三十年后的物价，房价，收入。

我们经常讨论三十年後的财富情况。所以有必要想想三十年後的钱到底值多少钱。

我从来不相信政府的通货膨胀数据(CPI) 可以用来衡量未来的财富，更可靠的是labor inflation. labor inflaiton 通常会比CPI 高出几个百分点。查查1970的工资，房价，物价， 历史数据表明，三十年以后，

Typical engineer salary will be 1 million/year
Typical bay area house will be 10 million
Harvard 4 years tutition will be 2 million/4 year.
One bedroom apartment in NYC will be 10 million

所以各位，三十年以后，我们退休大约需要10million左右。

所有跟贴:
• labor inflation is 5％ above typical inflation-where you got it? -PoorKids?-   (0 bytes) (13 reads) 2/12/07  • here it is -bayfamily-   (230 bytes) (90 reads) 2/13/07  • US has white collar jobs only?! Are burger flippers white collar -PoorKids?-   (2 bytes) (6 reads) 2/13/07  • we only care white collar, because we are, we will compare with -BayFamily-   (0 bytes) (7 reads) 2/13/07  • it does not matter. -Pediatrician- ♂   (275 bytes) (160 reads) 2/12/07  • 没什么， -siso- ♀   (28 bytes) (70 reads) 2/12/07  • 也就是说,现在五,六十万的房子,那时候要五,六百万???? -shn888- ♂   (0 bytes) (24 reads) 2/13/07  • very right, check the house price history and you will know -BayFamily-   (0 bytes) (19 reads) 2/13/07  • Not4kids has some data that shows real estate price history -it888-   (38 bytes) (53 reads) 2/13/07  • here is the data -bayfamily-   (3532 bytes) (100 reads) 2/13/07  • 那当然，50年代一万多的房子现在都50万了 -britannica-   (0 bytes) (7 reads) 2/13/07  • 当然前提是没有重大波折，这个可是谁也不能保证的 -britannica-   (0 bytes) (6 reads) 2/13/07  • 真的inflation应该在两者之间。 -A-mao- ♂   (185 bytes) (118 reads) 2/13/07  • 30 years later, Ipod will be gone, but I++++Pod will cost you 2K -BayFamily-   (63 bytes) (28 reads) 2/13/07  • That's why you want to invest in equity and precious metals -it888-   (406 bytes) (155 reads) 2/13/07  • they can only keep track of labor inflation -BayFamily-   (83 bytes) (42 reads) 2/13/07  • Sooner or later, we will enter -it888-   (36 bytes) (82 reads) 2/13/07  • hehe, not that bad :) -bayfamily-   (72 bytes) (32 reads) 2/13/07  • 看来看去只有一条：多生孩子:)) -britannica-   (68 bytes) (176 reads) 2/13/07