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习近平和中国未来的政治和经济格局

(2010-12-13 16:21:20) 下一个

While the recently concluded U.S. midterm elections were monopolizing media attention in this country, some significant developments were taking place in China as well concerning that country’s leadership. The most important was the recent appointment of Xi Jinping as vice chairman of China’s Central Military Commission. While Xi has been vice president of China since March 2008, his newest title strongly suggests that he is the designated successor to Hu Jintao when Hu steps down from his position as Communist party chairman in 2012 and as president of the country in 2013, as he is slated to do. Just as every U.S. president is also commander-in-chief of the nation’s military, the president in China usually is the military commission’s chairman (there have been two exceptions) and is considered the country’s top leader.

It’s instructive to compare Xi’s background with that of the typical officeholder in the U.S. Xi, as is true of many Chinese leaders, has trained as an engineer, studying chemical engineering at the prestigious Tsinghua University in Beijing. In addition, he gained practical economic experience as a young man when, as the son of a party veteran, he helped oversee the opening of southern China’s economy. By contrast, most U.S. officeholders have a background limited largely to law (Xi, admittedly, also went on to obtain a doctorate in law).

It isn’t surprising that, with their training as engineers, China’s leaders are keenly aware of the need to improve the country’s infrastructure, particularly its alternative energy infrastructure, and have made doing so among their top priorities. Similarly, with their backgrounds in economics, China’s leaders understand that the country can’t sustain an export-driven economy over the long term and thus have been working to make internal consumer demand a more important economic driver.

Of course, another big difference between leaders in the U.S. and China relates to the demands of governing in a democratic versus an autocratic country. Whatever you think of their policies in such areas as human rights, China’s leaders can focus on long-term goals, and the country can benefit from this fixed purpose and continuity among its leadership.

With such clear direction from the top, China’s economy can continue to grow. Beneficiaries of that growth are including all the energy, commodity, and precious metals that remain top investment choices.

(from Dr. Stephen Leeb's e-mail)

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davidlhu@gmail.com 回复 悄悄话 回复tudou!的评论:
Sounds like you never got your feet wet in the real election. Most Americans take their rights to vote very seriously and to win the election the candidate has to make clear what direction he's heading at least. Everything is relative, nobody says the American democratic system is perfect, as a matter of fact nothing is perfect in human society. The bottom line is given free choice, what the citizens take means something, very simple logic, isn't it?
tudou! 回复 悄悄话 回复davidlhu@gmail.com的评论:
In democratic system, even the leader has been chosen, you don't know what you are getting. Just look at Obama and Bill Clinton. This is why election in US turns people off.
davidlhu@gmail.com 回复 悄悄话 回复beijingconnection的评论:
For a politician or national leader, how good his knowledge on chemistry is really irrelevant to what he's capable to bring to the table for this autocratic government. We may never know what Xi's true political view is and even rough directional plan where he's going to lead PRC to before he's sitting in driver's seat at last (all things could happen between). That's the bad part of not having a democratic system, you just don't know what you're getting.
beijingconnection 回复 悄悄话 Xi's studying chemical engineering at the prestigious Tsinghua University in Beijing was probably at middle school level at most high school level.
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