印度人在网上评中国与巴基斯坦飞机（译）

印度人在网上评中国与巴基斯坦飞机（译）

主题： 真实报道中国先进战机
内容：

这将分析到2010年

. 俄国人已经给了中国76架su27，其中26被台风或其它事故毁掉。所以中国人民解放军拥有50架su27，中国已经订了大约一百架su30. 随着协议的进行，中国将生产200架su27和300架su30MKK. 这就意味着到2005年中国将拥有150架俄式先进战机
现在中国有两个飞机生产厂, 西安和沈阳。其中每个工厂每年生产能力为15架。这个对生产J-6西安已经选择建造侧卫，而沈阳(应该是成都，原文如此。-HPI注)选择J-10, 这意味着中国将生产更多的侧卫。 J10估计2005年生产出来， 人民解放军已经订了300架J10.

如果沈飞每年组装15架飞机，中国到2010年将拥150架 su27和su30MMK(共300先进战机)
沈阳(应该是成都，原文如此。-HPI注)如果从2005年开始到2010年将生产60架J10
中国到时将拥有360架第四代喷气式战机

同期印度方面：
80 Mig29
40 幻影 2000
50到70 Su30MKI
至少 120LCA
120架Mig-21-93将升级到与巴基斯坦FC-1等同的第四代标准，120Mig27也升级具备全天侯空战能力达到第四代标准，100架美洲虎也将升级到四代标准，包括全天侯作战能力远距空战，装备以色列巨蟒导弹能对抗装置。

这将给印度700架非常现代化的空战装置。这将使其成为继美俄后的第三大空军。在2010年之前印度每年有生产40架战机的能力，包括 Mig29 su30，和幻影2000 LCA 升级MIG 21。并且到2005后能力将增加到每年60架的水平。

其间，巴基斯坦在大约三四年后可以得到FC-1(现在它还不能飞），同样的时间印度空军正发展第五代战机，而巴基斯坦只能有70-80％生产第四代的战机（FC-1）的能力，并已经订了150架FC-1, 估计15-20年将生产300架FC1。

中国方面将在10-20里将保持生产J10。当J12出来的时候，印度空军已经装备了 Pak Fa和JSF，所以中国的600庞大舰队（在2020年）第四代已经过时，中国人民解放军再次被抛在后面。伙计们，开心吧。


原文如下：

This analysis stretches to 201Russia has sent china 76 su-27 of which 26 were either destroyed in a storm or crashed. This leaves the PLAAF with 50 S-27. China has ordered about a hundred Su-30. Along with this deal, china has options to produce 200 Su-27 and 300 Su-30MKK. This means that by 2005, China would have 150 Flankers of Russian Built
Now for the confusing part - China has 2 aircraft producers, Jingiang and Shenyang. Each of them have a per year production capacity of 15 Aircraft a year. The rest of its capacity is for J-6 fighters. Out of this, Jingiang has been selected to build the Flanker, and Shenyang has been selected for the J-10. This means that it wont produce any flankers. THe J-10 is estimated to come out in 2005. The PLAAF has placed orders for 300 J-10. This means that shenyang producing 15 aircraft a year up till 2010, China would have 150 indigenously assembled Flankers, Su-27 and Su-30MKK for a total of 300 Flankers.
Shenyang, if production of the J-10 commenced in 2005 would have 60 J-10 by 2010.
China would have a total of 360 4th generation fighter jets India on the other have would have
80 MiG-29
40 Mirage 2000
50+70 Su-30MKI
Atleast 120 LCA
120ish MiG-21-93 - equivalent to pakistan's FC-1 aircraft. upgraded to 4th generation standard.
120 Upgraded MiG-27 so that it has all weather capability and aa capability. Upgraded to 4th generation standard.
100 Upgraded Jaguars - Upgraded to 4th gen standard. Upgrade include all weather capability, increased AA capability, with israel python and derby aam and israeli countermeasures.

This gives india 700 quite modern aircraft. This would probably the 3rd most powerful airforce in the world after USA and Russia. By 2010, the PAK FA should go into mass production. HAl has a capacity of about 40 Fighter aircraft a year. It includes the MiG-29/Su-30 production facility and the presetly inactive Mirage 2000/LCA production facility. Presently it is upgrading its MiG-21 production facility. it should come online before 2005 and should increase production capacity to 60 Fighters a year.
Meanwhile, Pakistan would get the FC-1 into service about 3-4 years after the LCA(estimate because it hasn't flown yet). ie, around the same time as the PAK FA. So, when the IAF is modernizing its Airforce with a 5th generation fighter, pakistan would be modernizing theirs with a 4th generation fighter with 70-80 percent capability of the F-16 fighter. Pakistani airforce has placed orders for 150ish FC-1 but, total production numbers China on the other hand would probably keep building its flankers and J-10s till about the late 10's, early 20's when the J-12 would come online. Meanwhile the IAF and other regional airforces would rearm quickly with the PAK FA and the JSF, and china's vast fleet of about 600(in 2020isg) 4th generation fighters would become obsolete, and the PLAAF once again behind the power curve. So guys, be optimistic.