http://web.wenxuecity.com/BBSView.php?SubID=finance&MsgID=517917[
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shorttermcantakeprofitofftable,
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QQQQmightrunupto40.2firstbutthatprobablyisitnearterm,
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inaroughway,
AverageProfit=AverageProrfitPerTrade*ProbailityWinning-AverageLossPerTrade*ProbabilityLosing,
精准,ifbyitwemeantoimprovewinningpercentage,isaselfevidentargument.(Theotherstoryistoincreaseavergeprofitandreduceaverageloss,whichistheclassic"cutlossfastandletprofitrun".)
Icanappreciatethestatementthatsometimesyoushouldnotpursue精准beyondeverythingelse,forexample,when...[
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thehugevolumecouldn'tpushitdownanymore
==>timeforreversal,
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it'sfairlyclearwhyDLtookherchances,
todayhasachancetobelike7/11(circled),breakdownthenretest,ifMondayweconfirmthedowntrend,hell,
thereisonesilverlinethoughinthatmid-termMAistrendingupasofnowwhiletrendingdownbackon7/11,
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longtermshort,
lotofinstibutionalsupportbuttheyhavepusheditoverthehilltopimho,
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richvaluation,funddarling,
however,lastQERwassoso,revgrowthat47%butbarelyearninggrowth,
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it'sveryjunior,ifnotoutrightlysilly,tothinktheplaceyouliveindeterminesifyouarehappyornot,
truthis,thereisnoheavenanywhere.Heavenmostlyoftenmeansthewhatyouhavelostorwhatyouwouldneverhave.
Wegetgoingwiththeplacewechoose,bypurposeorbychance,andhopefullymakethebestofit.Theolderweare,themorepath-dependentwebecome.
todebatethemeritsofaplaceoranotherwithoutthecontextofwhatyoudointhatenvironme...[
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lastnightchattedwitharealtoragent,whomentionedthatactivitiespickingupsignificantlylastfewweeksafterpracticallyadeadmarketearlier,
Iassumewhobuyingnowarepeoplewhoneedahousetolivein,obviouslyhousingisnolongersomethingthatpeoplebetonforfortune,
somaybeFedachievedsomething.Likealways,theyovertightened.Butmaybenotbytoomuch.
hopefullypeoplewenttoocrazyonassetbubbles,housingandmetalandoilanda...[
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