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Next trading day focus(9/25/08)
(2008-09-24 10:21:48)
Today'sIBbalanceis60600,lost100.Dowdown16.Make500fromCFwhichispureluck.Make100eachfromFXI-CAFandMGM-WYNN.
Todaymakeamistake,clearAAPL-RIMMpositionimmedietlyitturnedprofitanddidn'tlookbackwhenpositionvaluedownagain.Later,thepositionvaluesoarupanother200,shouldhavecatchthepositionsinceI'vefolloweditsoclosely.
TriedFXI-CAFtheory,thatis,FXIshouldfollowshanghaiindexsinceit'slargecapstateownedco...[阅读全文]
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Next trading day focus(9/24/08)
(2008-09-23 09:10:02)
Today'sIBbalanceis60700,lost820,Dowhadavolatileday,fromup100earlytodown163atclose.
Todaymadesomemistakes:
1.ShortedFXP-100whenmarkettrendisnotveryclear,lostover200.NeedtobemorecautiouswithultrashortETF.IthinkChinamarketstillhaveupwardpotential.FXIandCAFshouldbebetterbet.EspeciallygiventhatFXIcurrentlyhavea3%discount.NeedtodosomeresearchonFXIandCAF,SinceFXItrackmoststateownedcompaniesdoesit...[阅读全文]
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Next trading day focus(9/23/08)
(2008-09-22 11:38:06)
Today'sIBendbalanceis61520.
Markethasbigdown,Dow-381or-3.28%,S&P94.92or4.17%,Nasdaq47.95or3.82%,
MyportfolioputasmallgainbecauseofGDX+200andCAF-200andSNP-100.allpostgains,totalabout1000.
COST-WMTsofarhasabout400loss.
LastFriday'sdecisiontounloadDRYS,DSXandGNKwerecorrectmove.Looktoreloadpositionifpricedropmorethisweek.
1.CloselyfollowGLDandSLVmovement,ifgapenlarge,thendo+SLV...[阅读全文]
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ETF facts and +FXI-CAF based on premium/discount
(2008-09-22 10:05:18)
FindagoodsiteforETFfacts,maydosomesynctradingforETFsbasedonpremiumanddiscount.
http://www.etfconnect.com/select/fundpages/global.asp?MFID=168692
FXI,asoflastFriday(9/19/08),NAV36.89,price39.06,premium=2.17/36.89=7.32%
SinceChinamarketwasup7%onMondayandFXIdownabout2.6%,thepremiumshouldbewipedoutandatdiscount2.5%
CAF,asoflastFriday,NAV27.65,price=31.33,premium=13.3%
AdjusttoMonda...[阅读全文]
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About Gold
(2008-09-21 22:32:06)
Goodarticleaboutgoldandrelatedtradingmethods.Theblogwaspostedon3/28/08,whengoldpricejustcameoffthepeakrecordedon3/14/08.
http://caps.fool.com/Blogs/ViewPost.aspx?bpid=43223&t=01009900444600847326
So,isitover,isitnot?Whathappenedtoday?Andhowcanyouinvest/tradeinit?TheunbelievablebullinGoldfinallystumbledaweekagowheninreactiontotheFedloweringrates,goldpriceswentnowhere.Standardresponsetoe...[阅读全文]
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Most shorted stocks spike, but will they stay? short position of
(2008-09-21 22:22:00)
WithshortsellerspossiblyscramblingtocovertheirpositionsafterthenewSECrules,severalsmall-caprestaurantcompaniesrallied.CheesecakeFactory,with22.9%ofsharesshort,rallied$1.98or13%to16.74onThursday,9/19/08,andsonic,withan18%shortposition,rose1.93or13%to16.46.MaybecandosomesynctradinganduseMCDtohedge.Also,needtofindouthowtofindshortpositionofacompany.
WSJhasashortinterestlist:
http://online.wsj...[阅读全文]
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Next trading day focus(9/22/08)
(2008-09-20 19:16:45)
+WYNN-MGM,+KFT-GIS,+IVV-IWM,+CF-AGU,+MCD-SONCorCAKE,+SLV-GLD
BuyGNK,DSX,DRYSifthere'spricedrop.
LoadmoreFXI,CAFifconditionsgoodinChina.
closelyfollowFXI,CAF,FXP,SKFandGDX,DGP.
Icurrentlyhaveposition+COST-WMT,believecostwillcatchWMTatyearend.Iexpectforatleast2%profitnextweek.
GLDandSLVhasveryhighcorrelationhistorically,butSLVlagbehindGLDbyhugemargin(40%),mostinhistory.It'ssotemp...[阅读全文]
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Kraft and food processing sector
(2008-09-20 19:04:04)
KraftwasaddedtoDOWlastweek.Iassumeitshouldperformbetterthanpeersinnearfuture.IremeberaresearchsayafteracompanyislistedinDOW(orSP500,Idon'trememberwhich,ormaybeboth),thereturnimproves.Thequestionishowtohedgetheposition,useGIS?maybe,ifGISoutperformKFTnextmondy,thenloadsomesyncposition.[阅读全文]
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Current credit crisis comparing to 91-92 and 01-02 recession
(2008-09-20 17:57:23)
JustreadaninterestingarticleinWSJ2008/09/19A3,U.SEconomy'sProspectsWorsen.Thearticlecomparescurrenteconomysituationwithtwopreviousrecessionduring91-92and01-02.Thefigureshowsthatduring90-92,00-02,Wholesaleandretailsaleshaspercentagechangedipto-4%atbottom,PersonalIncomedipto-2%,Industrialperoductiondipto-4%and-6%,Jobsdipto-2%.Andatthistime,the4figuresareatabout-1%,-1%,-2%and0%.Wearenotinrecessionn...[阅读全文]
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financial sector
(2008-09-20 06:40:23)
SKFswingfrom150-83-100.Nextweekwillbeinteresting.Bailoutplanmaytrashdollar,followGLD,GDXandDGPclosely.ChinaETFlikeFXI,CAFshouldbedoinggoodnextweek.IsittimetoshortFXP???
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