博文
One cut in place, another cut is needed to
(2007-08-17 10:50:08)
guaranteeanewbullmarket.
AmongalltheFedmonetarydecisions,thedirectionofthediscountratehasthemostinfluenceonthestockmarket.Inthepast,twoconsecutivecutsofthediscountratewithinafewmonthsalmostalwaysstartanewbullmarket,regardlessoftheeconomicconditions.
TheaboveconclusionwasmadearenownedWallStreetinvestormorethanadecadeago.Let’ssaywhetheritwillberightagainthistime.
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Don't let your emotion dictate your trading
(2007-08-13 11:40:07)
Thedayisnotoveryet.Butthetechnicalsofthemarketdonotlookasbadassomefear.Rightnowthemajorindexesareupfrom0.35%to0.6%.Iftheycancloseattheselevelsorbettertoday,thebottomingsignswillbecomemoreobvious.
Pleasereadthefollowingarticleifyoubelieveintechnicalindicatorstocertainadegree.Mr.Schaefferfrequentlyofferscontrarianviews.Iliketoreadhisarticles.
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Don't be fooled by bogus data
(2007-08-06 23:32:38)
HereareSP500\'sreturnsin1957,1967,1977,1987,1997.IgotthedatafromYahoofinance.
12/31/1956 => 12/31/1957 46.67 => 39.99 Change= -14.3%
12/31/1966 => 12/31/1967 80.33 => 96.47 Change= 20.1%
12/31/1976 => 12/31/1977 107.46 => 95.1 Change= -11.5%
12/31/1986 => 12/31/1987 242.17 => 247.08 Change= 2.0%
12/31/1996 => 12/31/1997 740.74 => 970.43 Change= 31.0%
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Today is not very fun.
(2007-08-06 17:55:58)
Thestockmarkethadabigday.Butbothmystockportfolioandmutualfundportfoliounderperformedbyawidemargin.Thisyear\'sbiggestlaggard,thefinancialsector,hadawonderfulday,withXLFgainingmorethan5%!
Sectorrotationusuallyhappenswithcorrectionsandselloffs.Ifthefinancialsectorcancontinuetooutperform,wecouldhaveverygoodyearsinceitisthemostdominantsectorintheSP500index.Butonedaydoesn\'tmakeatrend.Weneedtofollow...[阅读全文]
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Keep your cool and get ready to buy
(2007-08-04 12:26:27)
Themarketisinbadshape.It’snottimetobuyyet.Butdon’twalkawayeither.It’sthebesttimetobuythestocksyoulikewithdeepdiscounts.
I’mcompilingalistofstocksforpotentialbuys.Andthislistkeepschangingeveryday.Whenthesellingisfinallyover,Iwilljumpintobuyabunchofthesestocks.
Howaboutyou?Doyouhaveapotentialbuylistyet?
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My timing was off. But the outcome is OK
(2007-07-30 14:59:09)
Imis-timedtheshorttermbottomandjumpedintooearlylastThursday.Butamongthe8stocksIbought(SGR,TKC,KBR,LIFC,VDSI,CAJ,CREE,FSTR),SGR,TKC,VDSI,KBRdidreallywelltoday.Asagroup,theyaremakingmoneyformenow.
Iexpecttherecoverytocontinue.Theprocessmaylastacouplemoredays.ButIthinkSP500mayrunintoresistancearoundthe1510-1520level.Ifitdoesstopthere,Iwillraisesomemoneybysellingtheweakperformersinmyportfolio.
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The dust has settled down.
(2007-07-26 13:08:55)
It\'samiserabledayinthestockmarket.ButI\'moptimistic.Thenextseveraldaysmaybealoteasier.
Isoldnoneandbought8stocksinmorethan10tradestoday.[阅读全文]
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Time to pick up some good stocks on the cheap
(2007-07-26 08:46:14)
TheNasdaqisaround2600now.Themarketisoversoldintheshortterm.Itwillbouncebacksomenextweek,ifnottodayortommorw.It\'stimetobuysomestrongstocksthatarecomingdownwiththemarket.
I\'veboughtSGR,KBR,VDSI,TKC,LIFCtoday.OtherstocksremainstrongduringthiscorrectionsincludesomenetworkingstockssuchasJNPR,FFIV.Ithinktheywillbethemarketleadersinthenextseveralweeks.
CongratulationstothoselongonAAPL![阅读全文]
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文学城的QQH功能有问题，
(2007-07-20 10:34:50)
我怎么都发不出去。英文的，中文的我都试过了。收不到回复的朋友，请原谅。[阅读全文]
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Potential home buyers: Wait!
(2007-07-14 13:05:09)
Thehousingisbadanditmaygetevenworse.AstrengtheningUSeconomyandeverlowerUSdollarwillkeepinflationpressurehighinthenext12months.TheFedisveryunlikelytolowerinterestanytimesoon.Soifthehousingmarketinyourareaisalreadyweak,it’squiteunlikelytoseeanymeaningfulimprovementinthenearterm.
Inadditions,accordingtoaBofAreport,theamountofadjustableratemortgageswaitingtoberesetininterestrateissettorisesharply...[阅读全文]
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