DQ有些老大对RDN还念念不忘,俺刚参谋了意见,再啰嗦一句:RDN已经很烂,追高炒作请吃威哥。
RDN集团有员工767人,总资产76亿。原来的业务有三部分:房屋按揭保险,债务融资担保,和信用资产服务。本次金融风暴中,卖的卖,停的停,有的还破产了,到去年底基本只剩房屋按揭保险一项苟延残喘。
反映到经营业绩中,就是这样惨不忍睹的历年结果:
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2010
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2009
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2008
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2007
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2006
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(In millions, except per-share amounts and ratios)
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Total revenues
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417.5
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|
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1,313.4
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|
|
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1,808.0
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|
|
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201.0
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1,327.9
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|
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Total assets
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$
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7,620.9
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$
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8,057.2
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$
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8,116.1
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$
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8,210.2
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$
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7,960.4
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Stockholders' equity
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859.8
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2,005.0
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|
|
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2,030.7
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2,720.7
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|
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4,067.6
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Average shares outstanding-diluted
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114.7
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81.9
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80.3
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|
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79.6
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82.3
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Diluted net (loss) income per share (1)
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$
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(15.74
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)
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$
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(1.80
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)
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$
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(5.12
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)
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$
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(16.22
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)
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$
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7.08
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Book value per share
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$
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6.46
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$
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24.22
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$
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25.06
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$
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33.83
|
|
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$
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51.23
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|
|
|
|
|
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其中,2010年再细分每季度的情况看清楚点:
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2010 Quarters
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First
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Second
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Third
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Fourth
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Year
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Diluted net (loss) income per share (6)(7)
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$
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(3.77
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)
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$
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(4.31
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)
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$
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0.84
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|
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$
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(8.55
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)
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$
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(15.74
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)
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Weighted average shares outstanding (6)
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82,341
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|
|
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110,282
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|
|
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133,520
|
|
|
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132,434
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|
|
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114,697
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从表中可以看出,也就2009年有些回光还照,结果就炒到了$18+。俺当时也参与一部分,在$2-8之间来回驰骋(那时Book-value是$25左右),后来看不懂就完全退出了。
有些人认为随着经济的趋好,RDN股价新的辉煌又在萌芽中。
但是,客观事实是RDN亏了的钱是真赔掉了。现在唯一的业务“房屋按揭保险”又完全仰仗房市健康和就业率好转。如果运气好能挺过去,咸鱼翻身也基本是猴年马月的事了。
当然,你说奇迹来了,水能变油、垃圾能变金子,俺要是喝了酒也会信的。 |