation,youwon’tregretitintwoyears.”Treasurieshaveralliedamidspeculationtheglobaleconomicrecoveryisfaltering,drivingyieldsontwo-yearnotestoarecordlowof0.4892percenttoday.TheFederalReserveyesterdayreversedplanstoexitfrommonetarystimulusanddecidedtokeepitsbondholdingsleveltosupportaneconomicrecoveryitdescribedasweakerthanantici...[阅读全文]
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take the profit !!!
(2009-11-20 16:18:22)
therearestillafewpointstodrop,butjustlikeittaketimetoshort,italsotaketimetoclosethem.
Iclosedmostofmyshortpositions.goodluck!
5%downiscoming
来源:NewAmateur于09-11-1518:00:49[档案][博客][旧帖][转至博客][给我悄悄话]
Iamexpectingabout5%downinmajorindexesiscoming.
所有跟贴:
•buffet已经allin，buyonanydip........除非lz比巴菲牛？-exds-(0bytes)(7reads)11/15/09
•Did...[阅读全文]
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5% down is coming
(2009-11-15 18:00:49)
Iamexpectingabout5%downinmajorindexesiscoming.[阅读全文]
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top is forming
(2009-05-28 18:06:51)

becareful,.........[阅读全文]
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my advice
(2009-01-20 18:02:14)
abouttwoweeksago,Irepliedabullishposttoclaimemarketislikelytogodown,well,itwasupalittleanddownbig.
today\'sactionisnotasIexpected,butthemostunexpectionistheput/callratioatCBOE,inanotherword,mostpeoplestillbettingmarketwillupandupbig.mytakeforthisis,likepeopleknowme,marketwilldefinitelywillgodownsimplybecauseofthep/cratio.perhaps,itwilldownfasterthanIthought.
butfromotherindicatorsIamwatchi...[阅读全文]
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a few words
(2009-01-16 18:09:31)
FormanymonthsIhavebeenemphasizingthatouranalysisshouldbebiasedtowardbearishoutcomesbecauseweareoperatinginthelonger-termcontextofabearmarket.Thetideisgoingoutanditisfoolishtotrytoswimagainstit.Inamuchbroadercontext,weareinthemidstofaglobaldebtcollapsethatisonlyinthebeginningstages.Ifinditimpossibletoimagineeconomiccircumstancesintheimmediatefuturethatwouldbeevenremotelyfavorabletostocks.
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Tax question
(2007-12-01 21:32:14)
somebodygavemesuggestionlikethis,
Alsoconsideracceleratingincome....you\'renormaltaxrateshouldbeabout33%andyouonlypayamaxof28%undertheAMT....
IalwaystrytoavoidAMTinthelastfewyears.soitreallyconfusedme.
anyexplanation/suggestionwillbeappreciated.[阅读全文]
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Tax question
(2007-12-01 21:24:30)
somebodygavemesuggestionlikethis,
Alsoconsideracceleratingincome....you\'renormaltaxrateshouldbeabout33%andyouonlypayamaxof28%undertheAMT....
IalwaystrytoavoidAMTinthelastfewyears.soitreallyconfusedme.
anyexplanation/suggestionwillbeappreciated.
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