Riding the waves of markets
Just a collection of my ideas about US and China stock markets. Let's ride the waves of the markets to financial freedom!
博文
(2009-06-26 15:06:00)
上证六月二十六日小涨收2928点.K线继昨天后再收十字星,交易量再缩小,代表大盘在等待观望.可能是等下周IPO的反响.那就以不变应万变吧.2950仍是压力,希望IPO及全球股市的转强可发力冲破.反正不跌破2860,短期趋势不变.[阅读全文]
(2009-06-26 15:04:43)
Onthesurface,marketlookedquiettodaybesidesthebignoisemadebyNasdaq.It'sapositivesignafteryesterday'sadvance.Nasdaqcontinuedyesterday'ssurgewithamodestgain,but/whugevol.Techwillkeepleadingthebroadmarketinshort-term.S&Pwasdoingok,butthefinerdetailresidedinthefactthatittestedyesterday'sbreakout,sobullwillflexitsmusclefromthispointon.DJwasabitlackluster.But2outof3indicesshowedupsidepotentials,thenw...[阅读全文]
(2009-06-25 16:51:07)
Itlookslikeresistanceat2950isstillhardtobeat.Markettried2timesinthelast3sessions,butstillgotpushedbackdown.I'llbeonthewatchoutforanyeasinginthemomentumandanypossiblepull-back.Buttheuptrendisstillstrongandintact.
[阅读全文]
[阅读全文]
(2009-06-25 16:27:11)
Marketralliedprettystronglytoday.S&P,Nasdaq&DJallhadareversalday.ExpectNasdaqtoleadthemarketagain.Lastseveraldaysofdownwardmovementisreversed.USmarketisshowingearlysignsofmomentumtostartanotherpossibleuptrend.Istartedgettingbackintothemarketwith5%positiontoday.Willcontinuebuildinguppositionsifmarketmovesintherightdirection.Whenthetimeisright,itdoesn'ttakememuchtimetopullthetriggerfor100%po...[阅读全文]
(2009-06-24 15:20:28)
有坛友问A股会不会过3000,或到多少点.我不会紫微斗数,怎么知道呢?或许这里的高人指点一下?
不过话说回来,我用以下的几种分析来讲一下,大家当八卦新闻娱乐就好了:
1.A股合理价位.08GDP=30万亿元,08/12/31日总市值=12万亿元,收1820点.合理价位=GDP/总市值*收盘价=30/12*1820=4550.
照6月24日收盘价2922,A股仍是undervalue.历史显示GDP/总市值[阅读全文]
不过话说回来,我用以下的几种分析来讲一下,大家当八卦新闻娱乐就好了:
1.A股合理价位.08GDP=30万亿元,08/12/31日总市值=12万亿元,收1820点.合理价位=GDP/总市值*收盘价=30/12*1820=4550.
照6月24日收盘价2922,A股仍是undervalue.历史显示GDP/总市值[阅读全文]
(2009-06-22 14:32:50)
上证六月二十二日小涨收2896点.K线收十字星,为高位十字星,有回调可能.全球股市都在修正,A股恐怕难置身事外.不过我们会密切注意的.[阅读全文]
(2009-06-22 14:08:54)
Today'sdropwasthecontinuationofthecorrectioninbullmarket.ThenextsupportlevelforS&Pisaround874-887.It'ssupposedtobeastrongsupportbecauseit'sanareawhere季线andpreviousconsolidationsmeet.Ifmarketcandropbelowthat,thenbullwillbeindeeptrouble.LastFridayIclearedoutallmypositionsbecauseallsignalsweretellingmetobail.Sorry,Iwastoobusytoupdatemyblog.Anyway,I'llwaitonthesidelinepatientlytillthiscorrection...[阅读全文]
(2009-06-18 13:51:33)
上证六月十八日继续放量大涨收2853点.我们已建了50%的仓位,会看大盘走势加码.在全球股市都下跌时,A股却一支独秀创新高,看来重开IPO吸引了外资入市.不过股市通常利多出尽就是最大的利空,要小心月底前IPO潮的获利回吐.[阅读全文]
(2009-06-18 13:26:10)
DJ&S&Pralliedabittoday.Marketcommentariesclaimedthatit'satechnicalrebound.Agreed.Butthethingthatmakesmeuncomfortableisthatmarketleadersarealldefensivesectors:healthcare,consumerstaples&utilities.SoItooktheopportunitytoreducemypositionsdownto15%,leavingwithmostlyindexETFs.Marketwillprobablyconsolidateforsometimetofindthedirection.I'llclearallthepositionsifthedowntrendcontinues.[阅读全文]
(2009-06-17 14:07:50)
Thesell-offinbroadmarketeasedabittoday.Nasdaqevenmadeasmallgain.S&Pwasintheworstshapeofthe3majorindices:itbrokethesupportof919yesterday.TomorrowisRIMM'searningreleaseday.It'dbeinterestingtoseehowitdidinthepastquartertoshedsomelightintothestrengthofhigh-endtechdevicesintherecessionrecovery.It'sbeendroppingthelast4consecutivesessions.Butanyearningsurprisewillsetthestockonfire.Confession:Ihave12%...[阅读全文]
