2026年07月13日
(part 1) China’s graduate glut: millions enter a job market with little use for them - Record numbers find there is little demand for their skills, as entry-level tech roles are hit by AI and automation -
This time of year is graduation season in China: traditionally a bittersweet period of solemn goodbyes and family celebrations as university students transition from campus life into adulthood. Now it also increasingly represents trepidation about the future. Each year, millions more graduates are thrust into China’s already saturated jobs market. The situation for this year’s cohort, flooding into an increasingly crowded pool of applicants fighting for an insufficient number of positions, is arguably the bleakest yet. Jasmine, a 22-year-old who studied accounting in Shanghai, is among this year’s record 12.7 million college graduates – a 480,000 increase on 2025. She expected to find a job as soon as she finished university, but has sent out about 150 CVs over the past month without success. “It has been much harder than I imagined,” she says. “The lack of vacancies is one issue, and the competition is also intense, especially for jobs that offer weekends off and proper social insurance.” While the jobless rate among 16- to 24-year-olds is 15.6% in China, comparable to the 16.2% in the UK and the 15.1% in the EU, the country’s employment market is especially unforgiving for graduates grappling with the break-neck change taking place in the world’s second largest economy.
(part 2) A growing number of recent graduates in China with humanities, arts and languages degrees are finding there is little demand for their skills. Meanwhile, Chinese universities, rapidly overhauling their curriculums in response to the country’s race to become a global leader in a slew of hi-tech industries, are culling “obsolete” degrees en masse. With more than 10 million Chinese students graduating each year since 2022, a figure that is only growing, it is the scale of the situation that is an exacerbating factor, with authorities tasked with finding meaningful work for the equivalent of a medium-sized European nation each year. China’s youth employment has been a persistent issue since 2020 that has “not meaningfully improved”, according to an Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) researcher, who did not wish to be named. The trend was initially fuelled by China’s move towards a “productivity- and manufacturing-driven growth model” of high-value industries such as electric vehicles, batteries, semiconductors and robotics, the researcher says. “As the economy shifted, a mismatch emerged between the skills being supplied by graduates and those demanded by the labour market,” the researcher says, adding that the problem has been exacerbated more recently by AI’s “transformative impact”. “Entry-level jobs are often easier to automate or replace, making young workers particularly vulnerable,” the researcher says. “Even graduates with backgrounds in IT services have seen some entry-level tasks increasingly automated by AI.” While the move towards AI- and tech-focused degrees is a universal trend, the speed at which it is unfolding in China’s universities is unique, according to Charles Jeffery Sun, the founder of the consultancy China Education International. “China’s higher education is centrally governed. When Beijing sets a strategic direction, implementation across hundreds of universities happens rapidly,” he says. In response to directives from Beijing for degrees to better match labour demands, Chinese universities culled 12,200 undergraduate programmes, mostly in the arts and humanities, between 2021 and 2025, while introducing 10,200 in emerging fields. It is a situation Sun describes as “painful for many graduates”, but part of a “long?overdue reckoning”. “For decades, Chinese higher education was primarily about access, getting more students into university. The next phase must be about quality and relevance,” he says. Further hindering the jobs market is China’s slowing economy, with Beijing adjusting its GDP growth target to the lowest since 1991 – a range of 4.5% to 5% – as it grapples with aggressive global tariffs, weak domestic consumption, and a shrinking and rapidly ageing population.
见链接 https://www.theguardian.com/business/2026/jul/13/china-graduate-glut-young-people-job-market-tech-ai