fxc99.63(4/18/2008)->95.54
92.85(8/15/2007)->109.26
0.382%=99.11(98.1612/13/2007,97.22(1/22)97.783/31,前高96.65成为新支持)0.618%=102.99(102.40反弹高点12/28/2007102.712/28/2008)
109.26->98.16下跌 0.618%=102.40(反弹高点102.40)138.2%=93.92
98.16->102.4在此区间整理,形成了5个底和2个顶,可能向下突破.
TARGET1=161.8%=95.54TARGET2=93.92
84.36->96.65
0.618%=91.95(92.85调...[阅读全文]
捷思的博客
缠论学习笔记
博文
(2008-04-23 22:39:19)
(2008-04-22 22:13:20)
AKS65.10Shortto61.03
35.48->47.93
0.618%=43.17(44.40)161.8%55.62(55.90)262.0%68.10(68.50)200.0%60.38
44.4->55.90.382%=48.79(48.9649.96双底)200.0%67.40(68.50)TARGET138.2%=60.29
48.96->68.5TARGET=0.618%=61.034/29(61.85)REVIEW正确至4/22有49个股票判断32正确17错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+,PTEC+,KO+,GA,MRVL)
IXIC,SNDK,...,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,RTN,WDC,PKI,Q...[阅读全文]
(2008-04-22 21:46:57)
MRVL突破下降通道,有上涨可能.回调后再观察.
11.97->10.4762%=11.40
12.55-10.4750.0%=11.51
10.5->11.97 0.382%=11.06 0.618%=11.404/29(13.04)REVIEW错误
突破下降通到的判断是正确的,上涨空间大于下跌空间不应SHORT
5/31 １７．３６跳空，有上涨空间6/25无量突破18.06 SHORT[阅读全文]
11.97->10.4762%=11.40
12.55-10.4750.0%=11.51
10.5->11.97 0.382%=11.06 0.618%=11.404/29(13.04)REVIEW错误
突破下降通到的判断是正确的,上涨空间大于下跌空间不应SHORT
5/31 １７．３６跳空，有上涨空间6/25无量突破18.06 SHORT[阅读全文]
(2008-04-21 23:01:47)
17.45->13.27
0.618%=14.86(14.69)238.0%7.50(7.55)262.0%=6.50
8.92->7.890.382%=8.52(8.68)138.2%=7.50(7.55)161.8%=7.25
8.25->7.5450%=7.90(7.90)138%=7.274/28(7.39)REVIEW正确至4/21有46个股票判断30正确16错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+,PTEC+,KO+,GA)
IXIC,SNDK,...,WDC,PKI,QQQQ,DBA,FXE,SID,OIIM
PIC
[阅读全文]
(2008-04-21 22:20:08)
GA11.73(4/18)SHORTTO11
9.2->12.990.618%=11.54(11.39)TARGET38.2%=10.65
12.98有双顶压力,这次下跌可能幅度较大.
4/28(13.96)REVIEW错误
到黄金分割点11.39后上升138.2% 14.44(13.96)短期应回调12.98,然后162%=15.33
5/30(14.96)200%=16.78实际到了17.15,大概是因为突破了双顶的压力.
11.39->17.15 38.2%= 13.59(12.80) 61.8%= 14.95收14.96,TARGET=138%=19.35
[阅读全文]
9.2->12.990.618%=11.54(11.39)TARGET38.2%=10.65
12.98有双顶压力,这次下跌可能幅度较大.
4/28(13.96)REVIEW错误
到黄金分割点11.39后上升138.2% 14.44(13.96)短期应回调12.98,然后162%=15.33
5/30(14.96)200%=16.78实际到了17.15,大概是因为突破了双顶的压力.
11.39->17.15 38.2%= 13.59(12.80) 61.8%= 14.95收14.96,TARGET=138%=19.35
[阅读全文]
(2008-04-20 21:07:59)
FXE158.34->154.12->165.60
135.11->149.230.618%=143.83(143.03)(143.46)(144.84)138.2%=154.62(154.45)161.8%=157.96(159.86)
143.46->149.35300.0%->161.13(159.86)200.0%=155.24(154.45)
144.84->159.86TARGET1=0.618%=154.12,TARGET2=138.2%=165.604/25(156.43)REVIEW基本正确
先创了新高160.10,然后下行,今天最低
154.45->158.720.382%=156.08(156.044/1)138.2%=160.35(159.86160.104/22双顶?)
156....[阅读全文]
(2008-04-19 21:39:36)
DBA38.86SHORT33.60
34.29->42.980.618%=39.66(39.76)然后形成双顶
42.98->39.62,200%=36.54此为底(36.05)300.0%=33.32
42.46->36.050.618%=38.70(39.47)肩39.76前支持变成阻力,三次测试未成功138.2%33.60
36.05->39.17TARGET1=0.382%=37.24
38.92-36.45TARGET2=200%=33.984/25(36.82)REVIEW正确,昨日收36.75至4/19有42个股票判断28正确14错误
(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX...[阅读全文]
(2008-04-18 21:34:45)
41.26->44.830.618%=43.46(43.49)双底出发138.2%46.19(45.76)200%=48.40
41.26->45.7661.8%=44.04(44.08)TARGET161.8%=48.54(46.75->50.05->51.05->45.73)
4/25(47.15)REVIEW基本正确
上升趋势昨日收47.27,最低46.34
至4/18有41个股票判断27正确14错误
(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+,PTEC+)
IXIC,...,ETFC,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,RTN,WDC,PKI,QQQQ
因PTEC近期大跌,原判断上...[阅读全文]
(2008-04-17 23:43:31)
NO1:5,049.00-4,583.00161.8%=4295(4275)200.0%=4117(41494/4/2000)138.2%=4404(44464/7/2000高点)
NO2:5049->4149200.0%=3249(3321)4,446.00-4,149.0061.8%=4262(4275)
NO3:5049->3321 0.618%=3981(39585/1/2000反弹高点)138.2%=2661(2598)
3321->3958138.2%=4233(4275新反弹高点)
5049->3164 0.382%=4328(42757/17/2000)
4275->3658->4234双顶 200%=3041(307510/12/2000)238.0%=2806(2859高点)
4...[阅读全文]
(2008-04-17 21:46:21)
29.86->24.620.618%=26.62(actual26.68反弹高点)138.2%=22.62(22.70实际下跌终点)
29.86->22.70.618%=25.43(actual25.53)
22.96->25.5338.2%23.94(24.09)
TARGET138.2%=26.51162%=27.12(27.48)
4/24(25.03)REVIEW基本正确
仍在上升趋势中昨日收25.35
至4/17有40个股票判断27正确13错误(AAPL,WDC+,GOOG,EBAY,PBR,ESRX,SID,A,AMD+,OIH,AIQ,NOC+,UTX+)
IXIC,...,POT,ETFC,C,VISA,VIP,ILMN,RTN,WDC,PKI
