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Seculartrendscaninfluencehowdifferentsectorsperformduringaneconomiccycle.Forexample,ifyoubelieveenergyhasapowerfulandsustainablesecularforcebehinditandarecorrect,energyasasectorwilloutperformthroughouttheeconomiccycle.Butthiswillnotchangethefactthatthemostsubstantialgainswillbemadebythesector,duringitstraditionalfavorableperiodinthecycle.Sectorsfollowacycle;broadly,Financialswillleadaneconomyoutof...[阅读全文]
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(2010-09-02 19:32:23)
SectorleadershiprotationsnearinflectionpointsSectorperformancepatterns
Ahistoricalanalysisofthecyclessince1963showstherelativeperformanceofequitymarketsectorshastendedtorotatenearturningpointsintheeconomy,withdifferentsectorsassumingperformanceleadershipindifferentmarketphases.Whileitwasrarethatanyonesectoroutperformed100%ofthetimeduringanyoneparticularphase,therearecertainlysomepatternsoflead...[阅读全文]
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(一)那是午阳永远的记忆,那个晚上,纯白的房间里,他拉着妈妈冰凉的手。林芳躲在午阳细细的背后问‘你的妈妈为什么还不睡醒?’
‘不,我的妈妈死了’,恐惧和无助吓得午阳不敢哭出来,爸爸还在飞机上没来得及赶回来,身边是林芳,和她妈妈不停地哭泣,只有可怜的一点点温热从林芳幼小的手上传给午阳。那年午阳六岁,林芳还不到五岁。
窗外月光清冷如[阅读全文]
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