
A"SELL"signalforRussell2000wasgeneratedonJuly7,2006.[
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TheBearishFlagpatternhasdeveloped,itistextbookandhasadownsidetargetof1300sh.Flagsarefairlyreliablepatterns.[
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Wave3downshouldsendBONDSalotlowerthananyonewantstosee,especiallythehousingmarket.[
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WiththeFedat5.25%andtheECBat2.75%,theU.S.isforcedtoofferahigheryieldonitsbondstogivethedollarcredibility.IftheECBfindsitnecessarytomoveto5%overthecomingyeartofightinflation,doesitfollowtheU.S.ratewillhavetobesomewherearound7.5%orhigher?Ifthatscenarioplaysout,wewillbelookingat8.5%mortgagerates…ouchforthehousingmarket!WhilemanyhereintheU.S.believetheFedissomewhereneartheendofitstighteningcycle,itlo...[
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Theveryrarewave(4)pattern,andthealternativecountforwave(5)of[C]of(2)isdone,andwave(3)juststartedifpricewilldropsharplyinthenextfewdays.[
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Exodusmeans"thewayout".Redemptionisbyblood(ofJesusChrist)andbypower(ofGOD).
"IamtheLORDthyGod,whobroughttheeoutofthelandofegypt,outofthehouseofbondage.(Exodus20:2)"
http://www.thruthebible.org/atf/cf/{FEA5B386-48F1-4797-9023-5F77EED319B7}/Exodus.pdf[
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HereisthebigpicturefromElliottWaveprospective.
1.BullishshortertermcountcompletedonMay10th,2006.
ThiscountindicatedthattheDOWcompletedanendingdiagonalinwave(5)tocompletewave[b]thatrallysfromtheOct.2002low.TheSPXandNASalsocompletedtheendingdiagonalpatternstocompletewave[b]upaswell.TheSOXtoppedoutat550targetarea,whichcoincidedwithreversalsfromtheDOW,NASandNasdaq.Thiswasacleandiagonalpatterni...[
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Hikingcyclesatleastsince1990,havenotendeduntiltheratewasat6%.It’salsointerestingthatwhethertheFedwascuttingratesorhikingthem,italmostalwayshadtobemoreaggressiveatsomepoint,andmoveto0.5%andeven0.75%hikes,beforeitwassatisfied.[
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Thepotentialheadandshouldertargetto104forUSDollarindex,bythistimeof2007,[
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--fromDOW
注意危险信号
让我重复一次:炒股的最基本信条是在任何时候,你手上持有股票的上升潜力必须
大过下跌的可能,否则你就不应留在手里。看到危险信号,表示你的获胜概率此时
已不超出50%。
每位严肃的炒手都必须注意危险信号,但问题是在内心深处总有些奇怪的力量使他
们在该卖出的时候提不起勇气这么做。或许是侥幸心理在作怪。在迟疑的这[
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