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财经观察 1385 --- How this bear market compares

(2008-10-22 02:05:36) 下一个
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2008/10/11/business/20081011_BEAR_MARKETS.html


 LONDON, Oct 22 (Reuters) - All nine Bank of England Monetary  Policy Committee members voted for this month's  globally co-ordinated 50 basis point emergency cut in interest  rates, minutes of their Oct 8 meeting showed on Wednesday.

   Governor Mervyn King briefed the other eight policymakers  about the discussions of a coordinated move with other central  banks like the Federal Reserve and European Central Bank and  then invited them to decide on whether to join the action.
   The MPC judged that the financial market turmoil and  economic data over the month pointed to a sharp deterioration  in the prospects for the economy and had shifted the risks to  the inflation outlook decisively to the downside.

   "All these developments pointed to the need for a relaxation  in monetary policy. In the current financial market turbulence,  the reduction in Bank Rate that would ultimately be required to  meet the inflation target was very difficult to gauge," the  minutes said.

   Most analysts expect the central bank to cut rates again in  November given the slowdown in the economy and the scale of the  problems in the financial sector since the collapse of U.S.  investment bank Lehman Brothers in September.
   King admitted in a speech on Tuesday night that the economy  was probably entering recession. But he also pointed to the need  to balance the risk of inflation falling below the 2 percent  target against that of the current high rate becoming embedded  in people's expectations.

   The minutes noted that while inflation, now running at 5.2  percent, could stay high for a while, the risk of it feeding  into higher wages had diminished because of the weaker economic  outlook.

   "Oil and many other commodity prices were lower. The  exchange rate had recovered some of its most recent falls but  remained volatile. The increase in slack in the labour market  meant that it was less likely that cost pressures would feed  through into high wage growth," the minutes said.
   ((UK economics +44 20 7542 7708))
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