美股看盘与操作。（11/14/2018）

0，先说结论。买。至少明天做空获利空间不大。

1，大盘主要指标。

INDEX	VALUE	LONG/ SHORT
MARKET (BULL /BEAR)	BULL MARKET	LONG
MARKET STENGTH	-100.00%	SHORT
DAILY TREND	TREND DOWN	SHORT
WEEKLY TREND	TREND DOWN	SHORT
CONFIDENCE INDEX	36%	SHORT
OVER B /S INDEX	0
CRASH INDEX	5.00%
SPIKE INDEX	91.88%	LONG
BOTTOM INDEX	60.00%	LONG

指标解读：牛市，但是发生了周线，甚至月线基别的回调。

2，大盘及主要板块趋势图解。

	TREND	POTENTIAL (UP)	POTENTIAL (DOWN)	SUPPORT	RESISTENCE	OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP	BUY	EXIT	CUT
SPY	TREND DOWN	1.08%	3.83%	259.85	273.13		267.05	280.40	265.5
DIA	TREND DOWN	1.00%	3.93%	241.05	253.42		248.30	260.72	246.8
QQQ	TREND DOWN	3.14%	3.09%	160.09	170.39		162.32	170.44	160.9
IWM	TREND DOWN	1.91%	3.18%	144.70	152.30		147.22	154.58	146.0
MDY	TREND DOWN	1.02%	4.08%	321.76	338.86		331.29	347.85	329.1
XLY	RANGE	1.55%	5.57%	100.99	108.61		105.36	110.63	104.4
XLP	TREND UP	0.58%	1.44%	55.20	56.34		55.99	58.79	55.7
XLE	TREND DOWN	3.93%	1.62%	64.37	68.00		63.20	66.44	62.4
XLF	TREND DOWN	1.29%	5.12%	25.02	26.71	BULL TRAP	26.09	27.39	25.9
XLV	RANGE	0.87%	3.83%	86.86	91.10	BULL TRAP	89.51	93.98	89.0
XLI	RANGE	1.05%	5.74%	66.99	71.82		69.56	73.04	69.1
XLB	TREND DOWN	1.03%	1.26%	53.27	54.50	BULL TRAP	53.01	55.66	52.6
XLU	TREND UP	1.82%	0.44%	54.26	55.49		54.26	56.97	53.9
IBB	TREND DOWN	5.39%	1.24%	100.66	107.42		100.80	105.84	99.7
IYR	TREND UP	1.07%	0.94%	79.44	81.05		80.10	84.10	79.7
XHB	TREND DOWN	1.72%	0.35%	34.15	34.86	BULL TRAP	33.55	35.23	33.2
SMH	TREND DOWN	1.45%	6.48%	86.95	94.32		93.98	98.68	92.1
FNG	TREND DOWN	6.06%	1.41%	17.37	18.69		17.59	18.54	17.4
IYT	TREND UP	2.62%	0.76%	187.03	193.40		187.44	196.81	185.9
ITA	RANGE	2.01%	5.58%	182.35	197.01		189.47	198.94	188.0

3，如何买。昨天说过：顺势交易如戏水，震荡交易如玩火，逆势交易如触电。因此，买入应该买趋势向上的板块。如下图：

	TREND	POTENTIAL (UP)	POTENTIAL (DOWN)	SUPPORT	RESISTENCE	OVER BOUGHT/SOLD AND TRAP	BUY	EXIT	CUT
XLP	TREND UP	0.58%	1.44%	55.20	56.34		55.99	58.79	55.7
XLU	TREND UP	1.82%	0.44%	54.26	55.49		54.26	56.97	53.9
IYR	TREND UP	1.07%	0.94%	79.44	81.05		80.10	84.10	79.7
IYT	TREND UP	2.62%	0.76%	187.03	193.40		187.44	196.81	185.9

4，买入之后继续暴跌怎么办？首先，顺势交易再加上恰当的介入时机，赢率应该在90%以上。其次，万一那10%较小的概率发生了怎么办？很简单，每个买入点之后都有一个较为紧凑的止损点。这就是顺应趋势，截断亏损，让利润奔跑的精髓。