17.45->13.27
0.618%=14.86(14.69)238.0%7.50(7.55)262.0%=6.50
8.92->7.890.382%=8.52(8.68)138.2%=7.50(7.55)161.8%=7.25
8.25->7.5450%=7.90(7.90)138%=7.274/28(7.39)REVIEW正确至4/21有46个股票判断30正确16错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+,PTEC+,KO+,GA)
IXIC,SNDK,...,WDC,PKI,QQQQ,DBA,FXE,SID,OIIM
PIC
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GA11.73(4/18)SHORTTO11
9.2->12.990.618%=11.54(11.39)TARGET38.2%=10.65
12.98有双顶压力,这次下跌可能幅度较大.
4/28(13.96)REVIEW错误
到黄金分割点11.39后上升138.2% 14.44(13.96)短期应回调12.98,然后162%=15.33
5/30(14.96)200%=16.78实际到了17.15,大概是因为突破了双顶的压力.
11.39->17.15
38.2%= 13.59(12.80) 61.8%= 14.95收14.96,TARGET=138%=19.35
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FXE158.34->154.12->165.60
135.11->149.230.618%=143.83(143.03)(143.46)(144.84)138.2%=154.62(154.45)161.8%=157.96(159.86)
143.46->149.35300.0%->161.13(159.86)200.0%=155.24(154.45)
144.84->159.86TARGET1=0.618%=154.12,TARGET2=138.2%=165.604/25(156.43)REVIEW基本正确
先创了新高160.10,然后下行,今天最低
154.45->158.720.382%=156.08(156.044/1)138.2%=160.35(159.86160.104/22双顶?)
156....[
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DBA38.86SHORT33.60
34.29->42.980.618%=39.66(39.76)然后形成双顶
42.98->39.62,200%=36.54此为底(36.05)300.0%=33.32
42.46->36.050.618%=38.70(39.47)肩39.76前支持变成阻力,三次测试未成功138.2%33.60
36.05->39.17TARGET1=0.382%=37.24
38.92-36.45TARGET2=200%=33.984/25(36.82)REVIEW正确,昨日收36.75至4/19有42个股票判断28正确14错误
(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX...[
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41.26->44.830.618%=43.46(43.49)双底出发138.2%46.19(45.76)200%=48.40
41.26->45.7661.8%=44.04(44.08)TARGET161.8%=48.54(46.75->50.05->51.05->45.73)
4/25(47.15)REVIEW基本正确
上升趋势昨日收47.27,最低46.34
至4/18有41个股票判断27正确14错误
(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+,PTEC+)
IXIC,...,ETFC,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,RTN,WDC,PKI,QQQQ
因PTEC近期大跌,原判断上...[
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NO1:5,049.00-4,583.00161.8%=4295(4275)200.0%=4117(41494/4/2000)138.2%=4404(44464/7/2000高点)
NO2:5049->4149200.0%=3249(3321)4,446.00-4,149.0061.8%=4262(4275)
NO3:5049->3321 0.618%=3981(39585/1/2000反弹高点)138.2%=2661(2598)
3321->3958138.2%=4233(4275新反弹高点)
5049->3164 0.382%=4328(42757/17/2000)
4275->3658->4234双顶 200%=3041(307510/12/2000)238.0%=2806(2859高点)
4...[
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29.86->24.620.618%=26.62(actual26.68反弹高点)138.2%=22.62(22.70实际下跌终点)
29.86->22.70.618%=25.43(actual25.53)
22.96->25.5338.2%23.94(24.09)
TARGET138.2%=26.51162%=27.12(27.48)
4/24(25.03)REVIEW基本正确
仍在上升趋势中昨日收25.35
至4/17有40个股票判断27正确13错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+)
IXIC,...,POT,ETFC,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,RTN,WDC,PKI
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60.00-67.11 38.2%=62.72(62.66)TARGET138.2%=69.83
62.66->66.63 38.2% 64.180.618%=65.11(65.08)161.8%=69.08
两个周期的高点69.83和69.08较接近,预计是下一个目标
明天:PKI(24.70)LONG26.51
4/23(66.23)REVIEW基本正确,仍在上升趋势中4/2964.42
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UTX69.53(4/11/2008)->74
82.02->72.780.382%=78.49(78.83)(78.18双顶) 161.8% =67.07(66.23最低)
72.68->78.83 61.8%=75.03(反弹75.04)
78.83->75.04 双顶形成后,大幅下跌200.0% 71.25(70.89得到短暂支持)300%=67.46(67.24)
78.18->67.24 0.382%=74.00(74.12)急跌之后反弹,三次测试失败0.618%=71.41(70.89平台支持)
73.41->66.23(创新低)->71.85(原平台支持71.41变成阻力)
66.23->70.340.618%=68....[
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OI(57.234/10/2008)LONG62.34
40.20-58.3161.8%=51.39(51.48)138.2%=65.23
51.48-58.1961.8%=55.63(55.61)161.8%=62.34200.0%=64.904/22(58.51)REVIEW正确
到高点59.90,然后下跌
至4/15有36个股票判断24正确12错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+)IXIC,SNDK,PTEC,HPQ,BIDU,LDK,DE,GLD,DAR,CF,AMZN,CHU,MOS,KO,CCC,EWT,SNDK,POT,ETFC,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,OIPIC[
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