你觉着椰林敢加息吗？

据说下周椰林就要加息了，0.25%年利率。

 

政府债务现在是18万亿， 450亿一年，小意思了。反正政府可以无限借钱：
2015 fiscal year deficit was $445 billion.
The non-partisan Congressional Budget Office has forecast a $414 billion deficit for fiscal 2016
Read more at Reuters http://www.reuters.com/article/u ... u5u8p7PwkUtWBCfE.99

这里是这么说的：http://www.usgovernmentdebt.us/

Today’s Federal Debt is about $18,835,717,795,000.
The amount is the gross outstanding federal debt issued by the United States Department of the Treasury since 1790.
But, it doesn’t include state and local debt.
And, it doesn’t include so-called “agency debt.”
And, it doesn’t include the so-called unfunded liabilities of entitlement programs like Social Security and Medicare.
Federal Debt per person is about $57,725.

这里说http://www.forbes.com/sites/real ... xceed-127-trillion/
unfunded liabilities是127万亿。

加上所有债务，据说是170-200万亿。再算利息，呵呵，那可是4000亿（400billion)一年了。

你说什么？4000亿？2016年不算加息，预算赤字不就是4000亿吗？你加0.25%的利息，赤字就要加一倍？
呵呵，好像是也。你来看看我什么地方算得不对好么？

你觉着椰林敢加息吗？

果然有高手。有人指出，国债是固定利率，所以受影响的只是未来一年新发债券要比最近十年零利率的国债多付利息。国债大多三十年期，简单算一下，也就是4000亿的三十分之一，也就是130亿。 好吧，看上去不多，不过别忘了这是0.25%利率增加的金额。如果增加到2.5%呢？那是1300亿，5%那是2600亿。