天下纵横

随笔而已。不必当真。
博文
(2009-12-23 10:21:37)
有一说:非常没有钱的男人怎么可能有气质?记得中国历史上有一文学家刘禹锡写过一篇《陋室铭》:山不在高,有仙則名。水不在深,有龍則靈。斯是陋室,惟吾德馨。苔痕上皆綠
,草色入簾青。談笑有鴻儒,往來無白丁。可以調素琴,閱金經。無絲竹之亂耳,無
案牘之勞形。南陽諸葛廬,西蜀子雲亭。孔子云:「何陋之有?」气质和财富,没有必然的关系。气质一定[阅读全文]
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(天下无马)
Modernbankingsystemisafractionalreservesystem.Thatforeveryone-dollardeposit,bankswilllendout9dollars.Yousee,debts(orloans)arethemoneytobankers.Oncetheyreceiveone-dollardeposit.Theycanturnaroundtoborrow9dollarfromprimarybankatlowerinterestratethenlendoutathigherinterestratetomakeafewbucksinratedifferences.Therefore,loansaremoneytothebankers.Theywanttolendasmuchasbankingreserveguideli...[阅读全文]
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(2009-12-21 08:04:33)
(天下无马)
Some“guru”inWXCpromotedanotionthatbecauseUSDisareservecurruncy,becauseUSDhasalargepercentageinEuroDollarcirculation,thatUScanprintatitswishtocauseinflationinothercoutrywithoutsameoccursintheUS.
Boy,whatalittlemindthatdoesnotevenunderstandhowfinancialworldworks.Theassumptionofthatconclusionisthatothercountriesaredumb,thatothergovernmentsareincapable.Well,he(she)nevertravelledto...[阅读全文]
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TheLegoEconomyofAmericaandhowtofixit
Itisnosecretthatoureconomyisindeepwater,despiteWallStreetJournalandBernanke’sclaimingoftherecovery.Californiaisacondensedversionofstates.Withstateisonbrinkofbankruptcy,itpaysgovernmentworkersIOUsinsteadofcash.ComparingthedebtsanddeficitsofCaliforniawiththeUS,onehastowonderwhatisnextforthecountry!
Oureconomy,ifnotinterferedbymonetarypolicy,isjustaregula...[阅读全文]
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(2009-09-25 20:13:01)
Therearemanypeoplethinktheyarethegurusofinvestment,butarethey,thatincludesme.
Theylovetotalkaboutinvesting.Butwhatis"investing"?
InvestingintheFEDarchitectedboomandbustcyclehasdifferentmeaning.Oneisspeculating;theotherisleveraging.
BeinginWXCsomanyyears,Iobservedthatmostpeopleareinoneofthesetwocategories.
Investinginessenceshallreallymeansavings.Yousavetheextraandhopetoaccumulateen...[阅读全文]
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ItisdeclaredbyBenBernankeyesterdaythat“recessionisover”.Wow,whataclaim,whataninjectionofconfidences.Weshallparty,weshallhavetoast,weshallstartspending,andmoreimportantly,weshallstartborrowing!!
Yousee,debtsaremoneytobankers.Iftheyprintmoneyandyoudon’tborrow,wheretheirprofitswillbeonyourinterestpayments?Themilliondollar(thatisnotmuchmoneythosedaysandwillbemuchlessdowntheroad)questionis:Where...[阅读全文]
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Stockmarkettraditionallyisaplaceforcompaniestoborrowmoneybysellingitsshares.Thefunctionofstockmarkethaslongexpandedbeyondthatbasicfunctions.
Itistoutedasaplaceto"invest".
Itistoutedasa"wealthpot".
Whatitreallyis?
Stockmarketinprincipleisarepresentationofeconomyatlarge.Butitisgraduallosingwhatitisoriginallyintendedfor.Today,inFEDeye,itisabuffertoabsorbtheliquidit...[阅读全文]
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(2009-07-16 17:18:36)
论人民币之前景天下无马在全球货币同步贬值下,人民币之前景如何,是一有意思的命题。货币的兴亡,是一国的兴亡。历史证明了这一点:强国无弱币,弱币非强国。如当政者连这也不懂,国家的远景就堪忧了。当人民币和美元的汇率挂钩,人民币就成了美元的附属货币。美元的操纵就必然导致人民币的兴亡。哥伦比亚的教授蒙代尔曾经指出:在国家的货币自主权,物价稳定和[阅读全文]
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CanfoodshortagehappeninAmerica?Thissoundslikeanabsurdquestion.Withsomucharableland,itwouldneverhappenintheUS.Thetruthis,itmayverywellhappeninAmerica.Inreallife,shortagemaynotalwayshappenduetogreaterdemand.Thefundamentalforagricultureproductsareverysound.Thereisworldwidepopulationgrowthwhilearablelandhasnotbeengrowinsync.ByMathusiantheory,therearethreeeffectivewaytocontrolthepopulation:War,Deceasea...[阅读全文]
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(2009-04-30 20:27:48)
Ihaverecentlythoughtaboutit:whyafewofusarebearishwhileallothersarebulls?
Lookingback,Ireflectedthatbearsarethosewelleducated.Mostofusspendsignificanttimetounderstandthehistoryandfinancialsystemalongwithmonetarypolicies.
Oneamazingrecollection,thebearsarethose"haves"insteadof"havenots".Bearsareconsistantlyexamthestrategies.Insteadofspeculatingforquickreturn,bearsaremoreconcernedwithpreservi...[阅读全文]
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