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andsincechinaisexportinflationnow,Iamreallydoubtifthenominalhomeprice(oreventherealhomeprice)couldfell70%.[阅读全文]
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itdramaticallyrepresstheUSCPIeventhoughGreenspanwaspumpingoutthemoney.Thus,thenominalhousingpricenowcouldwellbethe"real"priceifthedeflationforceswerenothere.Now,withthesignificantincreaseofwagesandotherexpensesinChinaandIndia,thosedeflationforcesmayreversesoon.LookatMcdonald'smenu,youcanseehowthepricehasbeengoingupquitesignificantly.Thus,myownjudgmentisthatUSpeoplewillstartingtopaymoreforeverythin...[阅读全文]
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Ifweassumethatdeflationforceshavealreadydisappear,CPIwillhavetogoup.Iknowthatintheeconomicalbook,itwillneverhappeninthisdebtimplodingenvironment.Butthebooksalwaysassumeacloseeconomy.But,wearenowinaglobaleconomy.Thetotalmoneyintheworld(oratleastinthemajortradingpartners)determinestherealCPI.Chinesedon'tcareifUSpeoplecan'tpaythedebt.Theyhavetoincreaseexportingprice.Giventhesalarygapbetweentwocountri...[阅读全文]
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ThewealthofChinesewillhavetogosomewhere.Now,anyChinese,iftheyhaveanapartmentinurbanareaof1-2titercitycanalreadyaffordadecentUSsuburbanhouse.ThenewEB5modificationenablesalmosteveryoneowninganapartmentinthedowntownareaof1sttiercitiestogetgreencardhere.IfwestillthinkthatUSisthebestplacetolive,theywouldthinkthesameway.Thus,thecitieswiththeattractiontotheforeignersshouldseebighousepriceincrease,whichco...[阅读全文]
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