猛牛

以历史为借鉴, 以现实为根据, 以独立判断为基础, 以长期投资为目标, 以基本面分析为手段, 来谋求理想的长期盈利。
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俺有临时仓位需要卖的 为什么说是临时呢?就是见机行事的仓位。 股市给了机会就炒底买入。 接近新高就卖出,因为 (1)后面上涨就会慢下来。 (2)有可能反复。 长期仓位,在经济变差时会卖出的。这不一定卖在最高, 但能获得牛市最大利润的80-90%. 呵呵呵。。。。。。 [阅读全文]
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/slowing-growth-stalling-stocks-raise-fear-that-economys-good-days-are-numbered-2018-05-07[阅读全文]
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/heres-why-peak-earnings-dont-mean-its-all-downhill-for-the-stock-market-2018-05-07[阅读全文]
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太多的钱不在股市里,都在外面等着。 (1)房价那么高,没有赚头, (2)债券价格那么高,FED加息,价格走低。 (3)CASH吧,通胀为2%,每年贬值2% 只有股价已有调整,估值适中,前途看好。 看看下面的支票账户的历年余额就知道,大量大量的闲钱在外面等着。支票账户只是个缩影而已,就算全进股市回到历史水平也只有$1000-1500B,而大量的闲钱可能有几万或几十[阅读全文]
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牛牛的好日子,快来了。 拭目以待。。。。。。。 [阅读全文]
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(2018-04-29 16:43:09)
OneFidelityexpertlookstopastcorrectionsforcluestotoday'sopportunities.Keytakeaways Since1960,therehaveonlybeen10correctionsintheUSstockmarketassteepandfastasthepullbackinFebruary,whichhada10%declinein9tradingdays. Historically,stockshavegenerallyperformedwellaftersuchsharpcorrections,withpositive12-monthreturnsfollowing8ofthe10corrections,andanaveragegainof17%. Lookingbackto1955,themarkethasha...[阅读全文]
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https://www.seeitmarket.com/2018-stock-correction-5-historical-examples-market-returns-17786/FACTSINSTEADOFFEARInaseparatepost,wecompared2018tonumerousplungeperiodsinhistory(1955,1987,1998,2000,2007,2011,and2015).Havingstudiedmarketsforyears,wecanconfidentlysaythedatawehaveinhandin2018,onmultipletimeframes,looksalmostnothinglikethedatawehadinhandbeforeplungesin2000and2007.Themostsimilarperiodsare1...[阅读全文]
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Historyisonthesideofthosewhothinkstockswillseesmallergainsnextyearandacorrection. Strategasanalystsstudiedyearswheretherewereshallowsell-offsintheS&P500,likethisyear,andtheyfoundtheycorrelatedtostrongmarketperformance,likethisyear. Butinthefollowingyear,therewasanaverage12percentcorrectionandanaveragegainofjust5percent,coincidentallyjustlikeanalystsareforecastingfornextyear. St...[阅读全文]
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比特币总是比股市提前一个月来大动作,或大涨或大跌。 请看下图,太不可思议了: [阅读全文]
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https://www.marketwatch.com/story/its-the-change-in-bond-yields-not-the-level-that-should-worry-stock-market-investors-2018-04-27There’snothingmagicalabouta3%10-yearyield:RosenbergInvestorsarehotlydebatingwhethera3%yieldonthe10-yearTreasurynotewillupendthestockmarket.ButDavidRosenberg,chiefeconomistatGluskinSheff,saysthatdebatedoesn’tcorrectlyframetheissue.Instead,investorsshouldbefocu...[阅读全文]
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