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Joseph S. Nye 道德重要吗? 总统和外交政策

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道德重要吗? 总统和外交政策从FDR到特朗普

https://www.belfercenter.org/publication/do-morals-matter-presidents-and-foreign-policy-fdr-trump

Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump
Author: Joseph S. Nye | Jan. 02, 2020

当美国总统就外交政策做出艰难决定时,他们的道德指南针发挥了多大的作用?
在他的新书《道德重要吗? 从罗斯福到特朗普的总统与外交政策,国际关系领域的知名学者小约瑟夫·奈 (Joseph S. Nye, Jr.) 建议从三个道德层面审视总统决策:意图、手段和后果。 奈评估了从二战到今天的美国总统的领导素质,阐述了哪些方法有效,哪些方法无效。 通过这样做,读者会看到每位总统都没有完全受到系统结构的限制,实际上有选择——包括选择不采取行动。

例如,乔治·W·布什总统表明,没有足够手段的善意可能导致道德上的不良后果,例如伊拉克战争造成的巨大人类苦难。 尽管约翰·肯尼迪总统因其对 1962 年古巴导弹危机的巧妙处理而永远被人们铭记,但也应该指出,他早期的行动为如此高风险的对抗奠定了基础。 结果是肯尼迪的道德记分卡好坏参半,奈在道德远见方面给了他很好的评价,在审慎方面给了他好坏参半的分数。

由于我们经常将道德推理应用于外交政策,奈提出了如何做得更好的建议。 随着世界面临核战争、气候变化和技术中断等高风险威胁,我们的第 46 任总统将需要制定外交政策以应对这些新挑战。 通过对过去和现任总统的简要审查,道德重要吗? 将有助于改善我们未来总统将道德推理应用于外交政策的能力。

Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump

  Jan. 02, 2020

Book cover for "Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump" by Joseph S. Nye, Jr.

When U.S. presidents make tough decisions about foreign policy, how big a role does their moral compass play?

In his new book, Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump, leading scholar of international relations Joseph S. Nye, Jr. suggests examining presidential decisionmaking on three ethical dimensions: intentions, means, and consequences. Nye evaluates the leadership qualities of U.S. presidents from World War II to today, elaborating on which approaches work and which ones do not. By doing so, readers will see that each president was not fully constrained by the structure of the system and actually had choices – including the choice to not act.

President George W. Bush, for example, showed that good intentions without adequate means can lead to ethically bad outcomes, such as the massive human suffering of the Iraq war. And while President John F. Kennedy will always be remembered for his skillful handling of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, it should also be noted that his earlier actions helped set the stage for such a high-stakes confrontation. The result is a mixed ethical scorecard for Kennedy, with Nye giving him a good rating for moral vision and mixed marks for prudence.

Since we so often apply moral reasoning to foreign policy, Nye suggests how to do it better.  With the world facing high-stakes threats such as nuclear war, climate change, and technological disruption, our 46th president will need to shape foreign policies to meet these new challenges. Through this concise examination of past and present presidents, Do Morals Matter? will help improve applying moral reasoning to foreign policies for our future president.

SELECTED REVIEWS

“In times like these, it is important to appreciate the role that moral reasoning should play in foreign policy. This is especially true in a democracy, where sustaining global involvement requires support from citizens. Joe Nye is one of our foremost and engaging analysts of American diplomacy, and in this book he provides a clear-eyed guide for reengaging our moral compass.” — Walter Isaacson, Distinguished Fellow and Former CEO, Aspen Institute, and Professor of History, Tulane University

“From the doyen of US foreign policy thinkers, a powerful warning against domestic populist politics, which not only narrow our moral vision but defeat US purposes around the world.” — O.A. Westad, Yale University

“With characteristic insight and precision, Joseph Nye raises tough questions of how much ethics should shape a nation’s foreign policy, provides a sweeping review of how past presidents have embraced or rejected ethical imperatives, and constructs a helpful scorecard for judging future presidents. This book takes on even greater significance as a growing number of nations-led by the U.S.-nakedly put self-interest first.” — David Gergen, CNN Senior Political Analyst, and Founding Director, Harvard Kennedy School Center for Public Leadership

“In Do Morals Matter? Joseph S. Nye argues persuasively that in foreign policy, good intentions must be accompanied by the use of appropriate means that generate beneficial consequences. His astute analysis of American presidents since World War II demonstrates that ‘contextual intelligence’ is crucial for moral principles to yield good results.” — Robert O. Keohane, Princeton University

“A lucid, thoughtful and original examination of the role morality plays as American presidents shape their foreign policy. As Professor Nye shows convincingly in this highly readable book, leaders and citizens alike make assumptions, decisions and judgments which reflect their own views about what is good and bad. Yet again he has contributed much to our better understanding of international relations.” — Margaret MacMillan, Emeritus Professor of International History, University of Oxford

For more information on this publication: Belfer Communications Office
For Academic Citation: Nye, Joseph. Do Morals Matter? Presidents and Foreign Policy from FDR to Trump. New York, NY: Oxford University Press, 2020.
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