Jeffrey Sachs 世界正处于核战争的边缘

“世界正处于核战争的边缘”：杰弗里·萨克斯

https://jjmilt.substack.com/p/the-world-is-at-the-edge-of-nuclear

乔恩·米尔蒂莫 2024 年 4 月 6 日

杰弗里·萨克斯表示，失败的不仅仅是俄罗斯和美国之间的外交。 甚至不再尝试外交。

我真正尊敬和印象深刻的公共知识分子的名单正在迅速减少。 但我确实钦佩的少数知名学者之一是杰弗里·萨克斯（Jeffrey Sachs），他是一位美国经济学家、公共政策分析师和哥伦比亚大学教授。

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萨克斯不仅是一位杰出的经济学家（尽管我们几乎肯定在很多观点上存在分歧），而且是一位精明而勇敢的全球事务分析师。 他是最早将北溪二号被毁事件的各个点联系起来的公众思想家之一，指出它具有中央情报局领导的行动的所有特征。

“如果你在过去的五年里一直关注美国，实际上是从越南战争开始的六十年，你就会对此了解很多。 当你有一个秘密情报单位中央情报局执行秘密行动时，就会发生这种情况。 这就是工作。 总统下达命令，他们做各种各样的事情。 他们发动政变，制造内乱，制造“革命”，炸毁基础设施。 这是工作的一部分，而且实际上是众所周知的。”

萨克斯是少数几个似乎认识到美国对乌克兰的干预的人之一，这种干预早在俄罗斯 2022 年入侵之前就开始了，并将世界推向了第三次世界大战的边缘。

对于那些不知道的人来说，美国国务卿托尼·布林肯最近宣布乌克兰将加入北约，多年来许多人警告这一行动可能会引发欧洲和亚洲的全面战争，这与我们自二战以来所目睹的任何战争都不一样 二.

很难理解促使我们走向第三次世界大战的多种力量和动机，但萨克斯在最近接受杜兰报采访时谈到了一些重要观点。

萨克斯的主要观点不仅仅是外交失败。 甚至不再尝试外交。

俄罗斯与美国之间的沟通变得如此糟糕，以至于当俄罗斯外交官到达时，美国外交官就离开了房间。 当俄罗斯大使表示愿意进行讨论时，美国大使则表示没有什么可讨论的。

萨克斯解释了为什么会发生这种情况，首先从美国的目标开始。

“美国有一个议程，”萨克斯说。 “议程就是霸权。”

听到这个消息令人震惊，但萨克斯指出，五角大楼和国务院的文件中确实详细说明了这一点，尽管经常使用的词是“首要”。 由于霸权是目标，它阻碍了解决此类性质冲突的主要方式：外交。

“当你相信主导地位时......你相信你不必与其他任何人交谈，”萨克斯说。 “另一边没有红线。 对方没有任何利益。”

以前的此类全球摊牌（例如古巴导弹危机）是在这些国家的领导人能够相互接触并找到外交解决方案时得到解决的，即使这意味着绕过军事和国家顾问。

“肯尼迪和赫鲁晓夫两位国家元首，尽管有自己的顾问，但还是想出了如何拯救世界，”《推动世界：肯尼迪寻求和平》一书的作者萨克斯说。

萨克斯说，今天这一切都没有发生，也许是因为“拜登的精神状态还不够。”

萨克斯表示，无论出于何种原因，外交关系的彻底失败可能会导致灾难。

萨克斯表示，不仅仅是拜登、布林肯和维多利亚·纽兰等领导人不懂外交。 他说他们认为他们甚至不需要外交。

“世界正处于核战争的边缘，”他说，“你甚至不尝试与对方进行讨论。”

'The World Is at the Edge of Nuclear War': Jeffrey Sachs

https://jjmilt.substack.com/p/the-world-is-at-the-edge-of-nuclear

Jeffrey Sachs says it isn’t just that diplomacy between Russia and the US has failed. Diplomacy is no longer even being attempted.

JON MILTIMORE  APR 06, 2024

The list of public intellectuals whom I actually respect and find impressive is rapidly dwindling. But one of the few high-profile academics I do admire is Jeffrey Sachs, an American economist, public policy analyst, and professor at Columbia University.

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Sachs isn’t just a brilliant economist (though we’d almost certainly disagree on many points), but an astute and intrepid analyst of global affairs. He was one of the earliest public thinkers to connect the dots on the destruction of Nord Stream 2, pointing out it had all the earmarks of a CIA-led operation.

“If you followed the US for the last five decades, actually six decades from Vietnam onward, you know a lot about this. This is what happens when you have a secret intelligence unit, the CIA, which carries out covert operations. That’s there job. Presidents give orders, they do all sorts of things. They make coups, they create civil unrest, they create ‘revolutions,’ they blow up infrastructure. It’s part of the job, and it’s actually quite well known.”

Sachs is one of the few people who seems to realize US meddling in Ukraine, which began well before Russia’s 2022 invasion, has brought the world to the brink of World War III.

For those who don’t know, US Secretary of State Tony Blinken recently announced Ukraine will be joining NATO, an action many have warned for years could trigger a full-blown war in Europe and Asia, unlike anything we’ve witnessed since World War II.

It’s difficult to understand the many forces and incentives at work that are driving us toward what could possibly be World War III, but Sachs, in a recent interview on The Duran, touches on some important points.

Sachs’s primary point isn’t just that diplomacy has failed. It’s that diplomacy is no longer even being attempted.

Communication between Russian the US have grown so bad that US diplomats leave the room when Russian diplomats arrive. When Russian ambassadors say they’re open to discussions, US ambassadors say there is nothing to discuss.

Sachs explains why this is happening, and it begins with the goals of the United States.

“The US has an agenda,” says Sachs. “The agenda is hegemony.”

It’s shocking to hear this, but Sachs points out it is literally spelled out in Pentagon and State Department documents, though the word used often is “primacy.” And because hegemony is the goal, it has frustrated the primary way conflicts of this nature are resolved: diplomacy.

“When you believe in dominance…you believe you don’t have to talk to anyone else,” Sachs says. “There are no red lines on the other side. There are no interests on the other side.”

Previous global showdowns of this kind—such as the Cuban Missile Crisis—were resolved when leaders of these countries were able to reach out to one another and find a diplomatic solution, even if that meant circumventing military and state advisors.

“The two heads of state, Kennedy and Khrushchev, figured out how to save the world despite their own advisors,” say Sachs, the author of To Move the World: JFK's Quest for Peace.

None of that is happening today, Sachs says, perhaps because “Biden is not mentally up to it.”

Whatever the reason, Sachs says the total failure of diplomatic relations could result in catastrophe.

Sachs says it’s not just that leaders like Biden, Blinken, and Victoria Nuland don’t understand diplomacy. He says they believe they don’t even need diplomacy.

“The world is at the edge of nuclear war,” he says, “and you don’t even try to have a discussion with the other side.”

Watch the entire discussion here.