不平衡的美国和中国的相互依赖

不平衡的美国和中国的相互依赖

https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300212655/unbalanced/

 

作者：斯蒂芬·罗奇 2015 年 1 月 27 日 斯蒂芬·罗奇是耶鲁大学杰克逊全球事务研究所和管理学院的高级研究员，也是摩根士丹利亚洲区前主席。 他住在康涅狄格州新迦南。

对中美经济关系的独到见解分析

“通俗易懂……是至少十年内出版的关于美中关系的最重要书籍之一。”——赫芬顿邮报

自 20 世纪 70 年代后期以来，中国和美国经济一直紧紧拥抱在一起。 尽管这种关系最初是出于互惠互利，但近年来它已经呈现出一种不稳定的相互依存关系，世界上最大的两个经济体失去了自我意识，增加了它们以破坏性的方式相互攻击的风险 时尚。
 
在《失衡：中美的相互依赖》一书中，耶鲁大学高级研究员、摩根士丹利亚洲区前主席斯蒂芬·罗奇揭示了当前中美关系的陷阱。 经济关系。 他强调了当前紧张局势的核心冲突，包括贸易政策和知识产权的争端、领导风格的鲜明对比、互联网的作用、最近关于网络黑客的争端等等。
 
作为 1990 年代后期亚洲金融危机的第一手见证人，罗奇可能比任何其他西方人都更了解美中经济关系。 他在这里讨论：

为什么美国储蓄太少而中国储蓄太多会给双方带来越来越多的问题

中国计划如何通过从外部出口导向型模式转变为以服务业为新重点的内部消费主义模式来重新启动其经济增长模式

美国如何表现出令人不安的缺乏战略，更喜欢短期的反应性方法而不是更连贯的中国式规划框架

出路：美国可以做些什么来扭转自己的经济命运，并为与中国建立健康的经济和政治关系做好准备

  2008 年危机之后，这两个失衡的经济体都面临着紧迫且互利的再平衡。 Unbalanced 以解决相互依赖的紧张局势的秘诀作为结尾。 罗奇认为，下一个中国为下一个美国提供了很多——反之亦然。

Unbalanced The Codependency of America and China

https://yalebooks.yale.edu/book/9780300212655/unbalanced/

By Stephen Roach    27 Jan 2015 Stephen Roach is senior fellow, Jackson Institute for Global Affairs and School of Management, Yale University, and the former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia. He lives in New Canaan, CT.

An original and insightful analysis of the U.S.–China economic relationship 

"Lucid and accessible. . . . One of the most important books on the relationship between the United States and China to be published in at least a decade."—Huffington Post

The Chinese and U.S. economies have been locked in an uncomfortable embrace since the late 1970s. Although the relationship initially arose out of mutual benefits, in recent years it has taken on the trappings of an unstable codependence, with the two largest economies in the world losing their sense of self, increasing the risk of their turning on one another in a destructive fashion.  
 
In Unbalanced: The Codependency of America and China Stephen Roach, senior fellow at Yale University and former chairman of Morgan Stanley Asia, lays bare the pitfalls of the current China-U.S. economic relationship. He highlights the conflicts at the center of current tensions, including disputes over trade policies and intellectual property rights, sharp contrasts in leadership styles, the role of the Internet, the recent dispute over cyberhacking, and more.
 
A firsthand witness to the Asian financial crisis of the late 1990s, Roach likely knows more about the U.S.-China economic relationship than any other Westerner. Here he discusses: 

• Why America saving too little and China saving too much creates mounting problems for both
• How China is planning to re-boot its economic growth model by moving from an external export-led model to one of internal consumerism with a new focus on service industries
• How America, shows a disturbing lack of strategy, preferring a short-term reactive approach over a more coherent Chinese-style planning framework
• The way out: what America could do to turn its own economic fate around and position itself for a healthy economic and political relationship with China

 In the wake of the 2008 crisis, both unbalanced economies face urgent and mutually beneficial rebalancings. Unbalanced concludes with a recipe for resolving the escalating tensions of codependence. Roach argues that the Next China offers much for the Next America—and vice versa.