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1945年抗战结束,蒋与毛在重庆分别代表国共两党进行国事谈判,导致中国近代史上的两王相见,格外有意思。有传言说蒋对毛的评价很高,蒋了解到毛当时嗜烟如命,但当与蒋谈判时,则能完全控制住自己,不吸烟。蒋因此认为毛的自控力极强,是个难缠的对手。毛则将自己的旧作《沁园春,雪》在报上发表,蒋心理佩服,但嘴上讲毛有帝王思想。实则,这首词简直是毛个人[阅读全文]
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两万四千亿美金的硬道理
八十年代中国改革开放之初,为争取外国人到中国投资一个几千万美元的项目,当时的国家总理也可能需要向投资人陪笑脸,甚至隆重地会见一次,上上人民日报,以示重视和感谢。可谓三十年河东三十年河西,中国如今有两万四千亿美元外汇结余垫底,来个几千万美元的投资在地方上仍能砸个响,但对中央政府来说,则为小生意一桩。
巴菲特[阅读全文]
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两万四千亿美金的硬道理
八十年代中国改革开放之初,为争取外国人到中国投资一个几千万美元的项目,当时的国家总理也可能需要向投资人陪笑脸,甚至隆重地会见一次,上上人民日报,以示重视和感谢。可谓三十年河东三十年河西,中国如今有两万四千亿美元外汇结余垫底,来个几千万美元的投资在地方上仍能砸个响,但对中央政府来说,则为小生意一桩。
巴菲特[阅读全文]
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(2009-07-07 17:12:51)

EdGlaesersaysthatifpeoplewereassmartasheis,theywouldhaverealizedhousingpriceincreaseswereunsustainableandtherewouldn'thavebeenahousingbubble:InHousing,EvenHindsightIsn’t20-20,byEdwardL.Glaeser:...[Is]thehousingmarket...startingtohitbottom?...Onemajorpointofeconomicsisthatpredictingassetpricesisextremelyhard...Moreover,thelastsevenyearsshouldmakeeveryonewaryaboutpredictinghousingpricechanges....Th...[阅读全文]
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问题:如果定义银行的主要功能?财富储蓄机构?资本有效分配机构?特殊政治团体?企业经济的血脉?风险管理机构?如果银行功能不定义清楚,就无法确定金融机构改革的目标。
MartinWolfispessimisticaboutthewhetherthefinancialsystemcanbereformed,butneverthelessofferssometoughmindedsuggestions.
Oddly,heseemstoseethebigobstaclesnotaspolitical,butaspractical,thatmarketsaretoobigandinterconnected,andseesthat...[阅读全文]
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(2009-06-30 22:43:17)

BernankeisaTotalFailureUnsuitedforRoleasFedChairman
InquiringmindsarereadingBernankeFlubsTryout,StillUpforLeadingRolebyCarolineBaum.
MostoftenIagreewithCaroline,butnotthistime.
Aftertrashing(andrightfullyso)Bernanke'slastappearancebeforeCongress,Carolinesomehowarrivesatthefollowingconclusion.
ItwouldbehardtofindsomeonemoresuitedforthejobofFedchairmanthanBernanke.Hisperformance...[阅读全文]
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HomeLoanDelinquenciesDoubleonPrimeLoans;ForeclosureFilingsTop300,0003rdStraightMonth
TheOfficeoftheComptrolleroftheCurrencysaysDelinquenciesDoubleonLeast-RiskyLoans.
Delinquencyratesontheleast-riskymortgagesmorethandoubledinthefirstquarterfromayearearlierasU.S.effortstohelphomeownersfailedtokeeppacewithjoblossesthatpushedmoreborrowerstowardforeclosure.
Primemortgages60daysormorepa...[阅读全文]
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(2009-06-30 22:19:32)

JuneEconomicSummaryinGraphsbyCalculatedRiskon6/30/200906:23:00PMHereisacollectionofrealestateandeconomicgraphsfordatareleasedinJune...
Note:Clickongraphsforlargerimageinnewwindow.Formoreinfo,clickonlinkbelowgraphtooriginalpost.
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NewHomeSalesinMay(NSA)
Thefirstgraphshowsmonthlynewhomesales(NSA-NotSeasonallyAdjusted).
NotetheRedcolumnsfor2009.Thisisthelowestsa...[阅读全文]
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SanFranciscoFedPresidentJanetYellenhasbeenrumoredtobeoneofthefrontrunnerstoreplaceChairmanBenBernanke(althoughmostconsiderLarrySummersthefrontrunner,assumingBernankeisn'treappointed).TonightDr.YellenspokeinSanFrancisco:AViewoftheEconomicCrisisandtheFederalReserve’sResponse.
Herearesomeexcerptsonherviewsgoingforward:Iexpecttherecessionwillendsometimelaterthisyear.Thatwouldmakeitthelongestandpr...[阅读全文]
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因欧洲议会决定以官方形式会见达赖喇嘛,中国决定暂停中欧高峰会谈,传出中国取消一批空巴飞机合同的消息,接着欧洲决定征收某些中国产品高额关税,双方由政治争端转向实质的经济惩罚.中国外贸受损,损失到底有多大?中国选择性惩罚欧洲的目的是什么?外贸不是无偿的经援,是一种参与国互惠的行为.中国出口有两大利益,一是增加就业,二是收取外汇.实质上,中国受损的仅是就业[阅读全文]
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