美国房屋价格指数 刘以栋 这是美国十大熱点城市房屋价格指数( The Case-Shiller Home Price Indix)。未来的指数是期货价格。五月指标是最新历史指标 (most recent historical price)。 根据期货价格,底值在 2010 年五月,距离今年五月还有 17% 跌幅(( 181.48-150 ) /181.48 )。 这是市场指标,不一定就对,但格林斯班(Greenspan)等专家的评论也不过是个人意见,不见得高明到那里去。
图帖不上来,大家只好参照历史数据。
1/31/2005 | 193.35 | 2/28/2005 | 195.87 | 3/31/2005 | 199.21 | 4/30/2005 | 202.51 | 5/31/2005 | 205.76 | 6/30/2005 | 208.86 | 7/31/2005 | 211.65 | 8/31/2005 | 214.13 | 9/30/2005 | 216.77 | 10/31/2005 | 219.07 | 11/30/2005 | 220.81 | 12/31/2005 | 221.91 | 1/31/2006 | 222.46 | 2/28/2006 | 223.38 | 3/31/2006 | 223.75 | 4/30/2006 | 224.99 | 5/31/2006 | 226 | 6/30/2006 | 226.29 | 7/31/2006 | 226.17 | 8/31/2006 | 225.54 | 9/30/2006 | 225.09 | 10/31/2006 | 224.74 | 11/30/2006 | 223.94 | 12/31/2006 | 222.39 | 1/31/2007 | 221.32 | 2/28/2007 | 220.46 | 3/31/2007 | 219.67 | 4/30/2007 | 218.94 | 5/31/2007 | 218.34 | 6/30/2007 | 217.37 | 7/31/2007 | 216.3 | 8/31/2007 | 214.62 | 9/30/2007 | 212.71 | 10/31/2007 | 209.76 | 11/30/2007 | 205.31 | 12/31/2007 | 200.76 | 1/31/2008 | 196.21 | 2/29/2008 | 190.68 | 3/31/2008 | 186.13 | 4/30/2008 | 183.15 | 5/31/2008 181.488/31/2008 178.2 11/30/2008 175.4 2/28/2009 160.8 5/31/2009 155.4 11/30/2009 153 5/31/2010 150 11/30/2010 151.4 5/31/2011 151.4 11/30/2011 153 11/30/2012 156 The 10 city house price index includes: Boston , Chicago , Denver , Las Vegas , Los Angeles , Miami , New York , San Diego , San Francisco and Washington DC . |